Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $42.8900 (-0.3%) ($42.7700 - $42.9600) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $42.8900(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(87%)    SDY(87%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-14%)    IPO(-7%)    GDXJ(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.01(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.07(-0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.62(0.63%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.62%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.53%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2016	41.02	42.62	43.07	43.01	43	42.99	42.89(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-0	-9	14	1.73	60%	0.05	56.9	0.65%	0	0.4	54	0
2	Jul_20_2016	41	42.55	43.06	43.06	43.05	43.03	43.02(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-0	-1	38	1.76	57%	0.07	59	0.68%	0	0.6	74	0
3	Jul_19_2016	40.97	42.47	43.05	43.09	43.07	43.01	43.06(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	-10	-5	71	1.78	57%	0.07	59.2	0.69%	0	0.7	79	0
4	Jul_18_2016	40.94	42.39	43.04	43.08	43.1	43.07	43.01(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-0	-7	107	1.75	57%	0.05	59.2	0.69%	0	0.7	82	0
5	Jul_15_2016	40.92	42.29	43.01	43.11	43.12	43.07	43.07(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	35	0	-3	147	2.04	57%	0.07	58.2	0.69%	0	0.9	81	0

6	Jul_14_2016	40.89	42.2	42.99	43.14	43.14	43.13	43.14(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	53	-0	10	180	2.24	57%	0.07	57.8	0.69%	0	1.1	67	0
7	Jul_13_2016	40.86	42.09	42.87	43.05	43.1	43.1	43.18(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	0	2	180	3.71	57%	0.07	53.9	0.69%	0	1.3	70	0
8	Jul_12_2016	40.83	42	42.69	43.01	43.04	43.15	42.98(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	52	20	8	182	4.04	59%	0.07	56	0.69%	0	1.2	68	0
9	Jul_11_2016	40.8	41.9	42.5	43	42.98	43.09	43.19(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	62	20	22	183	3.21	59%	0.07	57.7	0.69%	0	1.6	72	0
10	Jul_8_2016	40.77	41.8	42.29	42.9	42.89	42.93	43.19(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	10	12	170	2.68	59%	0.1	60.9	0.69%	0	1.8	73	0

11	Jul_7_2016	40.73	41.71	42.13	42.82	42.83	42.87	42.71(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	59	10	19	178	2.14	54%	0.05	70.3	0.68%	0	1.4	68	0
12	Jul_6_2016	40.71	41.64	42	42.65	42.7	42.85	42.99(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	74	30	40	175	2.88	55%	0.1	70.4	0.69%	0	2	74	0
13	Jul_5_2016	40.67	41.53	41.83	42.32	42.41	42.79	42.9(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	85	70	62	152	2.46	53%	0.07	68.3	0.69%	0	2.3	68	0
14	Jul_1_2016	40.64	41.43	41.67	41.93	42.01	42.55	42.71(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	91	100	82	119	3.19	55%	0.07	62	0.7%	0	2.6	68	0
15	Jun_30_2016	40.61	41.34	41.5	41.58	41.53	42.03	42.78(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	71	80	70	72	6.45	55%	0.07	56.9	0.7%	0	3.4	64	0

16	Jun_29_2016	40.58	41.23	41.33	41.37	41.18	41.47	41.85(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	41	40	43	33	3.7	52%	0.05	72.1	0.65%	0	2.2	53	0
17	Jun_28_2016	40.56	41.17	41.24	41.27	41.15	41.03	41.36(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-30	7	1	4.13	50%	0.02	69.1	0.65%	0	0.7	51	0
18	Jun_27_2016	40.55	41.13	41.23	41.28	41.21	40.9	40.93(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-60	-41	-13	4.63	47%	0.02	82.4	0.64%	0	-0.7	50	0
19	Jun_24_2016	40.54	41.12	41.25	41.36	41.35	41.27	40.99(-1.7%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-18	-10	-26	6	4.66	47%	0.02	93.2	0.65%	0	-0.4	52	0
20	Jun_23_2016	40.53	41.1	41.29	41.39	41.45	41.52	41.7(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	20	22	38	1.44	52%	0.02	95	0.61%	0	1.8	64	0

21	Jun_22_2016	40.52	41.03	41.27	41.29	41.33	41.42	41.37(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	12	38	1.82	49%	0.05	88	0.61%	0	1	65	0
22	Jun_21_2016	40.5	40.98	41.25	41.22	41.24	41.39	41.41(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	30	20	44	1.63	49%	0.02	79.5	0.61%	0	1.2	67	0
23	Jun_20_2016	40.49	40.91	41.21	41.18	41.16	41.24	41.33(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	10	17	49	1.93	49%	0.05	58	0.62%	0	1	68	0
24	Jun_17_2016	40.47	40.85	41.18	41.14	41.11	41.1	41.12(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-0	-3	44	2.16	49%	0.02	46.3	0.62%	0	0.6	64	0
25	Jun_16_2016	40.46	40.79	41.17	41.19	41.13	41.08	41.24(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10	-10	60	2.3	49%		37.4	0.63%	0	1	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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