Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $41.8800 (0.17%) ($41.7400 - $41.9400) on Tue. Dec. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $41.8800(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(88%)    IWD(87%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    GDXJ(-8%)    DIA(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.62(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.56(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.16(1.75%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 1.17% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.62%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.88%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -1.33%(39%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 1.17%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.6%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2016	41.22	41.16	41.56	41.62	41.63	41.79	41.88(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	30	14	123	1.68	46%	-0.02	66.7	0.64%	0	1.5	73	INF
2	Dec_19_2016	41.23	41.1	41.44	41.61	41.58	41.65	41.81(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	10	15	114	2.03	46%	-0.02	73.2	0.64%	0	1.5	57	INF
3	Dec_16_2016	41.24	41.02	41.33	41.59	41.59	41.47	41.6(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-20	0	98	2.35	46%	-0.02	73.2	0.64%	0	1.3	57	INF
4	Dec_15_2016	41.25	40.96	41.22	41.56	41.58	41.5	41.45(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10	-12	81	1.9	46%	-0.02	75	0.64%	0	1.1	57	INF
5	Dec_14_2016	41.26	40.9	41.12	41.5	41.56	41.72	41.37(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	30	13	81	3.3	46%	-0.05	71.4	0.64%	0	1	61	INF

6	Dec_13_2016	41.28	40.85	41.04	41.47	41.44	41.66	41.84(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	60	30	48	94	1.58	45%	-0.02	67.3	0.62%	0	2.2	66	INF
7	Dec_12_2016	41.29	40.76	40.97	41.24	41.23	41.41	41.68(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	30	40	74	2.58	50%	-0.02	57.3	0.65%	0	2.2	67	INF
8	Dec_9_2016	41.3	40.68	40.9	41.03	41.01	41.22	41.44(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	30	35	61	2.06	43%	-0.05	54.8	0.67%	0	2	68	INF
9	Dec_8_2016	41.32	40.62	40.85	40.84	40.83	41.05	41.16(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	40	32	45	2.03	41%	-0.05	50	0.76%	0	1.5	63	INF
10	Dec_7_2016	41.34	40.57	40.79	40.68	40.67	40.81	41.22(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	28	20	26	32	1.69	41%	-0.05	48.1	0.76%	0	2	65	INF

11	Dec_6_2016	41.36	40.54	40.73	40.56	40.55	40.61	40.7(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-1	10	-5	13	1.44	37%	-0.05	51.4	0.74%	0	0.5	57	INF
12	Dec_5_2016	41.38	40.52	40.72	40.67	40.61	40.54	40.61(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-20	-8	30	1.96	37%	-0.05	60.8	0.75%	0	0.3	59	INF
13	Dec_2_2016	41.4	40.48	40.69	40.76	40.76	40.48	40.51(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-50	-24	38	1.86	39%	-0.07	52.3	0.75%	0	0.1	59	INF
14	Dec_1_2016	41.43	40.44	40.69	40.85	40.88	40.68	40.37(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-10	-30	-30	50	2.69	39%	-0.07	50	0.75%	0	-0.2	57	INF
15	Nov_30_2016	41.46	40.41	40.68	40.89	40.97	41.03	40.6(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	20	-2	66	3.59	39%	-0.05	45.5	0.75%	0	0.5	56	INF

16	Nov_29_2016	41.48	40.39	40.66	40.91	40.89	41.09	41.24(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	30	28	80	1.89	45%	-0.05	41.3	0.72%	0	2	60	INF
17	Nov_28_2016	41.5	40.34	40.55	40.77	40.75	40.9	41.09(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	20	30	62	1.89	45%	-0.05	38	0.73%	0	2	64	INF
18	Nov_25_2016	41.52	40.29	40.45	40.61	40.61	40.7	40.95(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	20	20	50	1.05	43%	-0.1	29.1	0.74%	0	2.1	72	INF
19	Nov_23_2016	41.56	40.25	40.36	40.49	40.48	40.6	40.58(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	20	13	43	2.04	40%	-0.05	18.6	0.72%	0	1.2	66	INF
20	Nov_22_2016	41.58	40.23	40.34	40.43	40.41	40.52	40.7(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	20	19	49	2.27	40%	-0.02	9	0.72%	0	1.7	66	INF

21	Nov_21_2016	41.59	40.21	40.32	40.36	40.32	40.37	40.54(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	10	12	51	1.69	40%	-0.05	-1.6	0.72%	0	1.3	59	INF
22	Nov_18_2016	41.61	40.21	40.3	40.29	40.27	40.3	40.27(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	0	5	39	1.32	40%	-0.07	-11.7	0.72%	0	0.3	46	INF
23	Nov_17_2016	41.64	40.21	40.24	40.26	40.23	40.28	40.37(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	10	7	26	2.25	40%	-0.02	-19.4	0.72%	0	0.7	52	INF
24	Nov_16_2016	41.65	40.2	40.18	40.21	40.19	40.25	40.27(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	10	4	14	1.52	39%	-0.02	-30.6	0.72%	0	0.3	53	INF
25	Nov_15_2016	41.66	40.21	40.14	40.23	40.17	40.19	40.35(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1	-0	0	4	3.08	39%		-28.4	0.73%	0	0.5	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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