Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $46.9100 (-0.32%) ($46.7350 - $46.9800) on Thu. Nov. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.36% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $46.9100(-0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(88%)    IWD(87%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    GDXJ(-9%)    DIA(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.18% (StdDev 0.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.88(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.77(0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.72(0.41%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 0.32% (three month std-dev: 0.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.08%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.28%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.26%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2017	45.66	46.72	46.77	46.88	46.86	46.93	46.91(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	10	7	31	1.24	58%	0.04	87.5	0.36%	0	1.3	48	0
2	Nov_8_2017	45.64	46.7	46.75	46.85	46.83	46.92	47.06(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	34	10	33	37	0.81	58%	0.02	93.8	0.36%	0	2.4	59	0
3	Nov_7_2017	45.63	46.67	46.7	46.76	46.76	46.8	46.93(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	10	21	17	0.76	58%	0.02	93.3	0.36%	0	1.9	61	0
4	Nov_6_2017	45.62	46.64	46.7	46.68	46.71	46.75	46.72(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	10	12	3	0.66	56%	0.04	79.4	0.36%	0	0.5	56	0
5	Nov_3_2017	45.6	46.62	46.68	46.65	46.66	46.72	46.79(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	10	9	0	0.73	56%	0.02	69.2	0.36%	0	0.9	58	0

6	Nov_2_2017	45.59	46.59	46.69	46.64	46.63	46.68	46.75(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	10	10	11	0.97	56%	0.02	73.2	0.36%	0	0.8	57	0
7	Nov_1_2017	45.58	46.56	46.68	46.63	46.64	46.61	46.63(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	6	-0	4	13	1.71	56%	0.04	80	0.36%	0	0.3	53	0
8	Oct_31_2017	45.56	46.54	46.67	46.62	46.66	46.58	46.53(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-10	-18	4	0.83	56%	0.02	83.7	0.36%	0	-0	55	0
9	Oct_30_2017	45.55	46.52	46.68	46.67	46.67	46.66	46.53(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-0	-19	19	1.25	56%	0.02	85.7	0.36%	0	0	58	0
10	Oct_27_2017	45.54	46.49	46.69	46.71	46.71	46.74	46.74(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	0	2	51	3	59%	0.04	81.5	0.35%	0	0.8	73	0

11	Oct_26_2017	45.52	46.45	46.67	46.75	46.73	46.68	46.74(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-10	-2	71	0.72	59%	0.04	78.9	0.35%	0	0.9	72	0
12	Oct_25_2017	45.5	46.4	46.65	46.74	46.73	46.69	46.57(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10	-13	77	0.68	57%	0.02	70.5	0.35%	0	0.5	65	0
13	Oct_24_2017	45.49	46.35	46.64	46.73	46.75	46.79	46.76(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	10	7	95	0.48	60%	0.04	61.9	0.35%	0	1.1	77	0
14	Oct_23_2017	45.47	46.3	46.6	46.69	46.69	46.81	46.74(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	20	23	107	0.63	60%	0.02	58.5	0.35%	0	1.2	80	0
15	Oct_20_2017	45.46	46.25	46.55	46.65	46.63	46.72	46.92(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	56	10	37	114	0.86	62%	0.04	56.1	0.35%	0	1.8	91	0

16	Oct_19_2017	45.44	46.19	46.48	46.58	46.55	46.57	46.7(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	0	6	105	1.11	60%	0.02	51.3	0.34%	0	1.4	91	0
17	Oct_18_2017	45.43	46.14	46.43	46.56	46.56	46.57	46.54(-0.02%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0.1	32	-0	3	119	0.46	58%	0.04	52.7	0.34%	0	1.2	91	0
18	Oct_17_2017	45.41	46.11	46.39	46.54	46.55	46.54	46.55(-0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	36	-0	2	138	0.57	58%	0.02	55.6	0.34%	0	1.3	93	0
19	Oct_16_2017	45.4	46.07	46.34	46.5	46.52	46.58	46.56(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	10	17	153	0.67	58%	0.04	58.2	0.34%	0	1.6	84	0
20	Oct_13_2017	45.38	46.04	46.28	46.43	46.46	46.56	46.57(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	63	20	34	151	0.79	58%	0.04	54	0.34%	0	1.8	76	0

21	Oct_12_2017	45.36	46	46.21	46.35	46.36	46.46	46.56(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	58	20	31	139	0.54	62%	0.04	59.6	0.34%	0	2.2	77	0
22	Oct_11_2017	45.34	45.96	46.12	46.28	46.28	46.36	46.45(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	10	25	120	1	62%	0.07	69.2	0.35%	0	2	75	0
23	Oct_10_2017	45.31	45.92	46.03	46.23	46.23	46.26	46.38(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	0	26	100	0.96	62%	0.04	82.6	0.35%	0	2.2	64	0
24	Oct_9_2017	45.29	45.9	45.96	46.15	46.16	46.19	46.17(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	10	7	70	1.16	59%	0.04	102.6	0.35%	0	1.5	59	0
25	Oct_6_2017	45.27	45.88	45.92	46.12	46.11	46.2	46.18(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	10	25	67	0.66	58%		104.9	0.36%	0	1.6	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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