Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $1857.6000 (2.58%) ($1832.4000 - $1900.8000) on Wed. Nov. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.8% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $1857.6000(2.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    DIA(2%)    GDXJ(2%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -1.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    SPY(-22%)    QQQ(-22%)    IWO(-22%)    IWF(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.4% (StdDev 2.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $1947.5
5 Day Moving Average   $1829.52(1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1820.45(2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1947.5(-4.62%)
To recent high   -46.2%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 8.25% (three month std-dev: 2.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 26.48%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.69%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 10.18%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.52%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 8.87%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.49%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_15_2017	2823.12	1947.5	1820.45	1829.52	1832.66	1837.8	1857.6(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	281	20	359	47	0.01	40%	-0.67	-59.2	2.8%	0	-0.6	27	0
2	Nov_14_2017	2842.17	1963.79	1829.7	1807.68	1828.84	1820.48	1810.8(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	0	10	-129	0.01	36%	-0.58	-62.5	2.77%	0	-0.9	21	0
3	Nov_13_2017	2858.87	1983.9	1842.61	1799.04	1816.46	1827.53	1804.8(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-64	70	-32	-161	0	36%	-0.55	-66	2.9%	0	-1.1	30	0
4	Nov_10_2017	2874.73	2004.35	1860.92	1790.64	1803.75	1837.2	1821.6(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	523	150	664	99	0	42%	-0.56	-70.5	2.9%	0	-1.1	29	0
5	Nov_9_2017	2890.79	2025.6	1879.07	1794.48	1792.45	1805.4	1852.8(5.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	338	50	447	10	0.01	42%	-0.53	-73.5	3.11%	0	-1	28	0

6	Nov_8_2017	2906.33	2047.33	1906.48	1812.48	1803.92	1770.3	1748.4(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-599	-140	-654	-434	0	38%	-0.61	-74.8	3%	0	-1.7	16	0
7	Nov_7_2017	2924.11	2074.11	1949.8	1856.64	1852.44	1779.5	1767.6(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1241	-280	-1416	-717	0.01	36%	-0.56	-77	3.01%	0	-1.8	19	0
8	Nov_6_2017	2940.55	2102.15	1984.48	1892.88	1896.46	1837.54	1762.8(-4.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-1644	-210	-1893	-898	0.01	36%	-0.63	-79.9	3.05%	0	-2.1	18	0
9	Nov_3_2017	2959.13	2132.58	2024.33	1939.92	1940.91	1925.39	1840.8(-5.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-709	-50	-797	-444	0.01	37%	-0.59	-82.1	3.02%	0	-2	21	0
10	Nov_2_2017	2976.55	2161.46	2059.32	1974.24	1970.02	1955.39	1942.8(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-271	-60	-285	-230	0	40%	-0.52	-83.6	2.98%	0	-1.5	23	0

11	Nov_1_2017	2992.07	2186.25	2086.54	2015.52	1995.26	1956.44	1969.2(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-883	-170	-1009	-506	0.01	40%	-0.47	-81.6	3.01%	0	-1.5	22	0
12	Oct_31_2017	3006.23	2210.22	2109.79	2059.44	2048.07	1984.65	1948.8(-2.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-1187	-230	-1370	-636	0	40%	-0.5	-80.7	3%	0	-1.8	23	0
13	Oct_30_2017	3021.24	2236.29	2137.87	2090.88	2101.7	2034.08	1998(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-1369	-210	-1587	-715	0	40%	-0.46	-90.1	3.01%	0	-1.7	23	0
14	Oct_27_2017	3035.2	2260.98	2160.61	2121.12	2130.98	2111.49	2012.4(-6.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-1030	-50	-1189	-553	0.01	43%	-0.33	-96.5	3.02%	0	-1.8	22	0
15	Oct_26_2017	3045.24	2287.17	2185.23	2155.2	2153.26	2169.32	2149.2(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	217	50	277	36	0.01	46%	-0.34	-94.9	3.01%	0	-1	24	0

16	Oct_25_2017	3055.56	2308.87	2199.04	2168.4	2156.48	2150.47	2188.8(3.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	12	-40	38	-65	0.01	46%	-0.35	-88.8	3.02%	0	-0.8	24	0
17	Oct_24_2017	3066.25	2331.29	2206.68	2170.08	2174.78	2137.19	2106(-2.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-595	-110	-671	-365	0	43%	-0.39	-74.5	2.97%	0	-1.2	11	0
18	Oct_23_2017	3078.12	2367.61	2227.88	2192.88	2198.3	2162.49	2149.2(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-902	-110	-1032	-511	0.01	43%	-0.38	-60.8	2.97%	0	-1.1	11	0
19	Oct_20_2017	3089.84	2401.72	2248.38	2206.08	2216.93	2212.36	2182.8(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-454	0	-504	-304	0	43%	-0.4	-54.9	2.99%	0	-1.1	11	0
20	Oct_19_2017	3102.24	2427.41	2270.55	2219.28	2230.58	2234.1	2215.2(0.82%)	RB	SmallLong	20	-0	142	30	198	-27	0.01	43%	-0.39	-53.9	2.99%	0	-1	11	0

21	Oct_18_2017	3114.4	2453.2	2292.18	2234.88	2231.33	2221.5	2197.2(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-241	-40	-251	-212	0.01	43%	-0.39	-55.5	3%	0	-1.2	6	0
22	Oct_17_2017	3126.72	2478.61	2317.08	2249.52	2246.78	2227.05	2220(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-401	-70	-436	-295	0	43%	-0.29	-61	3%	0	-1.3	5	0
23	Oct_16_2017	3135.97	2498.31	2341.39	2268.72	2266.35	2241.15	2215.2(-1.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-605	-80	-670	-408	0	43%	-0.41	-69	3%	0	-1.5	3	0
24	Oct_13_2017	3148.87	2519.76	2368.93	2297.04	2290.26	2266.5	2248.8(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-653	-80	-723	-442	0	43%	-0.41	-76.2	3.03%	0	-1.5	4	0
25	Oct_12_2017	3161.95	2544.4	2397.42	2329.68	2320.64	2291.55	2293.2(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-704	-100	-784	-465	0	41%		-81.3	3.03%	0	-1.4	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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