Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPLV: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $40.6400 (0.74%) ($40.1900 - $40.6950) on Tue. Nov. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $40.6400(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(88%)    IWD(87%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    GDXJ(-8%)    DIA(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.02(1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.12(1.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.28(0.89%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 0.72% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.18%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.74%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.62%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.18%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2016	41.71	40.28	40.12	40.02	40.03	40.29	40.64(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	25	50	40	-19	2.38	40%	-0.02	-44.4	0.72%	0	1.2	50	INF
2	Nov_7_2016	41.72	40.26	40.12	39.89	39.88	39.93	40.34(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-7	10	8	-53	3.73	38%	-0.02	-61.3	0.71%	0	0.3	44	INF
3	Nov_4_2016	41.73	40.28	40.08	39.92	39.9	39.77	39.61(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-20	-21	-68	2.71	31%	-0.05	-66.2	0.67%	0	-2.2	31	INF
4	Nov_3_2016	41.75	40.32	40.15	40.04	40.06	39.83	39.74(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-34	-40	-25	-60	2.37	31%	-0.02	-81.3	0.67%	0	-2.2	33	INF
5	Nov_2_2016	41.76	40.37	40.21	40.1	40.16	40.04	39.79(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-20	-31	-63	3.36	31%	-0.02	-100	0.67%	0	-2.5	31	INF

6	Nov_1_2016	41.77	40.41	40.29	40.21	40.24	40.3	39.99(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	10	-5	-41	4.33	31%	-0.02	-136.2	0.67%	0	-2.2	36	INF
7	Oct_31_2016	41.78	40.45	40.29	40.29	40.26	40.27	40.46(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-0	7	-20	2.24	33%	-0.02	-133.3	0.66%	0	0	57	INF
8	Oct_28_2016	41.79	40.48	40.35	40.29	40.27	40.18	40.22(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-20	-9	-33	3.35	33%	-0.05	-105.2	0.66%	0	-0.8	38	INF
9	Oct_27_2016	41.81	40.54	40.38	40.28	40.27	40.26	40.06(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10	-12	-35	2.64	32%	-0.02	-101.2	0.66%	0	-1.4	41	INF
10	Oct_26_2016	41.82	40.6	40.44	40.34	40.33	40.36	40.32(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	0	-7	-26	1.43	32%	-0.02	-89.3	0.66%	0	-0.7	43	INF

11	Oct_25_2016	41.83	40.67	40.46	40.38	40.35	40.4	40.39(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	10	2	-18	4.47	32%	0	-77.1	0.66%	0	-0.6	46	INF
12	Oct_24_2016	41.83	40.74	40.45	40.42	40.38	40.31	40.4(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-20	-3	-24	1.5	32%	-0.02	-64.8	0.66%	0	-0.7	44	INF
13	Oct_21_2016	41.84	40.81	40.48	40.44	40.44	40.3	40.25(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-20	-19	-36	2.79	32%	0	-56.2	0.66%	0	-1	32	INF
14	Oct_20_2016	41.84	40.89	40.51	40.49	40.52	40.46	40.32(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10	-17	-50	1.87	32%	-0.02	-44.3	0.66%	0	-0.9	28	INF
15	Oct_19_2016	41.85	40.98	40.54	40.55	40.52	40.59	40.52(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	0	0	-51	1.31	32%	0	-33.8	0.66%	0	-0.7	33	INF

16	Oct_18_2016	41.85	41.04	40.54	40.56	40.57	40.58	40.6(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	0	9	-73	1.5	32%	-0.02	-26.8	0.66%	0	-0.7	28	INF
17	Oct_17_2016	41.86	41.08	40.55	40.49	40.52	40.56	40.5(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	10	-3	-111	1.38	32%	0	-27.4	0.66%	0	-1	26	INF
18	Oct_14_2016	41.86	41.13	40.61	40.53	40.5	40.57	40.49(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-26	10	5	-118	2.58	32%	0	-27.7	0.66%	0	-1.1	27	INF
19	Oct_13_2016	41.86	41.16	40.7	40.53	40.52	40.48	40.64(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-30	-10	3	-130	2.32	32%	0	-26.5	0.66%	0	-0.9	27	INF
20	Oct_12_2016	41.86	41.19	40.77	40.53	40.54	40.43	40.57(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	-20	-11	-153	2.21	32%	0.02	-34.3	0.66%	0	-1.1	23	INF

21	Oct_11_2016	41.85	41.21	40.89	40.54	40.57	40.56	40.24(-1.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-52	0	-16	-159	2.72	28%	0	-46.6	0.66%	0	-1.8	24	INF
22	Oct_10_2016	41.85	41.25	41.05	40.62	40.63	40.65	40.73(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	0	-3	-141	1.51	31%	0.02	-59.5	0.64%	0	-1	42	INF
23	Oct_7_2016	41.84	41.29	41.15	40.7	40.67	40.58	40.52(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-20	-24	-131	2.54	36%	0	-63	0.65%	0	-1.6	40	INF
24	Oct_6_2016	41.84	41.31	41.3	40.89	40.83	40.61	40.63(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-40	-33	-94	3.46	36%	0.02	-63	0.66%	0	-1.4	45	INF
25	Oct_5_2016	41.83	41.38	41.45	41.04	41.07	40.76	40.56(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-55	-50	-52	-65	6.64	36%		-54.2	0.66%	0	-1.7	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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