Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $39.9800 (-0.62%) ($39.8600 - $40.2300) on Thu. Apr. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $39.9800(-0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(87%)    IWD(86%)    IVE(85%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-14%)    IPO(-6%)    GDXJ(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $40.19
5 Day Moving Average   $40(-0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.12(-0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.19(-0.52%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 0.65% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2016	40.2	40.19	40.12	40	39.98	40.04	39.98(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	10	7	-22	3.23	45%	-0.02	0	0.67%	0	-0.8	47	INF
2	Apr_27_2016	40.21	40.19	40.12	39.92	39.93	40.05	40.23(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	20	11	-26	3.52	45%	0	0	0.67%	0	0.1	55	INF
3	Apr_26_2016	40.21	40.21	40.15	39.93	39.89	39.92	39.97(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	0	-6	-35	1.9	45%	-0.02	0	0.67%	0	-1	43	INF
4	Apr_25_2016	40.22	40.21	40.19	40.05	40	39.81	39.91(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-40	-21	-21	1.95	45%	-0.05	0	0.69%	0	-1.2	48	INF
5	Apr_22_2016	40.24	40.23	40.2	40.18	40.18	39.87	39.89(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-50	-34	-20	2.34	45%	-0.05	0	0.71%	0	-1.3	42	INF

6	Apr_21_2016	40.26	40.23	40.23	40.26	40.34	40.18	39.62(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-30	-20	-35	-14	2.43	45%	-0.07	0	0.71%	0	158.5	35	INF
7	Apr_20_2016	40.29	40.23	40.28	40.39	40.41	40.18	40.24(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	1	20	1	0	2.25	56%	0	0	0.62%	0	191.6	49	INF
8	Apr_19_2016	40.29	40.23	40.29	40.4	40.37	40.5	40.58(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	20	24	10	2.18	65%	0.02	0	0.6%	0	193.2	52	INF
9	Apr_18_2016	40.28	40.23	40.24	40.34	40.3	40.31	40.56(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-0	17	7	3.57	65%	0.05	0	0.62%	0	193.1	54	INF
10	Apr_15_2016	40.26	40.23	40.23	40.23	40.24	40.24	40.32(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-1	0	-1	-0	2.68	65%	0.02	0	0.63%	0	201.6	58	INF

11	Apr_14_2016	40.25	40.23	40.26	40.2	40.23	40.29	40.23(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	10	8	3	1.32	65%	0	0	0.65%	0	201.2	50	INF
12	Apr_13_2016	40.25	40.23	40.27	40.16	40.21	40.24	40.3(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	10	7	3	1.68	65%	0	0	0.67%	0	191.9	50	INF
13	Apr_12_2016	40.25	40.23	40.27	40.17	40.17	40.16	40.31(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2	-0	2	1	4.13	65%	0	0	0.7%	0	183.2	50	INF
14	Apr_11_2016	40.25	40.23	40.28	40.13	40.18	40.16	40(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	0	-7	-3	2.55	59%	-0.05	0	0.7%	0	173.9	50	INF
15	Apr_8_2016	40.27	40.23	40.27	40.22	40.19	40.17	40.18(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10	-13	-5	2.17	59%	-0.02	0	0.72%	0	174.7	50	INF

16	Apr_7_2016	40.28	40.23	40.27	40.32	40.3	40.19	40.01(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8	-20	-9	-4	2.07	59%	-0.07	0	0.75%	0	166.7	50	INF
17	Apr_6_2016	40.31	40.23	40.27	40.32	40.36	40.22	40.37(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-30	-15	-6	2.35	73%	0	0	0.71%	0	175.5	50	INF
18	Apr_5_2016	40.31	40.23	40.27	40.39	40.39	40.41	40.08(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	0	-12	-5	2.72	66%	-0.07	0	0.73%	0	160.3	50	INF
19	Apr_4_2016	40.34	40.23	40.27	40.44	40.44	40.51	40.48(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	10	27	11	2.03	100%	0.05	0	0.6%	0	161.9	50	INF
20	Apr_1_2016	40.32	40.23	40.27	40.32	40.31	40.38	40.68(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	868	10	1021	408	2.54	100%	0.22	0	0.5%	0	156.5	50	INF

21	Mar_31_2016	40.23	40.23	40.27	32.18	40.17	40.37	40.33(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	38.8	1094	780	1287	515	1.9	100%	0.1	0	0.52%	0	192	50	INF
22	Mar_30_2016	40.19	40.23	40.27	24.11	40.17	40.37	40.4(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	70.8	2040	NAN	2400	960	1.88	100%	0.25	0	0.42%	0	175.7	50	INF
23	Mar_29_2016	40.09	40.23	40.27	16.03	40.17	40.37	40.3(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	110.3	NAN	NAN	INF	NAN	2.46	100%	0.55	0	0%	0	183.2	50	INF
24	Mar_28_2016	39.87	40.23	40.27	7.97	40.17	40.37	39.87(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	INF	NAN	NAN	NAN	NAN	2.37	0%		NAN	0%	0	INF	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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