Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $46.2400 (0.17%) ($46.1400 - $46.2800) on Thu. Oct. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $46.2400(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(88%)    IWD(87%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    GDXJ(-9%)    DIA(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.04(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.88(0.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.85(0.85%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 0.48% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.26%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.07%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.15%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.86%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.91%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2017	45.24	45.85	45.88	46.04	46.04	46.13	46.24(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	10	39	51	0.82	58%	0.07	79.2	0.37%	0	1.8	61	0
2	Oct_4_2017	45.21	45.8	45.83	45.92	45.92	46.02	46.16(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	20	34	25	1.15	58%	0.04	60	0.37%	0	1.6	63	0
3	Oct_3_2017	45.19	45.75	45.79	45.81	45.8	45.94	46.02(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	20	32	6	1.19	58%	0.04	42.3	0.37%	0	1.1	63	0
4	Oct_2_2017	45.17	45.71	45.78	45.74	45.72	45.81	45.98(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	19	10	27	-7	2.19	58%	0.07	32.1	0.37%	0	1.1	53	0
5	Sep_29_2017	45.14	45.69	45.77	45.74	45.72	45.67	45.79(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-0	7	-25	1	50%	0.04	34	0.37%	0	0.4	42	0

6	Sep_28_2017	45.12	45.68	45.78	45.7	45.68	45.62	45.67(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10	-13	-19	0.67	52%	0.02	40	0.39%	0	-0	58	0
7	Sep_27_2017	45.11	45.66	45.79	45.71	45.72	45.69	45.57(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-0	-17	-1	1.18	48%	0.04	39.6	0.39%	0	-0.4	64	0
8	Sep_26_2017	45.09	45.65	45.81	45.78	45.77	45.73	45.68(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-10	-10	29	0.68	48%	0.04	41.8	0.4%	0	0.1	66	0
9	Sep_25_2017	45.07	45.63	45.83	45.82	45.81	45.75	45.81(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10	-13	56	0.79	48%	0.04	47.4	0.4%	0	0.7	72	0
10	Sep_22_2017	45.05	45.61	45.84	45.84	45.85	45.81	45.75(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10	-14	74	0.82	47%	0.02	52.5	0.4%	0	0.5	57	0

11	Sep_21_2017	45.04	45.59	45.82	45.88	45.85	45.87	45.75(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-0	-4	85	0.65	45%	0.07	55.7	0.4%	0	0.6	57	0
12	Sep_20_2017	45.01	45.57	45.78	45.89	45.87	45.89	45.9(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	0	9	87	0.77	43%	0.04	52.5	0.41%	0	1.2	65	0
13	Sep_19_2017	44.99	45.55	45.71	45.85	45.83	45.88	45.91(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	10	7	79	0.87	45%	0.04	52.5	0.41%	0	1.3	65	0
14	Sep_18_2017	44.97	45.51	45.65	45.84	45.8	45.85	45.9(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	10	7	76	2.04	45%	0.04	47.4	0.41%	0	1.5	67	0
15	Sep_15_2017	44.95	45.47	45.6	45.85	45.81	45.78	45.92(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10	15	86	1	45%	0.04	49.1	0.41%	0	1.7	65	0

16	Sep_14_2017	44.93	45.43	45.56	45.76	45.8	45.74	45.8(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10	9	81	0.51	45%	0.04	40	0.41%	0	1.5	67	0
17	Sep_13_2017	44.91	45.42	45.51	45.64	45.7	45.83	45.72(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	20	16	63	1.52	47%	0.04	32.1	0.41%	0	1.2	58	0
18	Sep_12_2017	44.89	45.41	45.48	45.55	45.57	45.86	45.86(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	59	50	59	58	1	47%	0.04	23.5	0.42%	0	2	55	0
19	Sep_11_2017	44.87	45.39	45.42	45.42	45.42	45.57	45.95(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	50	20	54	36	1.92	47%	0.04	10.9	0.41%	0	2.7	65	0
20	Sep_8_2017	44.85	45.34	45.35	45.33	45.28	45.29	45.48(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-0	-2	7	1	41%	0.04	-10.8	0.4%	0	0.8	61	0

21	Sep_7_2017	44.83	45.33	45.32	45.34	45.34	45.26	45.21(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-10	-11	6	0.67	38%	0.04	-15.8	0.39%	0	-0.7	53	0
22	Sep_6_2017	44.81	45.34	45.34	45.37	45.4	45.28	45.24(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-20	-22	-3	0.89	38%	0.02	-10.8	0.39%	0	-0.6	40	0
23	Sep_5_2017	44.8	45.35	45.34	45.39	45.4	45.42	45.21(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-10	0	-15	6	1.55	38%	0.04	-5.4	0.39%	0	-0.8	44	0
24	Sep_1_2017	44.78	45.35	45.37	45.41	45.42	45.52	45.5(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	20	20	14	1.43	44%	0.04	2.9	0.39%	0	0.9	48	0
25	Aug_31_2017	44.76	45.36	45.33	45.38	45.36	45.43	45.52(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	10	24	8	1.36	45%		8.6	0.39%	0	1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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