Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SOXS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 21, 2018

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $1242.0000 (-5.91%) ($1233.0000 - $1310.4000) on Tue. Aug. 21, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.3% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $1242.0000(-5.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(6%)    TLT(6%)    VXX(6%)    VIXM(5%)    XHB(5%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -1.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-22%)    QQQ(-22%)    EWJ(-22%)    SPY(-21%)    IWO(-21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.65% (StdDev 3.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5%

5 Day Moving Average   $1289.52(-3.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1242.1(-0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1213.75(2.33%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 4.84% (three month std-dev: 3.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.21%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.34%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.3%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.07%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2018	1304.32	1213.75	1242.1	1289.52	1299.22	1296.89	1242(-5.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-356	10	-449	-78	0.02	57%	-0.29	32.6	3.3%	0	0.5	55	0.7
2	Aug_20_2018	1308.07	1214.38	1230.89	1287.24	1300.31	1325.91	1320(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	554	170	624	342	0.02	62%	0.01	34.9	3.24%	0	1.8	65	1.1
3	Aug_17_2018	1307.94	1208.85	1213.16	1268.52	1274.51	1301.55	1316.4(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	594	160	679	337	0.03	62%	-0.1	23	3.28%	0	2	60	0.9
4	Aug_16_2018	1309.28	1203.73	1197.39	1251	1245.93	1274.7	1287.6(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	477	150	547	267	0.02	62%	-0.2	11.1	3.27%	0	1.8	62	0.2
5	Aug_15_2018	1311.94	1199.31	1184.95	1222.44	1233.29	1247.47	1281.6(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	683	110	796	342	0.04	62%	-0.14	-11.7	3.32%	0	1.9	63	-1.4

6	Aug_14_2018	1313.72	1194.81	1176.18	1187.88	1197.65	1217.17	1230.6(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	175	140	209	73	0.01	60%	-0.06	-45.9	3.31%	0	0.9	47	0.4
7	Aug_13_2018	1314.53	1194.29	1172.31	1165.44	1172.71	1219.1	1226.4(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	686	300	818	289	0.03	60%	-0.21	-53.1	3.34%	0	0.7	44	-1
8	Aug_10_2018	1317.27	1196.58	1171.12	1149.36	1150.82	1178.13	1228.8(7.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	759	170	908	312	0.03	55%	-0.1	-55.1	3.35%	0	0.7	50	0.6
9	Aug_9_2018	1318.6	1198.5	1166.53	1137.12	1136.46	1126.33	1144.8(3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-56	-60	-46	-87	0.01	49%	-0.09	-59.3	3.29%	0	-1.1	39	1.8
10	Aug_8_2018	1319.74	1204.44	1169.75	1142.64	1145.88	1123.5	1108.8(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-500	-130	-567	-297	0.01	49%	-0.12	-58.9	3.29%	0	-1.9	37	2.3

11	Aug_7_2018	1321.33	1213.69	1183.24	1162.56	1168.38	1146.6	1118.4(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-437	-120	-499	-249	0.01	49%	-0.14	-67.4	3.3%	0	-2.1	40	2.3
12	Aug_6_2018	1323.17	1218.31	1197.79	1179.12	1186.27	1168.26	1146(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-349	-90	-401	-192	0.01	49%	-0.06	-82.6	3.3%	0	-1.8	39	1.9
13	Aug_3_2018	1324	1223.16	1205.89	1195.2	1193.02	1190.16	1167.6(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-257	-20	-295	-144	0.01	44%	-0.04	-94.3	3.41%	0	-1.5	35	1.1
14	Aug_2_2018	1324.59	1227.98	1212.27	1200	1202.74	1204.28	1172.4(-2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	148	20	182	44	0.02	44%	-0.04	-101.3	3.41%	0	-1.5	36	0.8
15	Aug_1_2018	1325.09	1234.73	1216.52	1200.48	1195.99	1195.88	1208.4(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-75	-10	-77	-67	0.02	44%	-0.01	-119	3.4%	0	-0.7	43	0.7

16	Jul_31_2018	1325.23	1244.54	1216.06	1207.44	1195.43	1201.2	1201.2(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-96	0	-100	-82	0.02	44%	0.02	-70.1	3.43%	0	-0.8	38	0.6
17	Jul_30_2018	1324.9	1251.6	1218.78	1219.92	1214.7	1196.1	1226.4(2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	40	-120	56	-7	0.02	44%	0.02	-59.9	3.47%	0	-0.4	55	0.3
18	Jul_27_2018	1324.67	1258.45	1223.91	1219.2	1218.97	1189.65	1191.6(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-656	-170	-765	-330	0.04	44%	-0.07	-45.9	3.48%	0	-1.1	47	0.6
19	Jul_26_2018	1325.63	1267.6	1232.53	1226.64	1234.57	1233.3	1174.8(-5.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-239	10	-276	-127	0.03	40%	-0.09	-29.2	3.49%	0	-1.4	42	1.1
20	Jul_25_2018	1326.81	1279.46	1241.83	1233.6	1241.28	1248.29	1243.2(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	251	60	300	103	0.03	44%	-0.04	-8.3	3.51%	0	-0.5	43	1.2

21	Jul_24_2018	1327.4	1283.28	1246.14	1225.2	1227.41	1235.84	1263.6(3.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	48	50	68	-12	0.03	44%	-0.08	-2.1	3.51%	0	-0.3	35	1.2
22	Jul_23_2018	1328.4	1286.65	1239.83	1218	1222.46	1234.28	1222.8(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	116	80	155	-1	0.02	44%	-0.14	8.1	3.49%	0	-0.9	40	0.9
23	Jul_20_2018	1330.21	1287.55	1241.41	1230.48	1229.21	1218.98	1228.8(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	-60	2	-70	0.02	44%	-0.19	21.7	3.54%	0	-0.9	38	1.1
24	Jul_19_2018	1332.75	1286.78	1244.62	1240.56	1242.34	1210.65	1209.6(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-473	-170	-533	-291	0.02	53%	-0.15	31.9	3.56%	0	-1.1	36	1.2
25	Jul_18_2018	1334.77	1285.13	1254.38	1251.36	1256.96	1239.45	1201.2(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-524	-80	-594	-313	0.01	53%		37	3.92%	0	-1.1	33	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.