Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $46.9200 (0.47%) ($46.7200 - $46.9200) on Fri. Oct. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $46.9200(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(88%)    IWD(87%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    GDXJ(-9%)    DIA(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.65(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.55(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.25(1.45%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.41%(20%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.36%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -0.75%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 1.63%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.82%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2017	45.46	46.25	46.55	46.65	46.63	46.72	46.92(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	56	10	37	114	0.86	62%	0.04	56.1	0.35%	0	1.8	91	INF
2	Oct_19_2017	45.44	46.19	46.48	46.58	46.55	46.57	46.7(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	0	6	105	1.11	60%	0.02	51.3	0.34%	0	1.4	91	INF
3	Oct_18_2017	45.43	46.14	46.43	46.56	46.56	46.57	46.54(-0.02%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0.1	32	-0	3	119	0.46	58%	0.04	52.7	0.34%	0	1.2	91	INF
4	Oct_17_2017	45.41	46.11	46.39	46.54	46.55	46.54	46.55(-0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	36	-0	2	138	0.57	58%	0.02	55.6	0.34%	0	1.3	93	INF
5	Oct_16_2017	45.4	46.07	46.34	46.5	46.52	46.58	46.56(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	10	17	153	0.67	58%	0.04	58.2	0.34%	0	1.6	84	INF

6	Oct_13_2017	45.38	46.04	46.28	46.43	46.46	46.56	46.57(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	63	20	34	151	0.79	58%	0.04	54	0.34%	0	1.8	76	INF
7	Oct_12_2017	45.36	46	46.21	46.35	46.36	46.46	46.56(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	58	20	31	139	0.54	62%	0.04	59.6	0.34%	0	2.2	77	INF
8	Oct_11_2017	45.34	45.96	46.12	46.28	46.28	46.36	46.45(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	10	25	120	1	62%	0.07	69.2	0.35%	0	2	75	INF
9	Oct_10_2017	45.31	45.92	46.03	46.23	46.23	46.26	46.38(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	0	26	100	0.96	62%	0.04	82.6	0.35%	0	2.2	64	INF
10	Oct_9_2017	45.29	45.9	45.96	46.15	46.16	46.19	46.17(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	10	7	70	1.16	59%	0.04	102.6	0.35%	0	1.5	59	INF

11	Oct_6_2017	45.27	45.88	45.92	46.12	46.11	46.2	46.18(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	10	25	67	0.66	58%	0.07	104.9	0.36%	0	1.6	59	INF
12	Oct_5_2017	45.24	45.85	45.88	46.04	46.04	46.13	46.24(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	10	39	51	0.82	58%	0.07	79.2	0.37%	0	1.8	61	INF
13	Oct_4_2017	45.21	45.8	45.83	45.92	45.92	46.02	46.16(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	20	34	25	1.15	58%	0.04	60	0.37%	0	1.6	63	INF
14	Oct_3_2017	45.19	45.75	45.79	45.81	45.8	45.94	46.02(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	20	32	6	1.19	58%	0.04	42.3	0.37%	0	1.1	63	INF
15	Oct_2_2017	45.17	45.71	45.78	45.74	45.72	45.81	45.98(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	19	10	27	-7	2.19	58%	0.07	32.1	0.37%	0	1.1	53	INF

16	Sep_29_2017	45.14	45.69	45.77	45.74	45.72	45.67	45.79(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-0	7	-25	1	50%	0.04	34	0.37%	0	0.4	42	INF
17	Sep_28_2017	45.12	45.68	45.78	45.7	45.68	45.62	45.67(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10	-13	-19	0.67	52%	0.02	40	0.39%	0	-0	58	INF
18	Sep_27_2017	45.11	45.66	45.79	45.71	45.72	45.69	45.57(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-0	-17	-1	1.18	48%	0.04	39.6	0.39%	0	-0.4	64	INF
19	Sep_26_2017	45.09	45.65	45.81	45.78	45.77	45.73	45.68(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-10	-10	29	0.68	48%	0.04	41.8	0.4%	0	0.1	66	INF
20	Sep_25_2017	45.07	45.63	45.83	45.82	45.81	45.75	45.81(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10	-13	56	0.79	48%	0.04	47.4	0.4%	0	0.7	72	INF

21	Sep_22_2017	45.05	45.61	45.84	45.84	45.85	45.81	45.75(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10	-14	74	0.82	47%	0.02	52.5	0.4%	0	0.5	57	INF
22	Sep_21_2017	45.04	45.59	45.82	45.88	45.85	45.87	45.75(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-0	-4	85	0.65	45%	0.07	55.7	0.4%	0	0.6	57	INF
23	Sep_20_2017	45.01	45.57	45.78	45.89	45.87	45.89	45.9(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	0	9	87	0.77	43%	0.04	52.5	0.41%	0	1.2	65	INF
24	Sep_19_2017	44.99	45.55	45.71	45.85	45.83	45.88	45.91(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	10	7	79	0.87	45%	0.04	52.5	0.41%	0	1.3	65	INF
25	Sep_18_2017	44.97	45.51	45.65	45.84	45.8	45.85	45.9(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	10	7	76	2.04	45%		47.4	0.41%	0	1.5	67	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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