Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPLV: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $45.4700 (0.33%) ($45.3200 - $45.5000) on Wed. Jun. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.36% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $45.4700(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(88%)    IWD(87%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    GDXJ(-9%)    DIA(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.18% (StdDev 0.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.21(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.23(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.8(1.5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(58%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.47%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -0.94%(47%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 1.39%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.05%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2017	43.58	44.8	45.23	45.21	45.21	45.34	45.47(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	20	37	100	1.16	74%	0.09	60.5	0.36%	0	1.2	78	INF
2	Jun_13_2017	43.54	44.71	45.18	45.15	45.12	45.18	45.32(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	10	21	105	1.21	74%	0.09	54.4	0.36%	0	1	79	INF
3	Jun_12_2017	43.5	44.64	45.12	45.11	45.1	45.08	45.13(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	-0	-3	110	1.25	73%	0.07	51.8	0.36%	0	0.8	79	INF
4	Jun_9_2017	43.47	44.57	45.09	45.14	45.12	45.06	45.13(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-10	-20	144	2.08	74%	0.09	49.6	0.36%	0	0.9	83	INF
5	Jun_8_2017	43.43	44.51	45.05	45.19	45.19	45.12	45(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	33	-10	-21	193	0.78	71%	0.07	50.7	0.36%	0	0.8	84	INF

6	Jun_7_2017	43.4	44.45	45	45.25	45.26	45.18	45.17(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	59	-10	-3	244	0.62	73%	0.09	55.6	0.37%	0	1.1	90	INF
7	Jun_6_2017	43.36	44.38	44.91	45.2	45.24	45.26	45.13(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	69	10	4	263	0.58	73%	0.05	57.7	0.37%	0	1.2	82	INF
8	Jun_5_2017	43.34	44.32	44.82	45.13	45.17	45.34	45.29(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	100	30	40	279	1.19	73%	0.09	58.6	0.37%	0	1.6	78	INF
9	Jun_2_2017	43.3	44.26	44.68	45.02	45.02	45.23	45.37(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	112	30	58	273	1.28	73%	0.07	59.7	0.37%	0	2	81	INF
10	Jun_1_2017	43.27	44.19	44.51	44.89	44.86	45.01	45.27(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	105	20	57	247	1.48	75%	0.09	60.6	0.37%	0	2.3	78	INF

11	May_31_2017	43.23	44.1	44.33	44.72	44.74	44.81	44.95(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	81	10	41	201	1.44	71%	0.09	56.8	0.36%	0	2	71	INF
12	May_30_2017	43.19	44.04	44.2	44.58	44.61	44.72	44.78(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	20	29	163	1.43	70%	0.09	48.8	0.36%	0	1.9	70	INF
13	May_26_2017	43.15	43.98	44.11	44.47	44.5	44.68	44.72(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	82	30	60	146	0.93	72%	0.07	44	0.37%	0	2.2	64	INF
14	May_25_2017	43.12	43.94	44.01	44.29	44.33	44.5	44.73(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	77	30	68	102	1.48	72%	0.07	37.5	0.37%	0	2.8	60	INF
15	May_24_2017	43.09	43.9	43.91	44.07	44.12	44.32	44.44(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	58	40	60	52	1.15	72%	0.07	30	0.37%	0	2.5	59	INF

16	May_23_2017	43.06	43.87	43.85	43.88	43.92	44.17	44.25(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	55	40	65	23	1.86	71%	0.02	16.3	0.37%	0	2	62	INF
17	May_22_2017	43.05	43.85	43.8	43.76	43.73	43.91	44.19(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.5	32	30	44	-6	1.69	71%	0.07	12.8	0.38%	0	2	60	INF
18	May_19_2017	43.02	43.84	43.78	43.7	43.73	43.67	43.84(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	-0	19	-22	0.94	71%	0.05	13.9	0.37%	0	0	52	INF
19	May_18_2017	43	43.84	43.8	43.68	43.66	43.55	43.65(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-20	-23	-34	2.14	69%	0.05	20.5	0.36%	0	-1.1	46	INF
20	May_17_2017	42.98	43.84	43.83	43.72	43.71	43.65	43.48(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-10	-33	-35	2.01	68%	0.05	29.3	0.36%	0	-1.9	36	INF

21	May_16_2017	42.96	43.84	43.86	43.8	43.77	43.78	43.66(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-0	-6	-14	1.08	73%	0.02	41.5	0.36%	0	-0.9	44	INF
22	May_15_2017	42.95	43.83	43.87	43.84	43.8	43.78	43.88(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10	-6	-19	1.36	77%	0.05	51.2	0.36%	0	0.3	44	INF
23	May_12_2017	42.93	43.82	43.86	43.87	43.83	43.77	43.74(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10	-24	-28	1.43	77%	0.05	55.8	0.36%	0	-0.4	45	INF
24	May_11_2017	42.91	43.79	43.87	43.95	43.91	43.82	43.82(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-20	-20	-1	1.67	77%	0.05	50.9	0.36%	0	0.1	57	INF
25	May_10_2017	42.89	43.78	43.89	43.97	43.98	43.9	43.91(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10	-6	24	1.83	78%		54.5	0.36%	0	0.5	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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