Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $22.1500 (1.65%) ($21.9200 - $22.4700) on Fri. Nov. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.28% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $22.1500(1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.14% (StdDev 2.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.76(1.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.56(2.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.96(5.68%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   36.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 4.29% (three month std-dev: 2.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2014	19.51	20.96	21.56	21.76			22.15(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	20	-10000	6	62	7.06	50%	0.15	97.4	2.28%	0	1.3	83	0
2	Nov_20_2014	19.48	20.8	21.45	21.6			21.79(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	-10000	3	57	3.31	50%	0.1	98.3	2.28%	0	1	81	0
3	Nov_19_2014	19.46	20.65	21.38	21.52			21.67(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	3	65	4.39	50%	0.1	97.7	2.28%	0	1	86	0
4	Nov_18_2014	19.44	20.47	21.3	21.44			21.78(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	3	76	4.1	51%	0.15	99.1	2.28%	0	1.2	91	0
5	Nov_17_2014	19.41	20.31	21.16	21.36			21.41(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	21	-10000	1	81	4.7	51%	0.15	95.9	2.29%	0	0.9	88	0

6	Nov_14_2014	19.38	20.11	21.09	21.33			21.37(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	27	-10000	2	101	4.04	51%	0.1	89.7	2.29%	0	0.9	91	0
7	Nov_13_2014	19.36	19.9	21.01	21.28			21.35(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	31	-10000	2	119	5.43	53%	0.16	78.8	2.29%	0	0.9	88	0
8	Nov_12_2014	19.33	19.66	20.87	21.22			21.3(-0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	37	-10000	4	134	5.04	53%	0.1	67.7	2.31%	0	1	90	0
9	Nov_11_2014	19.31	19.41	20.71	21.12			21.35(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	-10000	7	151	4.77	53%	0.1	56.2	2.31%	0	1.2	92	0
10	Nov_10_2014	19.29	19.18	20.53	20.94			21.3(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	-10000	6	156	5.72	53%	0.16	48.8	2.31%	0	1.3	83	0

11	Nov_7_2014	19.26	18.95	20.31	20.8			21.1(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	-10000	4	168	4.43	54%	0.1	41	2.34%	0	1.3	86	0
12	Nov_6_2014	19.24	18.76	20.1	20.7			21.05(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	56	-10000	9	195	5.64	54%	0.1	36.3	2.35%	0	1.5	88	0
13	Nov_5_2014	19.22	18.6	19.86	20.48			20.8(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	62	-10000	11	216	6.82	52%	0.1	32.4	2.35%	0	1.5	89	0
14	Nov_4_2014	19.2	18.51	19.59	20.23			20.43(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	-10000	7	224	6.55	53%	0.1	31.6	2.37%	0	1.4	88	0
15	Nov_3_2014	19.18	18.39	19.39	20.06			20.62(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	-10000	14	242	5.9	53%	0.16	25.9	2.38%	0	1.7	82	0

16	Oct_31_2014	19.15	18.3	19.07	19.73			20.6(3.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	68	-10000	13	233	8.76	50%	0.1	18.9	2.39%	0	1.9	82	0
17	Oct_30_2014	19.13	18.22	18.7	19.42			19.93(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	-10000	11	200	7.33	48%	0.1	11	2.47%	0	1.5	67	0
18	Oct_29_2014	19.11	18.14	18.34	19.16			19.55(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	-10000	13	163	8.12	48%	0.05	2.4	2.46%	0	1.3	59	0
19	Oct_28_2014	19.1	18.08	18.02	18.85			19.61(3.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	10	101	9.1	48%	0	-12.5	2.47%	0	1.4	49	0
20	Oct_27_2014	19.1	18.06	17.72	18.61			18.97(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	14	67	7.81	46%	0.05	-20.7	2.43%	0	0.9	53	0

21	Oct_24_2014	19.09	18.07	17.48	18.29			19.04(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	20	12	6.22	45%	0	-30	2.44%	0	0.9	48	0
22	Oct_23_2014	19.09	18.09	17.31	17.86			18.64(3.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	-10000	22	-43	9.55	45%	0.05	-43.9	2.42%	0	0.5	45	0
23	Oct_22_2014	19.08	18.11	17.23	17.39			18.01(-2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	-10000	17	-91	8.71	43%	0	-56.7	2.38%	0	-0.1	46	0
24	Oct_21_2014	19.08	18.22	17.32	17.05			18.39(5.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-15	-10000	17	-111	10.13	43%	0	-63.1	2.38%	0	0.1	48	0
25	Oct_20_2014	19.08	18.28	17.29	16.71			17.38(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-35	-10000	8	-163	8.99	39%		-69	2.26%	0	-0.7	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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