Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $43.9100 (0.11%) ($43.8000 - $43.9100) on Wed. May. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.36% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $43.9100(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(88%)    IWD(87%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    GDXJ(-9%)    DIA(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.18% (StdDev 0.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.97(-0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.89(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.78(0.3%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 0.55% (three month std-dev: 0.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.07%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.39%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.5%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2017	42.89	43.78		43.97	43.98	43.9	43.91(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10	-6	24	1.83	78%	0.05	54.5	0.36%	0	0.5	58	0
2	May_9_2017	42.87	43.76	43.89	43.92	43.97	43.99	43.86(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	10	0	32	1.36	78%	0.05	50.9	0.36%	0	0.4	61	0
3	May_8_2017	42.85	43.74	43.91	43.89	43.9	44.06	44(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	30	28	55	1.28	79%	0.07	47.4	0.36%	0	1	61	0
4	May_5_2017	42.82	43.71	43.9	43.85	43.82	43.94	44.14(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	20	40	64	1.38	79%	0.07	42.1	0.36%	0	1.7	65	0
5	May_4_2017	42.79	43.67	43.85	43.79	43.77	43.74	43.94(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10	-0	52	1.68	78%	0.05	35.8	0.36%	0	1.2	69	0

6	May_3_2017	42.77	43.65	43.82	43.81	43.79	43.71	43.66(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-10	-27	51	1.35	76%	0.05	37.7	0.36%	0	0	55	0
7	May_2_2017	42.75	43.64	43.81	43.86	43.89	43.8	43.72(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10	-25	63	1.01	78%	0.05	41.5	0.36%	0	0.3	56	0
8	May_1_2017	42.73	43.62	43.8	43.93	43.95	43.88	43.77(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10	-22	82	1.88	71%	0.07	47.3	0.37%	0	0.6	57	0
9	Apr_28_2017	42.7	43.61	43.78	43.97	43.95	43.98	43.84(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-0	-1	102	1.33	71%	0.07	49.1	0.38%	0	1	61	0
10	Apr_27_2017	42.67	43.59	43.72	43.92	44	43.98	44.04(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	10	18	96	1.58	74%	0.07	43.4	0.38%	0	2	66	0

11	Apr_26_2017	42.64	43.56	43.66	43.84	43.89	44.03	43.92(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	30	28	85	2.01	74%	0.07	33.3	0.38%	0	1.7	62	0
12	Apr_25_2017	42.61	43.54	43.62	43.75	43.78	43.97	44.08(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	58	30	50	80	1.23	74%	0.09	25	0.38%	0	2.8	68	0
13	Apr_24_2017	42.57	43.51	43.55	43.65	43.65	43.76	43.95(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	45	20	40	60	2.43	74%	0.07	3.1	0.38%	0	3.1	67	0
14	Apr_21_2017	42.54	43.51	43.49	43.57	43.56	43.58	43.61(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	0	19	35	1.87	72%	0.07	-30.4	0.37%	0	1.2	54	0
15	Apr_20_2017	42.51	43.51	43.47	43.48	43.51	43.55	43.63(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	10	9	10	1.26	72%	0.09	-56.5	0.37%	0	1.4	52	0

16	Apr_19_2017	42.47	43.49	43.46	43.48	43.45	43.54	43.46(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	10	10	4	1.56	66%	0.05	-64	0.37%	0	-0.3	49	0
17	Apr_18_2017	42.45	43.49	43.45	43.46	43.43	43.48	43.58(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	10	21	4	1.34	66%	0.07	-60	0.38%	0	0.7	47	0
18	Apr_17_2017	42.42	43.5	43.43	43.45	43.4	43.35	43.55(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-4	-10	-1	-11	2.04	66%	0.05	-53.6	0.38%	0	0.4	52	0
19	Apr_13_2017	42.4	43.52	43.42	43.42	43.42	43.37	43.19(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-21	-10	-18	-30	1.6	63%	0.07	-43.8	0.37%	0	-2.4	34	0
20	Apr_12_2017	42.37	43.54	43.42	43.46	43.42	43.45	43.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-0	-0	-17	1.16	69%	0.07	-25	0.36%	0	-0.3	41	0

21	Apr_11_2017	42.34	43.54	43.46	43.45	43.45	43.46	43.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	0	2	-26	1.47	69%	0.07	-9.4	0.36%	0	-0.4	39	0
22	Apr_10_2017	42.31	43.56	43.47	43.44	43.46	43.45	43.5(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-0	8	-27	1.17	69%	0.07	-12.5	0.36%	0	-0.4	44	0
23	Apr_7_2017	42.28	43.57	43.46	43.41	43.44	43.43	43.39(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	0	-7	-45	1.19	62%	0.07	-15.6	0.38%	0	-1.3	32	0
24	Apr_6_2017	42.25	43.57	43.48	43.43	43.43	43.47	43.42(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	10	-2	-51	1.04	62%	0.09	-18.8	0.38%	0	-1.1	30	0
25	Apr_5_2017	42.21	43.58	43.5	43.45	43.45	43.45	43.45(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	0	6	-45	2.6	62%		-26.5	0.38%	0	-0.9	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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