Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $40.9800 (-0.02%) ($40.8300 - $41.0832) on Mon. Jun. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $40.9800(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(87%)    IWD(86%)    IVE(85%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-14%)    IPO(-6%)    GDXJ(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.79(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.57(1.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.53(1.11%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.64%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.47%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.54%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.87%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160706

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2016	40.34	40.53	40.57	40.79	40.78	40.93	40.98(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	30	22	78	1.63	51%	0.02	34.9	0.64%	0	1.3	50	0
2	Jun_3_2016	40.33	40.5	40.48	40.71	40.67	40.79	40.99(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	20	24	59	1.75	51%	0.05	37	0.65%	0	1.5	56	0
3	Jun_2_2016	40.31	40.47	40.38	40.61	40.58	40.63	40.75(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	10	16	23	1.4	51%	0.02	35.4	0.65%	0	0.9	44	0
4	Jun_1_2016	40.3	40.44	40.3	40.52	40.51	40.55	40.69(0.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	6	10	9	-5	1.74	51%	0	28.6	0.66%	0	0.8	48	0
5	May_31_2016	40.3	40.42	40.25	40.45	40.46	40.53	40.54(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	10	18	-26	2.28	51%	0.02	26	0.66%	0	0.4	41	0

6	May_27_2016	40.29	40.41	40.28	40.32	40.38	40.47	40.59(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	20	21	-37	1.06	51%	0.02	21.5	0.67%	0	0.6	49	0
7	May_26_2016	40.28	40.38	40.27	40.21	40.24	40.38	40.48(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	30	19	-50	1.55	51%	0	12.2	0.68%	0	0.3	50	0
8	May_25_2016	40.28	40.38	40.3	40.11	40.15	40.28	40.28(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	30	22	-50	2.04	51%	0	8.5	0.68%	0	-0.2	50	0
9	May_24_2016	40.28	40.35	40.34	40.06	40.05	40.09	40.35(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	10	7	-55	1.91	51%	0	4.8	0.69%	0	0	51	0
10	May_23_2016	40.28	40.35	40.4	40.04	40.03	40.02	39.89(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-0	-19	-54	1.27	48%	-0.02	-4.6	0.67%	0	-1.3	47	0

11	May_20_2016	40.29	40.35	40.48	40.23	40.16	40.01	40.05(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-30	-17	-24	1.26	48%	0	2.3	0.68%	0	-0.8	47	0
12	May_19_2016	40.29	40.34	40.53	40.33	40.32	40.05	39.97(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	-50	-41	-12	1.8	48%	-0.02	4.3	0.69%	0	-1	53	0
13	May_18_2016	40.3	40.33	40.58	40.53	40.5	40.31	40.04(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-23	-40	-37	21	2.03	48%	-0.02	12	0.69%	0	-0.8	53	0
14	May_17_2016	40.31	40.34	40.61	40.66	40.68	40.59	40.24(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10	-23	44	4.29	48%	0	21.7	0.7%	0	-0.3	51	0
15	May_16_2016	40.31	40.35	40.62	40.82	40.78	40.69	40.85(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-20	-5	81	2.26	53%	0.05	37	0.66%	0	1.4	64	0

16	May_13_2016	40.29	40.34	40.57	40.77	40.82	40.78	40.55(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	19	-0	-4	86	2.15	50%	0	42.5	0.66%	0	0.6	62	0
17	May_12_2016	40.29	40.32	40.51	40.76	40.78	40.86	40.97(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	20	17	98	2.53	55%	0.05	43.7	0.64%	0	1.9	71	0
18	May_11_2016	40.27	40.28	40.41	40.63	40.64	40.85	40.71(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	40	24	94	1.63	52%	0.05	40.5	0.64%	0	1.3	72	0
19	May_10_2016	40.25	40.26	40.36	40.55	40.51	40.7	41.02(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	55	30	42	92	2.25	56%	0.05	34.7	0.64%	0	2.5	61	0
20	May_9_2016	40.23	40.22	40.25	40.39	40.34	40.43	40.62(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	10	17	50	2.3	51%	0.05	27.4	0.63%	0	1.6	48	0

21	May_6_2016	40.21	40.19	40.18	40.33	40.25	40.33	40.46(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	10	15	29	2.23	51%	0	14	0.63%	0	1.2	46	0
22	May_5_2016	40.21	40.17	40.12	40.23	40.21	40.26	40.34(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	10	17	7	2.43	51%	0.02	-7	0.64%	0	0.7	50	0
23	May_4_2016	40.2	40.17	40.05	40.16	40.1	40.18	40.3(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	10	5	-20	2.04	51%	0	-22.8	0.65%	0	0.6	51	0
24	May_3_2016	40.2	40.16	40.04	40.14	40.05	40.17	40.21(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	10	16	-18	3.67	51%	0	-26.3	0.67%	0	0.2	48	0
25	May_2_2016	40.2	40.15	40.07	40.09	40.03	40.02	40.35(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	-10	14	-20	2.79	51%		-33.3	0.67%	0	0.8	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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