Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 9, 2018

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $1833.6000 (-8.78%) ($1791.6000 - $2088.0000) on Fri. Feb. 9, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.96% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $1833.6000(-8.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS advances 11.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    DIA(2%)    GDXJ(2%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -2.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-22%)    SMH(-22%)    QQQ(-22%)    IWO(-22%)    IWF(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.48% (StdDev 4.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $1836(-0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1694.48(8.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1612.86(13.69%)
To recent high   -13.5%
To recent low   28.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 9.81% (three month std-dev: 4.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.58%(25%) Average negative next day return: -8.37%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 9.05%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -7.92%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 9.16%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -16.74%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2018	1948.49	1612.86	1694.48	1836	1832.33	1886.55	1833.6(-8.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	895	200	1011	548	0.03	56%	-0.48	31.5	4.96%	0	1.4	64	-1.7
2	Feb_8_2018	1957.79	1604.5	1656.5	1799.04	1801.5	1805.55	2010(12.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	656	20	733	424	0.03	60%	-0.36	26.2	4.88%	0	2.7	68	-2.5
3	Feb_7_2018	1964.89	1587.62	1611.63	1702.08	1731.75	1778.1	1784.4(6.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	161	240	159	166	0.01	56%	-0.42	10.2	4.62%	0	1.6	63	-1.8
4	Feb_6_2018	1973.23	1580.5	1583.91	1645.68	1677.23	1797.45	1672.8(-10.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1535	560	1782	792	0.02	52%	-0.49	-8.3	4.54%	0	0.8	59	-2
5	Feb_5_2018	1983.02	1577.44	1559.57	1618.8	1595.4	1685.4	1879.2(13.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	1647	350	1923	819	0.02	57%	-0.44	-28.2	4.36%	0	2.6	58	-2.9

6	Feb_2_2018	1991.79	1564.56	1514.47	1533.6	1533.61	1557	1648.8(8.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	771	110	910	353	0.01	50%	-0.63	-69.4	4.03%	0	0.9	47	-2.2
7	Feb_1_2018	2004.43	1565.76	1497.2	1493.52	1499.18	1505.4	1525.2(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	40	-24	-63	0.01	46%	-0.71	-88.6	3.89%	0	-0.4	38	-0.5
8	Jan_31_2018	2018.76	1575.23	1493.86	1508.64	1493.63	1510.22	1502.4(-2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	113	50	152	-6	0.01	46%	-0.72	-90.5	3.89%	0	-0.7	35	-1.6
9	Jan_30_2018	2033.47	1590.22	1494.85	1512.24	1502.48	1492.97	1538.4(5.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	205	-60	264	26	0.02	46%	-0.72	-85.1	3.89%	0	-0.5	42	-1.9
10	Jan_29_2018	2048.2	1610.62	1504.7	1489.68	1495.81	1477.05	1453.2(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-369	-80	-407	-255	0.01	43%	-0.85	-86.4	3.81%	0	-1.4	40	-2.1

11	Jan_26_2018	2065.72	1633.44	1525.98	1490.64	1489.21	1512	1448.4(-9.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	100	-2	-91	0.01	41%	-0.79	-70.4	3.88%	0	-1.3	37	136.8
12	Jan_25_2018	2082.16	1657.27	1550.68	1499.04	1484.86	1514.57	1600.8(5.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	609	110	743	208	0.01	47%	-0.71	-64.1	3.71%	0	-0.4	43	137.4
13	Jan_24_2018	2097.15	1673.78	1561.66	1477.92	1474.15	1466.43	1520.4(6.65%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	91	-40	137	-47	0.01	44%	-0.76	-61	3.68%	0	-1	34	-1.4
14	Jan_23_2018	2113.13	1692.61	1576.54	1476.96	1476.16	1455.16	1425.6(-2.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-611	-100	-684	-392	0	40%	-0.34	-61.3	3.57%	0	-1.6	18	0.1
15	Jan_22_2018	2120.29	1716.66	1598.17	1523.52	1511.02	1481.87	1458(-2.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-531	-160	-588	-360	0	40%	-0.73	-62.8	3.57%	0	-1.6	15	0.9

16	Jan_19_2018	2135.85	1736.6	1620.06	1567.2	1553.62	1497.15	1490.4(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-918	-280	-1043	-542	0.01	40%	-0.73	-65.8	3.56%	0	-1.6	22	1
17	Jan_18_2018	2151.48	1756.54	1641.49	1609.68	1603.95	1540.18	1495.2(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-1249	-290	-1433	-696	0.01	40%	-0.76	-68.5	3.57%	0	-1.8	22	0
18	Jan_17_2018	2167.98	1776.16	1665.53	1657.44	1656	1610.09	1515.6(-8.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-1023	-200	-1168	-586	0.01	40%	-0.82	-72.4	3.56%	0	-2	22	0
19	Jan_16_2018	2186.01	1800.81	1696.12	1689.12	1656	1667.72	1658.4(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-453	-110	-499	-315	0.01	44%	-1.27	-77.6	3.41%	0	-1.2	33	0
20	Jan_12_2018	2214.06	1822	1725.96	1682.88	1697.26	1701.92	1676.4(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-259	40	-271	-221	0	44%	-0.73	-76.5	3.39%	0	-1.2	34	0

21	Jan_11_2018	2230.28	1842.32	1749.31	1680.72	1686.53	1726.8	1702.8(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	480	180	596	130	0	44%	-0.71	-71.5	3.39%	0	-1.1	42	0
22	Jan_10_2018	2246.2	1861.23	1771.21	1679.28	1676.22	1692.6	1734(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	625	60	766	202	0.01	44%	-0.71	-69.2	3.4%	0	-0.9	41	0
23	Jan_9_2018	2262.21	1875.99	1791.95	1677.6	1666.77	1646.25	1674(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-423	-110	-468	-288	0.01	42%	-0.81	-69.9	3.36%	0	-1.4	37	0
24	Jan_8_2018	2280.57	1895.87	1815.15	1706.4	1695.4	1659.83	1627.2(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-847	-170	-968	-483	0	42%	-0.79	-65	3.34%	0	-1.9	26	0
25	Jan_5_2018	2298.66	1917.12	1843.55	1776.96	1754.72	1687.29	1665.6(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-1115	-310	-1289	-593	0	42%		-52.9	3.34%	0	-2	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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