Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 23, 2018

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $1569.6000 (1.71%) ($1542.0000 - $1714.8000) on Tue. Oct. 23, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.81% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $1569.6000(1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS advances 8.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(6%)    TLT(6%)    VXX(6%)    XHB(5%)    VIXM(4%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -1.905% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-22%)    QQQ(-22%)    EWJ(-22%)    SPY(-21%)    IWO(-21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.905% (StdDev 3.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $1518(3.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1510.68(3.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1377.45(13.95%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   45.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 11.62% (three month std-dev: 3.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.68%(43%) Average negative next day return: -3.39%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 4.47%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -6.6%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 6.69%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.24%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_23_2018	1234.52	1377.45	1510.68	1518	1537.88	1584.9	1569.6(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1021	250	1163	594	0.09	66%	0.38	63.4	3.81%	0	1.2	75	-1.5
2	Oct_22_2018	1229.79	1357.56	1489.91	1479.84	1477.68	1533.45	1543.2(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	706	260	792	446	0.06	66%	0.34	56.7	3.81%	0	1.2	74	-1.2
3	Oct_19_2018	1225.61	1336.51	1471.2	1477.2	1448.21	1490.85	1574.4(4.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	821	150	920	523	0.05	66%	0.3	54.7	3.8%	0	1.5	76	-1.3
4	Oct_18_2018	1221.93	1314.08	1444.66	1460.4	1447.38	1421.91	1504.8(7.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	188	-150	172	237	0.05	64%	0.26	53.2	3.76%	0	1.2	74	-1.7
5	Oct_17_2018	1218.71	1294.7	1417.66	1475.76	1452.33	1405.56	1398(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1023	-270	-1261	-308	0.02	59%	0.16	56.5	3.66%	0	0.7	68	-1

6	Oct_16_2018	1216.81	1282.88	1396.17	1502.4	1492.8	1472.85	1378.8(-9.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-315	-110	-435	44	0.03	59%	0.14	60.7	3.71%	0	0.6	65	-0.9
7	Oct_15_2018	1215.15	1272.34	1376.72	1497.36	1503.08	1499.1	1530(2.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	196	-10	162	299	0.02	65%	0.29	60.1	3.49%	0	1.8	79	-1.7
8	Oct_12_2018	1211.66	1254.74	1339.75	1461.12	1463.19	1512.75	1490.4(-5.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	392	240	396	378	0.04	65%	0.23	59	3.48%	0	1.7	80	-2.1
9	Oct_11_2018	1208.86	1236.97	1307.26	1424.16	1428.46	1507.05	1581.6(3.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	1753	390	2002	1007	0.08	72%	0.3	54.1	3.41%	0	2.8	86	-3.6
10	Oct_10_2018	1205.27	1215.64	1265.78	1351.92	1360.14	1413.62	1531.2(13.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	1322	290	1509	760	0.08	72%	0.24	48.3	3.51%	0	3.3	86	-3.5

11	Oct_9_2018	1202.39	1198.68	1230.61	1276.8	1293.76	1349.87	1353.6(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	1033	340	1182	587	0.03	68%	0.07	48.1	3.16%	0	2.4	71	-1.3
12	Oct_8_2018	1201.54	1189.75	1211.72	1238.16	1243.38	1306.65	1348.8(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	1348	370	1561	707	0.04	68%	0.03	46.8	3.17%	0	2.9	69	-0.9
13	Oct_5_2018	1201.16	1179.49	1188.11	1200.24	1195.53	1237.65	1305.6(6.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	1026	230	1196	516	0.05	60%	0.04	42.3	3.18%	0	3.1	60	-0.2
14	Oct_4_2018	1200.67	1173.26	1170.02	1172.88	1166.2	1180.1	1220.4(5.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	400	70	467	197	0.04	56%	-0.02	44.4	3.21%	0	1.6	59	0.1
15	Oct_3_2018	1200.9	1171.02	1159.92	1166.88	1161.1	1153.4	1155.6(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-67	-60	-77	-36	0.02	56%	-0.12	48.5	3.15%	0	-0.5	45	1.3

16	Oct_2_2018	1202.36	1168.52	1160.54	1177.2	1170.38	1152.3	1160.4(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-300	-130	-351	-147	0.02	56%	-0.08	49.5	3.23%	0	-0.2	41	1.1
17	Oct_1_2018	1203.31	1164.96	1161.28	1180.08	1180.5	1168.8	1159.2(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-253	-70	-295	-125	0.02	56%	-0.12	46.6	3.23%	0	-0.2	47	1.2
18	Sep_28_2018	1204.78	1162.6	1165.21	1172.4	1179.9	1188.45	1168.8(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	70	48	11	0.02	56%	-0.09	31.8	3.23%	0	0.2	52	1.3
19	Sep_27_2018	1205.86	1160.53	1163.72	1165.44	1168.91	1192.2	1190.4(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	408	150	486	174	0.01	60%	-0.13	15.4	3.24%	0	0.7	49	1.3
20	Sep_26_2018	1207.46	1155.9	1163.23	1151.52	1151.93	1171.35	1207.2(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	441	120	528	180	0.02	60%	-0.17	-8.2	3.37%	0	1.2	53	1.3

21	Sep_25_2018	1209.5	1150.59	1164.44	1142.4	1136.03	1145.63	1174.8(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	137	40	167	46	0.02	64%	-0.22	-29	3.35%	0	0.6	60	1.4
22	Sep_24_2018	1212.18	1147.68	1165.86	1141.2	1139.34	1132.5	1120.8(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	7	-50	10	-3	0.02	62%	-0.3	-50.7	3.47%	0	-0.6	58	1.7
23	Sep_21_2018	1215.81	1150.12	1170.35	1157.52	1147.33	1126.43	1134(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-347	-150	-412	-151	0.02	62%	-0.38	-56.3	3.49%	0	-0.4	56	2.3
24	Sep_20_2018	1220.49	1154.26	1176.91	1161.36	1162.14	1146.19	1120.8(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-327	-90	-393	-130	0.03	62%	-0.42	-57.3	3.52%	0	-0.7	52	2.6
25	Sep_19_2018	1225.59	1159.34	1183.68	1175.52	1170.72	1168.24	1161.6(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-145	-30	-186	-22	0.02	62%		-52.6	3.49%	0	0	59	2.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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