Trading Signals: SPWR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: SPWR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SunPower Corporation)
SPWR latest price $20.1423 (4.49%) ($19.1933 - $20.3568) on Wed. Mar. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.4% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $20.1423(4.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPWR advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPWR advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPWR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ICLN(8%)    INDA(8%)    EEM(7%)    EWP(7%)    HYG(7%)
Factors Impacting SPWR price   SPWR will decline at least -2.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)    TLT(-3%)    DIA(-3%)    BND(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.2% (StdDev 4.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.43(3.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.48(3.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.09(5.51%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   19.8%
Market Cap   $53.984b

$. SPWR price fluctuates within 4.45% (three month std-dev: 4.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.47%(29%) Average negative next day return: -1.2%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.15%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -3.71%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.52%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.94%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2016	19.26	19.09	19.48	19.43	19.42	19.51	20.14(4.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	30	9	9	2.85	50%	0.1	31.9	4.4%	0	1.2	63	INF
2	Mar_15_2016	19.24	19.09	19.44	19.19	19.18	19.33	19.28(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	50	4	5	1.28	47%	0.05	30.2	4.4%	0	0.3	57	INF
3	Mar_14_2016	19.23	19.07	19.47	19.05	19.07	19.32	19.56(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	90	1	15	1.1	47%	0	25.9	4.45%	0	0.6	73	INF
4	Mar_11_2016	19.23	18.97	19.46	19.14	19.02	19.04	19.33(2.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10	-4	25	1.74	47%	0.05	13.2	4.51%	0	0.4	60	INF
5	Mar_10_2016	19.22	18.86	19.4	19.35	19.24	18.82	18.83(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-170	-8	41	1.37	47%	-0.05	-1.7	4.55%	0	-0	62	INF

6	Mar_9_2016	19.23	18.86	19.41	19.54	19.58	19	18.96(2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-200	-13	46	1.1	47%	-0.05	-7.2	4.62%	0	0.1	52	INF
7	Mar_8_2016	19.24	18.82	19.4	19.73	19.8	19.65	18.59(-6.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	5	-40	-10	48	3.86	47%	-0.1	-7.8	4.67%	0	-0.2	45	INF
8	Mar_7_2016	19.26	18.85	19.27	19.92	19.92	20.15	19.99(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	80	5	48	2.04	51%	0.1	-10.2	4.57%	0	1.1	53	INF
9	Mar_4_2016	19.24	18.86	19.07	19.82	19.79	19.94	20.4(3.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	50	12	51	2.36	51%	0.21	-15.8	4.62%	0	1.5	65	INF
10	Mar_3_2016	19.2	18.87	18.78	19.47	19.55	19.69	19.78(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	60	6	40	1.74	51%	0.1	-17.3	4.67%	0	0.8	66	INF

11	Mar_2_2016	19.18	18.87	18.67	19.25	19.39	19.64	19.88(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	110	9	38	1.55	51%	0.1	-19.2	4.75%	0	0.9	58	INF
12	Mar_1_2016	19.16	18.9	18.64	19.03	19.12	19.41	19.54(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	120	17	38	1.62	51%	0.05	-23.6	4.82%	0	0.5	53	INF
13	Feb_29_2016	19.15	18.96	18.61	18.51	18.66	19.13	19.49(4.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	200	12	17	2.23	51%	0.05	-28.7	4.91%	0	0.4	51	INF
14	Feb_26_2016	19.14	19.02	18.41	18.22	18.2	18.84	18.66(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	240	14	-9	2.29	51%	-0.05	-31	4.93%	0	-0.3	44	INF
15	Feb_25_2016	19.15	19.07	18.24	17.98	17.9	18.19	18.7(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	100	7	-45	1.84	51%	-0.1	-33.8	5.02%	0	-0.3	41	INF

16	Feb_24_2016	19.17	19.12	18.24	18.01	17.7	17.56	18.74(10.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-22	-110	-8	-63	3.49	51%	-0.1	-28.3	5.12%	0	-0.3	44	INF
17	Feb_23_2016	19.19	19.18	18.18	18.23	18.15	17.61	16.96(-6.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-220	-17	-71	3.27	44%	-0.47	-17.5	4.78%	0	-1.7	39	INF
18	Feb_22_2016	19.28	19.32	18.42	18.73	18.76	17.84	18.05(3.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-340	-8	-62	2.02	48%	-0.26	0	4.71%	0	-1	39	INF
19	Feb_19_2016	19.33	19.44	18.63	18.62	18.99	18.69	17.44(-7.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-50	-7	-68	4.98	48%	-0.46	0	4.76%	0	-1.7	36	INF
20	Feb_18_2016	19.42	19.53	19	18.5	18.84	19.67	18.85(-5.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	360	12	-59	4.75	54%	-0.15	0	4.58%	0	-0.6	48	INF

21	Feb_17_2016	19.45	19.5	19.15	18.34	18.24	19.29	19.85(2.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	390	22	-58	2.69	58%	0.1	0	4.53%	0	0.3	51	INF
22	Feb_16_2016	19.43	19.41	19.17	18.16	17.79	18	19.43(10.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	20	10	-68	2.98	58%	0	0	4.63%	0	0	49	INF
23	Feb_12_2016	19.43	19.41	19.3	18.13	17.77	17.19	17.53(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-290	-24	-10	2.17	49%	-0.51	0	4.04%	0	14.4	40	INF
24	Feb_11_2016	19.53	19.41	19.66	18.69	18.37	17.57	16.82(-6.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-32	-360	-38	-15	3.28	44%	-0.81	0	4.02%	0	14.4	32	INF
25	Feb_10_2016	19.69	19.41	19.97	19.56	19.24	18.36	18.06(-4.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-26	-370	-30	-12	2.68	52%		0	3.78%	0	18.2	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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