Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $41.0900 (0.34%) ($40.8800 - $41.1400) on Mon. Nov. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $41.0900(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(88%)    IWD(87%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    GDXJ(-8%)    DIA(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.77(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.55(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.34(1.86%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.31%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.29%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.12%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.8%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.69%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_28_2016	41.5	40.34	40.55	40.77	40.75	40.9	41.09(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	20	30	62	1.89	45%	-0.05	38	0.73%	0	2	64	INF
2	Nov_25_2016	41.52	40.29	40.45	40.61	40.61	40.7	40.95(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	20	20	50	1.05	43%	-0.1	29.1	0.74%	0	2.1	72	INF
3	Nov_23_2016	41.56	40.25	40.36	40.49	40.48	40.6	40.58(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	20	13	43	2.04	40%	-0.05	18.6	0.72%	0	1.2	66	INF
4	Nov_22_2016	41.58	40.23	40.34	40.43	40.41	40.52	40.7(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	20	19	49	2.27	40%	-0.02	9	0.72%	0	1.7	66	INF
5	Nov_21_2016	41.59	40.21	40.32	40.36	40.32	40.37	40.54(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	10	12	51	1.69	40%	-0.05	-1.6	0.72%	0	1.3	59	INF

6	Nov_18_2016	41.61	40.21	40.3	40.29	40.27	40.3	40.27(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	0	5	39	1.32	40%	-0.07	-11.7	0.72%	0	0.3	46	INF
7	Nov_17_2016	41.64	40.21	40.24	40.26	40.23	40.28	40.37(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	10	7	26	2.25	40%	-0.02	-19.4	0.72%	0	0.7	52	INF
8	Nov_16_2016	41.65	40.2	40.18	40.21	40.19	40.25	40.27(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	10	4	14	1.52	39%	-0.02	-30.6	0.72%	0	0.3	53	INF
9	Nov_15_2016	41.66	40.21	40.14	40.23	40.19	40.19	40.35(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1	-0	0	4	3.08	39%	-0.02	-28.4	0.73%	0	0.5	50	INF
10	Nov_14_2016	41.67	40.22	40.1	40.29	40.17	40.13	40.18(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-20	-7	0	4.46	39%	-0.02	-16.4	0.73%	0	-0.1	46	INF

11	Nov_11_2016	41.68	40.23	40.12	40.32	40.17	40.16	40.15(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	6	-20	5	10	2.55	39%	-0.02	-15.7	0.72%	0	-0.3	46	INF
12	Nov_10_2016	41.69	40.25	40.13	40.21	40.25	40.2	40.12(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	1	-10	2	-4	6.06	39%	-0.02	-26.4	0.73%	0	-0.4	48	INF
13	Nov_9_2016	41.7	40.27	40.13	40.13	40.13	40.33	40.34(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	30	14	-13	6.97	39%	-0.02	-34.7	0.72%	0	0.2	50	INF
14	Nov_8_2016	41.71	40.28	40.12	40.02	40.03	40.29	40.64(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	25	50	40	-19	2.38	40%	-0.02	-44.4	0.72%	0	1.2	50	INF
15	Nov_7_2016	41.72	40.26	40.12	39.89	39.88	39.93	40.34(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-7	10	8	-53	3.73	38%	-0.02	-61.3	0.71%	0	0.3	44	INF

16	Nov_4_2016	41.73	40.28	40.08	39.92	39.9	39.77	39.61(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-20	-21	-68	2.71	31%	-0.05	-66.2	0.67%	0	-2.2	31	INF
17	Nov_3_2016	41.75	40.32	40.15	40.04	40.06	39.83	39.74(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-34	-40	-25	-60	2.37	31%	-0.02	-81.3	0.67%	0	-2.2	33	INF
18	Nov_2_2016	41.76	40.37	40.21	40.1	40.16	40.04	39.79(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-20	-31	-63	3.36	31%	-0.02	-100	0.67%	0	-2.5	31	INF
19	Nov_1_2016	41.77	40.41	40.29	40.21	40.24	40.3	39.99(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	10	-5	-41	4.33	31%	-0.02	-136.2	0.67%	0	-2.2	36	INF
20	Oct_31_2016	41.78	40.45	40.29	40.29	40.26	40.27	40.46(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-0	7	-20	2.24	33%	-0.02	-133.3	0.66%	0	0	57	INF

21	Oct_28_2016	41.79	40.48	40.35	40.29	40.27	40.18	40.22(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-20	-9	-33	3.35	33%	-0.05	-105.2	0.66%	0	-0.8	38	INF
22	Oct_27_2016	41.81	40.54	40.38	40.28	40.27	40.26	40.06(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10	-12	-35	2.64	32%	-0.02	-101.2	0.66%	0	-1.4	41	INF
23	Oct_26_2016	41.82	40.6	40.44	40.34	40.33	40.36	40.32(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	0	-7	-26	1.43	32%	-0.02	-89.3	0.66%	0	-0.7	43	INF
24	Oct_25_2016	41.83	40.67	40.46	40.38	40.35	40.4	40.39(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	10	2	-18	4.47	32%	0	-77.1	0.66%	0	-0.6	46	INF
25	Oct_24_2016	41.83	40.74	40.45	40.42	40.38	40.31	40.4(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-20	-3	-24	1.5	32%		-64.8	0.66%	0	-0.7	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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