Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 26, 2015

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $21.8000 (0.79%) ($21.2800 - $21.8300) on Mon. Jan. 26, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $21.8000(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(95%)    QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    VYM(88%)    XLK(88%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.45(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.01(3.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.35(2.11%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 3.84% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2015	20.5	21.35	21.01	21.45			21.8(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	9	32	3.48	61%	0.1	-27.3	2.4%	0	0.5	57	0
2	Jan_23_2015	20.48	21.39	20.97	21.21			21.63(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	14	13	6.04	63%	0.05	-21.9	2.41%	0	0.3	48	0
3	Jan_22_2015	20.47	21.43	20.99	20.85			22(4.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	-10000	12	-10	9.12	63%	0.1	-16.2	2.43%	0	0.6	49	0
4	Jan_21_2015	20.45	21.45	20.87	20.54			21.07(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	2	-54	6.77	64%	0.05	-12	2.39%	0	-0.4	40	0
5	Jan_20_2015	20.44	21.51	20.87	20.48			20.74(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-10000	-2	-86	5.66	66%	0	-4.1	2.49%	0	-0.8	35	0

6	Jan_16_2015	20.44	21.51	20.78	20.52			20.6(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-7	-106	7.07	67%	0.05	0.4	2.53%	0	-1	35	0
7	Jan_15_2015	20.43	21.51	20.9	20.7			19.86(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-10000	-16	-111	11.25	63%	-0.05	3.1	2.49%	0	-1.8	31	0
8	Jan_14_2015	20.44	21.58	21.11	21.13			20.41(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-4	-89	11.45	66%	0.05	3.8	2.49%	0	-1.3	34	0
9	Jan_13_2015	20.43	21.57	21.33	21.23			20.78(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-16	-10000	5	-80	10.92	61%	0	-3.8	2.48%	0	-0.8	37	0
10	Jan_12_2015	20.43	21.55	21.54	21.11			20.96(-2.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	-10000	2	-80	7.13	61%	0.05	-16.2	2.57%	0	-0.5	41	0

11	Jan_9_2015	20.42	21.57	21.73	21.06			21.47(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	-10000	-3	-77	8.16	54%	0.1	-21.4	2.58%	0	-0.1	47	0
12	Jan_8_2015	20.4	21.57	21.85	21.15			22.03(5.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	-10000	1	-49	7.42	57%	0.1	-25.2	2.68%	0	0.4	64	0
13	Jan_7_2015	20.38	21.55	21.9	21.13			20.91(3.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-12	-27	7.01	51%	0.05	-26.9	2.68%	0	-0.6	66	0
14	Jan_6_2015	20.37	21.61	22.08	21.47			20.16(-2.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-11	-10000	-19	15	9.8	49%	0.05	-17.9	2.71%	0	-1.3	58	0
15	Jan_5_2015	20.36	21.73	22.31	22.04			20.74(-5.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	6	-10000	-15	70	7.14	51%	0.1	-3.3	2.68%	0	-0.9	58	0

16	Jan_2_2015	20.34	21.82	22.46	22.48			21.91(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	-10000	-5	111	4.75	56%	0.25	8	2.62%	0	0.1	56	0
17	Dec_31_2014	20.29	21.84	22.35	22.64			21.93(-3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	26	-10000	-5	119	4.77	54%	0.2	13.2	2.62%	0	0.1	58	0
18	Dec_30_2014	20.25	21.85	22.12	22.79			22.63(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	0	107	3.14	56%	0.2	16.9	2.64%	0	0.7	53	0
19	Dec_29_2014	20.21	21.81	21.86	22.78			23(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	5	90	2.68	56%	0.25	15.7	2.63%	0	1.1	55	0
20	Dec_26_2014	20.16	21.77	21.58	22.63			22.91(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	6	61	2.22	57%	0.4	14.5	2.63%	0	1.1	51	0

21	Dec_24_2014	20.08	21.73	21.41	22.45			22.71(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	15	42	1.29	55%	0.25	13.4	2.7%	0	1	51	0
22	Dec_23_2014	20.03	21.7	21.22	22.01			22.68(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	23	5	4.46	54%	0.2	3.3	2.72%	0	1	50	0
23	Dec_22_2014	19.99	21.68	21.13	21.34			22.59(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	-10000	19	-37	3.78	53%	0.25	-11.5	2.73%	0	0.9	51	0
24	Dec_19_2014	19.94	21.65	21.13	20.79			22.28(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-7	-10000	14	-68	5.27	53%	0.2	-24.1	2.74%	0	0.7	53	0
25	Dec_18_2014	19.9	21.62	21.05	20.39			22(7.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-20	-10000	5	-93	9.43	53%		-34.3	2.74%	0	0.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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