Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 18, 2018

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $48.0600 (-0.35%) ($47.9400 - $48.2450) on Thu. Jan. 18, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.39% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $48.0600(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(88%)    SDY(88%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(84%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    GDXJ(-9%)    DIA(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.195% (StdDev 0.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.96(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.91(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.75(0.65%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 0.48% (three month std-dev: 0.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2018	46.91		47.91	47.96	48.01	48.11	48.06(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	20	23	65	0.9	56%	0.06	2.1	0.39%	0	1.3	60	-INF
2	Jan_17_2018	46.88	47.75	47.86	47.89	47.94	48.03	48.23(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	20	26	58	1.88	56%	0.06	-8.7	0.39%	0	2.2	67	INF
3	Jan_16_2018	46.85	47.75	47.86	47.84	47.85	47.92	47.77(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	10	3	42	1.62	53%	0.09	-18.4	0.37%	0	0.2	59	INF
4	Jan_12_2018	46.81	47.75	47.77	47.89	47.85	47.84	47.91(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10	9	64	1.28	53%	0.06	-10.9	0.36%	0	0.8	63	INF
5	Jan_11_2018	46.78	47.74	47.76	47.87	47.85	47.79	47.82(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10	-14	56	1.19	53%	0.06	-9.1	0.37%	0	0.4	55	INF

6	Jan_10_2018	46.75	47.75	47.73	47.85	47.88	47.91	47.71(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	10	-1	55	1.21	55%	0.04	-8.7	0.36%	0	-0.2	48	INF
7	Jan_9_2018	46.73	47.75	47.71	47.81	47.85	47.97	47.99(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	20	43	47	0.7	57%	0.06	-12.5	0.36%	0	1	45	INF
8	Jan_8_2018	46.7	47.77	47.66	47.7	47.71	47.84	48(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	20	20	28	-4	1.55	57%	0.06	-26	0.36%	0	1	43	INF
9	Jan_5_2018	46.67	47.77	47.6	47.64	47.71	47.74	47.85(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	11	20	23	-27	1.11	57%	0.04	-40	0.36%	0	0.4	50	INF
10	Jan_4_2018	46.65	47.76	47.57	47.63	47.71	47.58	47.68(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10	11	-47	1.22	56%	0.04	-42	0.36%	0	-0.3	42	INF

11	Jan_3_2018	46.63	47.77	47.58	47.61	47.63	47.52	47.55(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10	-22	-72	1.44	56%	0.06	-42.3	0.36%	0	-0.9	39	INF
12	Jan_2_2018	46.6	47.8	47.63	47.59	47.65	47.68	47.4(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	10	-9	-75	1.37	57%	0.06	-32	0.36%	0	-1.7	32	INF
13	Dec_29_2017	46.57	47.83	47.63	47.6	47.63	47.75	47.74(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	20	31	-58	1.38	60%	0.06	-14.6	0.35%	0	-0.4	41	INF
14	Dec_28_2017	46.54	47.83	47.7	47.54	47.55	47.63	47.77(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	10	22	-77	1.46	60%	0.04	0	0.35%	0	-0.4	47	INF
15	Dec_27_2017	46.52	47.86	47.72	47.51	47.52	47.52	47.6(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	0	-1	-94	1.14	59%	0.04	5.8	0.34%	0	-1	44	INF

16	Dec_26_2017	46.5	47.86	47.76	47.55	47.56	47.47	47.44(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-10	-33	-94	0.84	58%	0.06	24	0.34%	0	-1.8	43	INF
17	Dec_22_2017	46.47	47.86	47.83	47.67	47.68	47.52	47.46(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-20	-54	-76	1.2	58%	0.04	37.9	0.34%	0	-1.5	36	INF
18	Dec_21_2017	46.45	47.87	47.9	47.81	47.86	47.66	47.45(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-48	-30	-48	-47	1.14	58%	0.04	55.4	0.34%	0	-1.6	36	INF
19	Dec_20_2017	46.43	47.86	47.94	47.88	47.99	47.85	47.62(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-10	-44	-46	1.76	60%	0.06	57.1	0.34%	0	-0.8	35	INF
20	Dec_19_2017	46.4	47.85	47.94	47.96	48.03	48.06	47.77(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	10	-17	-19	1.47	60%	0.04	59.7	0.34%	0	-0.2	49	INF

21	Dec_18_2017	46.38	47.82	47.94	48	48.05	48.13	48.07(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	10	19	4	1.24	63%	0.06	57.3	0.33%	0	0.7	58	INF
22	Dec_15_2017	46.35	47.77	47.94	48.02	48.05	48	48.15(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-0	5	29	1.15	63%	0.06	54.9	0.33%	0	1	68	INF
23	Dec_14_2017	46.32	47.72	47.98	48	48.03	47.98	47.8(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10	-17	49	1.11	60%	0.06	57.1	0.32%	0	0.2	66	INF
24	Dec_13_2017	46.29	47.69	48.02	48.02	48.05	48.06	47.99(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	0	2	105	1.52	63%	0.06	55.7	0.31%	0	0.7	72	INF
25	Dec_12_2017	46.26	47.65	48.01	48	48.01	48.09	47.99(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	10	17	125	0.77	63%		60.2	0.32%	0	0.8	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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