Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Feb. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $23.5500 (1.73%) ($22.7200 - $23.5600) on Sat. Feb. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.69% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $23.5500(1.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.345% (StdDev 2.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.23(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.68(3.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.89(7.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 4.8% (three month std-dev: 2.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150321

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2015	20.88	21.89	22.68	23.23			23.55(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	-10000	5	115	5.07	59%	0.24	60.6	2.69%	0	1.6	85	0
2	Feb_19_2015	20.83	21.8	22.51	23.08			23.15(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	6	122	2.6	59%	0.24	69.7	2.69%	0	1.4	71	0
3	Feb_18_2015	20.78	21.69	22.32	22.88			23.19(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	7	125	2.68	59%	0.19	68.5	2.69%	0	1.6	75	0
4	Feb_17_2015	20.74	21.57	22.15	22.66			23.18(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	-10000	12	123	2.86	59%	0.24	65	2.7%	0	1.8	65	0
5	Feb_13_2015	20.69	21.43	21.9	22.31			23.08(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	-10000	9	93	4.3	59%	0.19	53.4	2.67%	0	2	56	0

6	Feb_12_2015	20.65	21.27	21.58	22.04			22.78(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	6	61	4.49	59%	0.1	33.2	2.67%	0	1.9	56	0
7	Feb_11_2015	20.63	21.15	21.37	21.87			22.16(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	6	39	4.18	57%	0.15	26.5	2.65%	0	1.4	50	0
8	Feb_10_2015	20.6	21.07	21.16	21.69			22.11(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	4	19	4.91	57%	0.1	25.1	2.65%	0	1.5	56	0
9	Feb_9_2015	20.58	21.07	21.03	21.57			21.43(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	6	15	5.26	56%	0.05	23	2.62%	0	0.7	55	0
10	Feb_6_2015	20.57	21.07	21.06	21.4			21.71(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	13	20	6.53	56%	0.05	12.8	2.62%	0	1.1	58	0

11	Feb_5_2015	20.56	21.01	21.04	21.04			21.93(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	9	13	5.91	56%	0.1	-2.2	2.62%	0	1.4	64	0
12	Feb_4_2015	20.54	20.96	21.02	20.79			21.27(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	9	14	6.95	54%	0.05	-25.2	2.6%	0	0.5	56	0
13	Feb_3_2015	20.53	20.9	21	20.56			21.5(4.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	4	-10000	5	1	7.8	54%	0.05	-54.6	2.6%	0	0.9	55	0
14	Feb_2_2015	20.52	20.86	20.92	20.44			20.61(3.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-9	-14	6.72	51%	0.05	-75.8	2.54%	0	-0.4	48	0
15	Jan_30_2015	20.51	20.93	20.93	20.68			19.9(-3.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-13	-9	9.07	51%	0	-67.8	2.53%	0	-1.5	40	0

16	Jan_29_2015	20.51	21.03	20.95	21.03			20.67(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-10000	-10	-9	6.87	54%	0	-62.2	2.5%	0	-0.6	40	0
17	Jan_28_2015	20.51	21.12	20.93	21.29			20.11(-3.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-4	-10000	-7	5	8.74	54%	0.05	-49.2	2.48%	0	-1.5	47	0
18	Jan_27_2015	20.5	21.26	20.93	21.48			20.92(-4.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	8	-10000	1	27	9.18	57%	0	-34.8	2.46%	0	-0.5	57	0
19	Jan_26_2015	20.5	21.35	21.01	21.45			21.8(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	9	32	3.48	61%	0.1	-27.3	2.4%	0	0.5	57	0
20	Jan_23_2015	20.48	21.39	20.97	21.21			21.63(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	14	13	6.04	63%	0.05	-21.9	2.41%	0	0.3	48	0

21	Jan_22_2015	20.47	21.43	20.99	20.85			22(4.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	-10000	12	-10	9.12	63%	0.1	-16.2	2.43%	0	0.6	49	0
22	Jan_21_2015	20.45	21.45	20.87	20.54			21.07(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	2	-54	6.77	64%	0.05	-12	2.39%	0	-0.4	40	0
23	Jan_20_2015	20.44	21.51	20.87	20.48			20.74(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-10000	-2	-86	5.66	66%	0	-4.1	2.49%	0	-0.8	35	0
24	Jan_16_2015	20.44	21.51	20.78	20.52			20.6(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-7	-106	7.07	67%	0.05	0.4	2.53%	0	-1	35	0
25	Jan_15_2015	20.43	21.58	20.9	20.7			19.86(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-10000	-16	-111	11.25	63%		3.1	2.49%	0	-1.8	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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