Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $40.6000 (0.25%) ($40.5100 - $40.7800) on Tue. Oct. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $40.6000(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(88%)    IWD(87%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    GDXJ(-8%)    DIA(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $41.04
5 Day Moving Average   $40.56(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.55(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.04(-1.07%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2016	41.85	41.04		40.56	40.57	40.58	40.6(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	0	9	-73	1.5	32%	-0.02	-26.8	0.66%	0	-0.7	28	INF
2	Oct_17_2016	41.86	41.08	40.55	40.49	40.52	40.56	40.5(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	10	-3	-111	1.38	32%	0	-27.4	0.66%	0	-1	26	INF
3	Oct_14_2016	41.86	41.13	40.61	40.53	40.5	40.57	40.49(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-26	10	5	-118	2.58	32%	0	-27.7	0.66%	0	-1.1	27	INF
4	Oct_13_2016	41.86	41.16	40.7	40.53	40.52	40.48	40.64(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-30	-10	3	-130	2.32	32%	0	-26.5	0.66%	0	-0.9	27	INF
5	Oct_12_2016	41.86	41.19	40.77	40.53	40.54	40.43	40.57(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	-20	-11	-153	2.21	32%	0.02	-34.3	0.66%	0	-1.1	23	INF

6	Oct_11_2016	41.85	41.21	40.89	40.54	40.57	40.56	40.24(-1.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-52	0	-16	-159	2.72	28%	0	-46.6	0.66%	0	-1.8	24	INF
7	Oct_10_2016	41.85	41.25	41.05	40.62	40.63	40.65	40.73(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	0	-3	-141	1.51	31%	0.02	-59.5	0.64%	0	-1	42	INF
8	Oct_7_2016	41.84	41.29	41.15	40.7	40.67	40.58	40.52(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-20	-24	-131	2.54	36%	0	-63	0.65%	0	-1.6	40	INF
9	Oct_6_2016	41.84	41.31	41.3	40.89	40.83	40.61	40.63(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-40	-33	-94	3.46	36%	0.02	-63	0.66%	0	-1.4	45	INF
10	Oct_5_2016	41.83	41.38	41.45	41.04	41.07	40.76	40.56(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-55	-50	-52	-65	6.64	36%	0	-54.2	0.66%	0	-1.7	44	INF

11	Oct_4_2016	41.83	41.46	41.59	41.3	41.3	41.06	40.65(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-43	-40	-52	-14	3.71	36%	0	-38.1	0.66%	0	-1.7	51	INF
12	Oct_3_2016	41.83	41.55	41.67	41.54	41.53	41.38	41.13(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-13	-30	-29	35	2.99	39%	0.02	-23.9	0.65%	0	-0.9	59	INF
13	Sep_30_2016	41.82	41.6	41.7	41.67	41.68	41.54	41.49(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-20	-22	53	3.15	49%	0	-12.2	0.64%	0	-0.2	51	INF
14	Sep_29_2016	41.82	41.62	41.67	41.76	41.77	41.68	41.38(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10	-26	64	2.87	53%	0.02	-9.6	0.7%	0	-0.5	60	INF
15	Sep_28_2016	41.81	41.62	41.65	41.92	41.88	41.83	41.84(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10	-5	75	2.26	59%	0.02	-2.6	0.7%	0	0.4	46	INF

16	Sep_27_2016	41.8	41.65	41.56	41.93	41.96	41.85	41.85(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-20	4	56	1.33	59%	0.02	-4.3	0.71%	0	0.4	45	INF
17	Sep_26_2016	41.79	41.65	41.47	41.82	41.9	41.94	41.79(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	10	2	17	3.8	59%	0.02	-12.7	0.71%	0	0.3	42	INF
18	Sep_23_2016	41.78	41.65	41.43	41.72	41.79	42.07	41.96(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	50	33	4	2.16	56%	0.05	-22	0.74%	0	0.6	46	INF
19	Sep_22_2016	41.76	41.65	41.31	41.56	41.59	41.86	42.16(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	29	50	48	-27	2.38	56%	0.05	-33.3	0.75%	0	1	51	INF
20	Sep_21_2016	41.74	41.66	41.28	41.35	41.32	41.5	41.88(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	30	32	-55	3.57	56%	0.02	-46.7	0.74%	0	0.4	48	INF

21	Sep_20_2016	41.73	41.67	41.3	41.15	41.15	41.32	41.33(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	30	24	-78	2.01	52%	0.02	-56.6	0.73%	0	-0.7	43	INF
22	Sep_19_2016	41.72	41.72	41.39	41.06	41.03	41.13	41.29(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	10	10	-92	3.91	52%	0.05	-60.8	0.73%	0	-0.8	39	INF
23	Sep_16_2016	41.7	41.77	41.47	41.09	40.98	40.99	41.12(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-10	7	-85	2.37	54%	0.02	-62.2	0.73%	0	-1.2	43	INF
24	Sep_15_2016	41.69	41.83	41.55	41.03	41	40.93	41.15(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-41	-10	-18	-108	2.91	52%	0.02	-68.5	0.73%	0	-1.3	39	INF
25	Sep_14_2016	41.68	41.89	41.63	41.21	41.09	40.97	40.86(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-53	-30	-36	-102	3.12	52%		-64.7	0.73%	0	-2.1	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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