Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $45.2900 (-0.18%) ($45.2800 - $45.4300) on Mon. Jun. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $45.2900(-0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(88%)    IWD(87%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    GDXJ(-9%)    DIA(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.13(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.82(1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.32(2.19%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(60%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 0.75%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.29%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 1.21%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.94%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170705

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_5_2017	43.34	44.32	44.82	45.13	45.17	45.34	45.29(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	100	30	40	279	1.19	73%	0.09	58.6	0.37%	0	1.6	78	INF
2	Jun_2_2017	43.3	44.26	44.68	45.02	45.02	45.23	45.37(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	112	30	58	273	1.28	73%	0.07	59.7	0.37%	0	2	81	INF
3	Jun_1_2017	43.27	44.19	44.51	44.89	44.86	45.01	45.27(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	105	20	57	247	1.48	75%	0.09	60.6	0.37%	0	2.3	78	INF
4	May_31_2017	43.23	44.1	44.33	44.72	44.74	44.81	44.95(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	81	10	41	201	1.44	71%	0.09	56.8	0.36%	0	2	71	INF
5	May_30_2017	43.19	44.04	44.2	44.58	44.61	44.72	44.78(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	20	29	163	1.43	70%	0.09	48.8	0.36%	0	1.9	70	INF

6	May_26_2017	43.15	43.98	44.11	44.47	44.5	44.68	44.72(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	82	30	60	146	0.93	72%	0.07	44	0.37%	0	2.2	64	INF
7	May_25_2017	43.12	43.94	44.01	44.29	44.33	44.5	44.73(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	77	30	68	102	1.48	72%	0.07	37.5	0.37%	0	2.8	60	INF
8	May_24_2017	43.09	43.9	43.91	44.07	44.12	44.32	44.44(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	58	40	60	52	1.15	72%	0.07	30	0.37%	0	2.5	59	INF
9	May_23_2017	43.06	43.87	43.85	43.88	43.92	44.17	44.25(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	55	40	65	23	1.86	71%	0.02	16.3	0.37%	0	2	62	INF
10	May_22_2017	43.05	43.85	43.8	43.76	43.73	43.91	44.19(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.5	32	30	44	-6	1.69	71%	0.07	12.8	0.38%	0	2	60	INF

11	May_19_2017	43.02	43.84	43.78	43.7	43.73	43.67	43.84(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	-0	19	-22	0.94	71%	0.05	13.9	0.37%	0	0	52	INF
12	May_18_2017	43	43.84	43.8	43.68	43.66	43.55	43.65(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-20	-23	-34	2.14	69%	0.05	20.5	0.36%	0	-1.1	46	INF
13	May_17_2017	42.98	43.84	43.83	43.72	43.71	43.65	43.48(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-10	-33	-35	2.01	68%	0.05	29.3	0.36%	0	-1.9	36	INF
14	May_16_2017	42.96	43.84	43.86	43.8	43.77	43.78	43.66(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-0	-6	-14	1.08	73%	0.02	41.5	0.36%	0	-0.9	44	INF
15	May_15_2017	42.95	43.83	43.87	43.84	43.8	43.78	43.88(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10	-6	-19	1.36	77%	0.05	51.2	0.36%	0	0.3	44	INF

16	May_12_2017	42.93	43.82	43.86	43.87	43.83	43.77	43.74(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10	-24	-28	1.43	77%	0.05	55.8	0.36%	0	-0.4	45	INF
17	May_11_2017	42.91	43.79	43.87	43.95	43.91	43.82	43.82(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-20	-20	-1	1.67	77%	0.05	50.9	0.36%	0	0.1	57	INF
18	May_10_2017	42.89	43.78	43.87	43.97	43.98	43.9	43.91(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10	-6	24	1.83	78%	0.05	54.5	0.36%	0	0.5	58	INF
19	May_9_2017	42.87	43.76	43.89	43.92	43.97	43.99	43.86(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	10	0	32	1.36	78%	0.05	50.9	0.36%	0	0.4	61	INF
20	May_8_2017	42.85	43.74	43.91	43.89	43.9	44.06	44(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	30	28	55	1.28	79%	0.07	47.4	0.36%	0	1	61	INF

21	May_5_2017	42.82	43.71	43.9	43.85	43.82	43.94	44.14(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	20	40	64	1.38	79%	0.07	42.1	0.36%	0	1.7	65	INF
22	May_4_2017	42.79	43.67	43.85	43.79	43.77	43.74	43.94(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10	-0	52	1.68	78%	0.05	35.8	0.36%	0	1.2	69	INF
23	May_3_2017	42.77	43.65	43.82	43.81	43.79	43.71	43.66(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-10	-27	51	1.35	76%	0.05	37.7	0.36%	0	0	55	INF
24	May_2_2017	42.75	43.64	43.81	43.86	43.89	43.8	43.72(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10	-25	63	1.01	78%	0.05	41.5	0.36%	0	0.3	56	INF
25	May_1_2017	42.73	43.62	43.8	43.93	43.95	43.88	43.77(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10	-22	82	1.88	71%		47.3	0.37%	0	0.6	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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