Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 24, 2018

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $2038.8000 (8.49%) ($1869.6000 - $2041.2000) on Mon. Dec. 24, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.51% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $2038.8000(8.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 4.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS advances 10.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VXX(6%)    XHB(6%)    DIA(4%)    VIXM(4%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -3.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWJ(-22%)    SPY(-21%)    SMH(-21%)    QQQ(-21%)    IWO(-21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.255% (StdDev 6.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $1803.84(13.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1682.68(21.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1579.59(29.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   81.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 11.1% (three month std-dev: 6.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.56%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -8.73%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.94%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.64%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2018	1387.52	1579.59	1682.68	1803.84	1801.43	1888.95	2038.8(8.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	1097	340	1261	605	0.05	67%	0.64	36.6	6.51%	0	2.6	81	-2.5
2	Dec_21_2018	1378.63	1555.36	1632.79	1720.08	1696.28	1789.8	1879.2(4.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	754	340	861	431	0.06	65%	0.53	35.2	6.45%	0	2.3	70	-2.4
3	Dec_20_2018	1371.42	1539.74	1606.03	1656.48	1640.18	1713.9	1796.4(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	997	290	1149	539	0.05	65%	0.44	26.9	6.43%	0	2.1	65	-2
4	Dec_19_2018	1365.42	1529.56	1573.12	1596.72	1581.6	1602.75	1750.8(12.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	446	70	506	266	0.07	65%	0.41	16.3	6.45%	0	2.1	65	-1.4
5	Dec_18_2018	1359.81	1522.11	1542.45	1542.48	1535.7	1566.45	1554(-4.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	131	130	141	100	0.05	63%	0.25	1	6.28%	0	0.3	53	-1.7

6	Dec_17_2018	1356.47	1517.95	1516.76	1541.28	1516.28	1560.45	1620(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	457	160	529	241	0.04	64%	0.32	0.6	6.27%	0	1	55	-1.9
7	Dec_14_2018	1352.1	1507.86	1493	1532.16	1498.58	1504.95	1561.2(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	145	-40	167	80	0.04	64%	0.29	-0.8	6.27%	0	0.6	48	-1.4
8	Dec_13_2018	1348.16	1508.02	1480.82	1548.72	1517.77	1472.1	1497.6(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-228	-270	-271	-99	0.03	64%	0.19	13.5	6.27%	0	-0.1	45	-0.8
9	Dec_12_2018	1345.56	1512.61	1472.26	1544.88	1541.17	1492.2	1479.6(-4.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-559	-230	-656	-267	0.03	64%	0.16	20.3	6.29%	0	-0.3	43	-1.2
10	Dec_11_2018	1343.36	1521.21	1475.15	1539.84	1560.29	1563.44	1548(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	50	-38	-29	0.04	64%	0.25	27.4	6.27%	0	0.3	46	-1.5

11	Dec_10_2018	1340.04	1517.39	1471.21	1484.64	1526.24	1590.14	1574.4(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	570	380	680	241	0.04	64%	0.26	12.6	6.27%	0	0.5	57	-1.8
12	Dec_7_2018	1336.51	1508.62	1472.36	1446.24	1440.9	1557.15	1644(11.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	792	550	942	343	0.06	64%	0.33	3	6.26%	0	1.3	62	-2.4
13	Dec_6_2018	1332.08	1495	1465.69	1406.16	1404.23	1462.35	1478.4(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	1069	290	1271	461	0.06	63%	0.29	-17.3	6.11%	0	-0.2	47	-1.3
14	Dec_4_2018	1328.22	1492.84	1479.45	1392	1375.5	1324.65	1454.4(14.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-251	-290	-280	-163	0.04	63%	0.13	-30.2	6.13%	0	-0.4	45	-0.8
15	Dec_3_2018	1326.52	1494.3	1496.79	1404	1396.35	1346.1	1272(-7.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-879	-270	-1019	-458	0.02	61%	-0.01	-44.3	5.9%	0	-2.1	31	1.7

16	Nov_30_2018	1326.59	1504.28	1519.62	1454.16	1460.7	1426.35	1382.4(-4.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-303	-150	-346	-172	0.01	63%	0.09	-54.6	5.81%	0	-1.3	49	1.1
17	Nov_29_2018	1325.39	1505.46	1526.08	1500.24	1491.98	1446.6	1443.6(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-574	-230	-670	-284	0.02	63%	0.12	-58.9	5.78%	0	-0.7	57	0.7
18	Nov_28_2018	1323.85	1513.1	1540.03	1533.84	1538.85	1495.05	1407.6(-7.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-452	-190	-534	-205	0.03	63%	0.16	-61.7	5.78%	0	-1.1	56	1
19	Nov_27_2018	1321.73	1525.58	1560.04	1578.96	1569.3	1537.35	1514.4(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-513	-160	-615	-208	0.02	64%	0.21	-45.2	5.7%	0	-0.1	58	0.6
20	Nov_26_2018	1318.92	1542.81	1574.45	1603.92	1609.65	1582.65	1522.8(-5.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-143	-110	-186	-14	0.02	64%	0.2	-18	5.74%	0	-0.2	55	0.4

21	Nov_23_2018	1316.27	1557.37	1570.72	1593.12	1614.6	1601.25	1612.8(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-127	-20	-167	-7	0.01	63%	0.23	-10	5.72%	0	0.4	61	-0.7
22	Nov_21_2018	1313.21	1562.9	1549.87	1554.48	1589.1	1636.65	1611.6(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	167	280	182	120	0.02	61%	0.15	-9	5.68%	0	0.3	64	-0.4
23	Nov_20_2018	1311.28	1574.42	1526.93	1547.76	1569.45	1627.95	1633.2(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	791	300	922	399	0.06	61%	0.22	3.2	5.73%	0	0.4	52	-1.1
24	Nov_19_2018	1308.39	1570.98	1505.81	1540.56	1537.65	1541.55	1639.2(11.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	200	10	231	106	0.05	61%	0.21	7.4	5.73%	0	0.4	49	-0.2
25	Nov_16_2018	1305.7	1565.99	1488.21	1545.36	1544.4	1510.95	1468.8(3.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-276	-150	-321	-140	0.05	58%		8.8	5.57%	0	-0.6	35	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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