Trading Signals: SPCE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPCE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 26, 2021

Trading Signals: SPCE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 29, 2017 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.)
SPCE latest price $42.0500 (16.81%) ($36.5900 - $44.0300) on Tue. Jan. 26, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.95% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $42.0500(16.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPCE advances 6.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPCE advances 19.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPCE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(59%)    IBUY(57%)    IPO(56%)    ACES(55%)    ONLN(55%)
Factors Impacting SPCE price   SPCE will decline at least -2.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    VXX(-29%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-5%)    USO(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.975% (StdDev 5.95%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 13.1%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $35.53(18.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.93(27.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.76(46.21%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   141.4%
Market Cap   $8.847b

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company, which engages in the business of owning and operating privately built spaceships. It designs spaceships which can fly anyone to space safely without the need for expertise or exhaustive time consuming training. The company develops passenger carrying manned spacecraft. The company was founded on May 5, 2017 and is headquartered in Las Cruces, NM.

$. SPCE price fluctuates within 18.05% (three month std-dev: 5.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 6.39%(40%) Average negative next day return: -10.55%(60%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 13.22%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -13.8%(70%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 16.57%(30%) Average negative next weekly return: -13.92%(70%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2021	23.36	28.76	32.93	35.53	35.46	37.75	42.05(16.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	100	450	58	224	54.07	69%	0.86	58.2	5.95%	1.4	2.6	88	0.3
2	Jan_25_2021	23.16	27.88	31.18	33.45	33.43	34.54	36(5.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	70	230	29	194	31.53	65%	0.92	56.3	5.66%	1.4	1.9	86	0.8
3	Jan_22_2021	22.95	27.38	30.1	32.33	32.47	33.17	34.28(3.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	53	160	13	174	12.82	62%	0.79	54.4	5.74%	1.8	1.8	82	1.5
4	Jan_21_2021	22.77	26.91	29.18	32.08	31.91	32.32	33.27(3.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	61	70	19	185	13.84	58%	0.75	60.4	5.74%	2	1.8	79	1.8
5	Jan_20_2021	22.6	26.46	28.26	30.94	31.7	31.78	32.03(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	90	20	161	12.72	58%	0.67	53.8	5.93%	1.5	1.8	78	1.7

6	Jan_19_2021	22.45	26.03	27.46	29.87	30.51	31.5	31.65(4.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	290	22	143	19.91	58%	0.85	34.1	5.93%	0.2	2	76	1.3
7	Jan_15_2021	22.26	25.69	26.61	28.52	29.04	31.62	30.43(-7.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	680	39	112	18.99	58%	0.63	10.5	5.88%	0.1	2	64	0.7
8	Jan_14_2021	22.12	25.43	25.92	27.48	27.47	29.52	33.03(19.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	63	520	56	85	57.33	61%	0.73	-14.7	5.78%	1.6	3.6	66	1.2
9	Jan_13_2021	21.96	24.96	24.94	25.9	25.82	26.45	27.56(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	160	23	32	12.15	57%	0.5	-94.9	5.26%	1.5	2.2	58	1.4
10	Jan_12_2021	21.85	24.89	24.54	25.22	25.37	25.42	26.66(6.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	30	12	6	12.03	57%	0.41	-158.5	5.29%	2.1	1.8	58	1.1

11	Jan_11_2021	21.76	25.11	24.25	24.71	24.96	25.19	24.92(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	90	6	-10	6.27	55%	0.37	-163.3	5.26%	-0.9	-0.2	57	0.2
12	Jan_8_2021	21.68	25.44	24.32	24.37	24.63	25.32	25.22(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	230	13	-14	8.44	55%	0.37	-81.6	5.27%	0.4	-0.1	49	1.6
13	Jan_7_2021	21.6	25.75	24.44	24.07	24.16	24.73	25.13(3.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	180	13	-18	12.98	55%	0.37	-59.2	5.28%	1.1	-0.3	47	1.5
14	Jan_6_2021	21.52	26.13	24.46	23.85	23.8	23.95	24.17(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	40	5	-24	8.01	55%	0.33	-46.2	5.27%	0.2	-0.7	50	-0.4
15	Jan_5_2021	21.45	26.58	24.52	23.76	23.74	23.6	24.12(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-40	-0	-35	7.48	55%	0.28	-32.5	5.27%	1.2	-0.8	42	-0.5

16	Jan_4_2021	21.39	26.82	24.51	23.73	23.76	23.65	23.21(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-30	-13	-73	7.64	55%	0.33	-28.2	5.25%	-1.5	-1	27	-1.6
17	Dec_31_2020	21.32	27.08	24.74	24.26	24.15	23.89	23.73(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-90	-13	-86	5.66	55%	0.28	-24.7	5.26%	-0.1	-1	28	1.2
18	Dec_30_2020	21.26	27.29	24.96	24.87	24.75	23.87	24.01(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-260	-13	-95	6.32	53%	0.28	-17.6	5.28%	-0.1	-1	29	1.3
19	Dec_29_2020	21.2	27.52	25.02	25.17	25.31	24.4	23.75(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-230	-17	-121	9.32	53%	0.24	-11.3	5.34%	0.3	-1.2	26	0.2
20	Dec_28_2020	21.15	27.69	25.3	25.38	25.7	25.62	23.94(-7.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	20	-5	-137	16.12	60%	0.33	-5.3	5.34%	0.2	-1.2	25	1.2

21	Dec_24_2020	21.08	27.88	26.06	25.36	25.58	26.23	25.85(-3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	200	7	-108	8.78	62%	0.29	-1.1	6.02%	-2.4	-0.7	47	1.3
22	Dec_23_2020	21.02	27.96	26.63	25.29	25.1	25.77	26.82(5.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	160	11	-96	18.21	62%	0.29	5.1	6%	1.3	-0.4	50	0.5
23	Dec_22_2020	20.96	27.96	27.11	25.09	24.91	24.93	25.47(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-20	6	-89	16.85	62%	0.1	8.7	6.01%	1.9	-0.8	49	-0.7
24	Dec_21_2020	20.94	27.89	27.86	24.9	24.97	24.42	24.8(4.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	-150	-10	-85	15.75	62%	0.1	13	6.01%	-0.4	-1	45	-1.6
25	Dec_18_2020	20.92	27.85	28.75	25.24	25.26	24.89	23.84(-6.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-100	-29	-66	30.16	62%		17.4	6.02%	-1.9	-1.3	48	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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