Trading Signals: SPG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: SPG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Simon Property Group Inc.)
SPG latest price $197.3521 (-0.3%) ($196.5086 - $198.3997) on Mon. Jul. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $197.3521(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPG advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(58%)    XHB(55%)    GDXJ(14%)    XLRE(10%)    XRT(8%)
Factors Impacting SPG price   SPG will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-8%)    EMHY(-8%)    INDA(-6%)    BND(-6%)    PCY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $197.65(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $196.12(0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $191.97(2.8%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $60.369b

Simon Property Group, Inc. operates as a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust. It owns, develops and manages retail real estate properties which primarily consist of regional malls, premium outlets and mills. Simon Property Group specializes in the ownership, development, management, leasing, acquisition and expansion of income-producing retail real estate assets. The company was founded by Fred Simon, Herbert Simon and Melvin Simon in December 1993 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, IN.

$. SPG price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2016	181.31	191.97	196.12	197.65			197.35(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	1	98	0.85	46%	0.17	79.5	1.2%	0	1	76	0
2	Jul_15_2016	181.01	191.26	195.68	197.56			197.94(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	-10000	5	124	1.12	46%	0.17	81.6	1.2%	0	1.2	79	0
3	Jul_14_2016	180.71	190.52	195.14	196.96			197.25(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	10	136	1.16	46%	0.17	83.1	1.2%	0	1.2	71	0
4	Jul_13_2016	180.4	189.72	194.51	195.79			199.09(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	10	137	1.19	46%	0.18	78.5	1.19%	0	1.7	75	0
5	Jul_12_2016	180.07	188.77	193.52	194.6			196.62(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	2	129	1.26	43%	0.17	77.5	1.19%	0	1.5	73	0

6	Jul_11_2016	179.77	187.89	192.36	194.38			196.87(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	39	-10000	7	134	1	43%	0.17	79.1	1.19%	0	1.7	76	0
7	Jul_8_2016	179.47	186.94	191.04	193.56			194.94(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	4	126	1.15	43%	0.16	76.9	1.18%	0	1.5	75	0
8	Jul_7_2016	179.18	186.13	190.11	193.09			191.41(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	-10000	1	130	1.24	40%	0.15	80.1	1.16%	0	1	71	0
9	Jul_6_2016	178.91	185.51	189.52	192.97			193.14(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	7	143	1.4	40%	0.17	82.1	1.16%	0	1.4	78	0
10	Jul_5_2016	178.61	184.7	188.71	192.18			195.53(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	54	-10000	20	154	1.32	42%	0.2	80.9	1.15%	0	2.1	87	0

11	Jul_1_2016	178.26	183.72	187.49	190			192.79(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	-10000	18	135	1.05	39%	0.19	74.9	1.14%	0	1.8	86	0
12	Jun_30_2016	177.93	182.92	186.47	188.11			192.58(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	39	-10000	13	118	2.07	39%	0.19	69.9	1.14%	0	2.1	87	0
13	Jun_29_2016	177.59	182.03	185.48	186.73			190.83(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	36	-10000	11	109	1.58	43%	0.2	70	1.14%	0	2.1	80	0
14	Jun_28_2016	177.24	181.27	184.5	185.6			189.19(2.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	30	-10000	8	97	1.73	43%	0.18	69.3	1.16%	0	2	78	0
15	Jun_27_2016	176.93	180.57	183.57	184.77			184.63(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	25	-10000	2	94	1.79	37%	0.14	73.6	1.12%	0	1.2	76	0

16	Jun_24_2016	176.69	180.12	183.05	184.6			183.34(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	26	-10000	1	100	1.73	37%	0.11	75.8	1.13%	0	0.9	76	0
17	Jun_23_2016	176.49	179.71	182.54	184.49			185.64(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	5	106	0.73	39%	0.12	78.3	1.11%	0	1.7	81	0
18	Jun_22_2016	176.27	179.12	181.88	183.98			185.2(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	8	110	1.09	39%	0.13	80.7	1.12%	0	1.8	84	0
19	Jun_21_2016	176.04	178.62	181.23	183.2			185.06(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	-10000	10	108	1.19	39%	0.12	83.2	1.12%	0	2	79	0
20	Jun_20_2016	175.83	178.04	180.43	182.21			183.75(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	31	-10000	9	98	1.21	39%	0.13	76.5	1.12%	0	1.9	78	0

21	Jun_17_2016	175.61	177.5	179.69	181.28			182.8(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	10	87	1.45	44%	0.11	70.3	1.12%	0	1.9	76	0
22	Jun_16_2016	175.41	176.97	179.1	180.28			183.08(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	25	-10000	8	75	0.84	44%	0.12	50	1.15%	0	2.2	78	0
23	Jun_15_2016	175.2	176.39	178.31	179.47			181.32(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	20	-10000	5	65	1.26	44%	0.09	32.2	1.15%	0	1.9	78	0
24	Jun_14_2016	175.04	175.99	177.76	178.98			180.07(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	6	61	1.26	44%	0.11	0.8	1.15%	0	1.8	67	0
25	Jun_13_2016	174.85	175.8	177.3	178.39			179.11(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	5	56	1	44%		-30	1.15%	0	1.6	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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