Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $43.5600 (0.11%) ($43.4800 - $43.6300) on Tue. Feb. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.48% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $43.5600(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(88%)    IWD(87%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    GDXJ(-9%)    DIA(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.24% (StdDev 0.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.44(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.13(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.57(2.33%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 0.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(46%) Average negative next day return: -0.5%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.09%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -0.82%(38%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 1.43%(69%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.09%(31%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2017	41.31	42.57	43.13	43.44	43.46	43.55	43.56(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	62	20	19	191	1.68	51%	0.07	65.6	0.48%	0	1.5	93	INF
2	Feb_27_2017	41.28	42.48	43.03	43.36	43.36	43.5	43.51(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	78	20	34	210	1.44	51%	0.07	65.8	0.48%	0	1.6	93	INF
3	Feb_24_2017	41.25	42.39	42.92	43.23	43.22	43.38	43.63(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	85	30	44	206	2.9	54%	0.07	63.8	0.49%	0	2	89	INF
4	Feb_23_2017	41.22	42.29	42.77	43.06	43.05	43.21	43.35(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	78	30	39	193	3.68	52%	0.07	65.9	0.49%	0	1.9	89	INF
5	Feb_22_2017	41.19	42.21	42.64	42.91	42.89	43.06	43.17(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	77	30	40	189	1.42	52%	0.05	64.5	0.49%	0	1.9	90	INF

6	Feb_21_2017	41.17	42.13	42.51	42.77	42.72	42.9	43.13(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	71	30	38	171	3.22	52%	0.05	62.5	0.49%	0	2.1	74	INF
7	Feb_17_2017	41.15	42.05	42.37	42.66	42.58	42.72	42.89(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	20	33	155	1.61	49%	0.05	64.3	0.49%	0	2	74	INF
8	Feb_16_2017	41.13	41.99	42.26	42.55	42.5	42.55	42.78(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	60	0	31	145	2.92	49%	0.02	64.4	0.49%	0	2.1	69	INF
9	Feb_15_2017	41.12	41.92	42.15	42.42	42.39	42.55	42.57(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	10	15	119	1.83	47%	0	62	0.49%	0	2	67	INF
10	Feb_14_2017	41.12	41.88	42.04	42.32	42.31	42.44	42.5(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	20	29	101	1.21	47%	0.02	66.7	0.49%	0	2.1	66	INF

11	Feb_13_2017	41.11	41.84	41.97	42.19	42.19	42.35	42.54(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	55	30	43	91	1.65	47%	0.02	62.9	0.49%	0	2.7	68	INF
12	Feb_10_2017	41.1	41.79	41.88	42.03	42.03	42.18	42.36(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	40	20	32	63	1.59	47%	0	48	0.49%	0	2.7	68	INF
13	Feb_9_2017	41.1	41.75	41.81	41.94	41.91	42.02	42.14(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	20	26	46	1.96	42%	0	39	0.5%	0	2.3	58	INF
14	Feb_8_2017	41.1	41.72	41.77	41.85	41.85	41.88	42.07(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	28	10	25	37	1.44	45%	0.02	23.5	0.51%	0	2.5	61	INF
15	Feb_7_2017	41.09	41.69	41.74	41.85	41.75	41.81	41.85(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	10	2	8	1.12	51%	0	-6.9	0.51%	0	1.3	50	INF

16	Feb_6_2017	41.09	41.69	41.72	41.72	41.69	41.83	41.73(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	20	14	11	2.02	51%	0.02	-6.9	0.56%	0	0.4	51	INF
17	Feb_3_2017	41.08	41.69	41.71	41.7	41.67	41.7	41.9(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	17	0	19	12	2.04	51%	0.02	-3.2	0.56%	0	1.7	58	INF
18	Feb_2_2017	41.07	41.68	41.69	41.67	41.61	41.55	41.69(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10	-11	-1	2.45	51%	0.02	3.4	0.55%	0	0.1	53	INF
19	Feb_1_2017	41.06	41.69	41.68	41.69	41.65	41.63	41.44(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-8	-10	-10	-1	2.97	44%	0	6.5	0.55%	0	-1.9	46	INF
20	Jan_31_2017	41.06	41.7	41.71	41.75	41.69	41.66	41.82(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10	0	19	2.66	47%	0.02	17.2	0.56%	0	1	60	INF

21	Jan_30_2017	41.05	41.68	41.7	41.73	41.7	41.67	41.66(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10	-4	18	1.55	47%	0.02	3.4	0.56%	0	-0.2	53	INF
22	Jan_27_2017	41.04	41.69	41.69	41.73	41.71	41.73	41.75(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	0	1	8	2.71	47%	-0.02	0	0.57%	0	0.5	44	INF
23	Jan_26_2017	41.05	41.69	41.68	41.71	41.68	41.74	41.76(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	10	9	6	1.35	47%	0	-17.2	0.57%	0	0.7	47	INF
24	Jan_25_2017	41.05	41.69	41.66	41.66	41.67	41.69	41.77(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	0	7	-6	1.87	47%	-0.02	-22.6	0.57%	0	0.7	48	INF
25	Jan_24_2017	41.06	41.68	41.64	41.67	41.64	41.62	41.71(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10	-3	-12	1.07	47%		-16.1	0.57%	0	0.2	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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