Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $3602.4000 (1.04%) ($3469.2000 - $3631.2000) on Fri. Jun. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.57% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $3602.4000(1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    GDXJ(2%)    UUP(2%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -1.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)    IWF(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.785% (StdDev 3.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $3490.56(3.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3362.46(7.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3430.95(5%)
To recent high   -30.9%
To recent low   19.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 5.02% (three month std-dev: 3.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.14%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.23%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 6.98%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -10.34%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.56%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.71%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2017	4488.03	3430.95	3362.46	3490.56	3485.82	3579.39	3602.4(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	863	180	1007	432	0	47%	-0.44	-47.4	3.57%	0	1	54	0
2	Jun_15_2017	4507.9	3440.86	3330.62	3446.16	3476.37	3513.69	3565.2(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2185	100	2568	1034	0	47%	-0.43	-52.2	3.57%	0	0.6	50	0
3	Jun_14_2017	4527.23	3463.42	3311.38	3334.32	3375.38	3392.25	3480(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	75	70	98	6	0	47%	-0.5	-54.1	3.56%	0	0.1	45	0
4	Jun_13_2017	4549.95	3469.75	3302.11	3272.64	3286.98	3439.05	3370.8(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	1273	340	1515	545	0.01	47%	-0.6	-72.9	3.53%	0	-0.4	37	0
5	Jun_12_2017	4577.45	3489.89	3304.73	3247.92	3243.48	3358.5	3434.4(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3148	240	3726	1413	0.01	47%	-0.56	-84.7	3.53%	0	-0.2	41	0

6	Jun_9_2017	4603.2	3514.76	3306.05	3217.2	3178.32	3134.91	3380.4(12.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-93	-130	-80	-130	0.01	45%	-0.62	-88.6	3.54%	0	-0.5	34	0
7	Jun_8_2017	4632.01	3544.66	3318.07	3203.04	3198.8	3128.46	3006(-5.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-1855	-160	-2144	-989	0	38%	-0.68	-91.4	3.14%	0	-1.9	4	0
8	Jun_7_2017	4663.73	3597.79	3377.57	3283.92	3266.12	3221.74	3171.6(-2.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-1173	-110	-1340	-671	0	40%	-0.7	-94.8	3.09%	0	-1.6	4	0
9	Jun_6_2017	4696.51	3654.51	3425.84	3333.36	3324.18	3269.14	3247.2(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-872	-120	-990	-517	0	40%	-0.32	-87.1	3.08%	0	-1.4	40	0
10	Jun_5_2017	4711.45	3713.71	3463.46	3367.2	3356.19	3310.5	3280.8(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1324	-110	-1522	-729	0	40%	-0.61	-76.2	3.08%	0	-1.3	36	0

11	Jun_2_2017	4740.35	3769.45	3508.84	3407.04	3397.11	3379.23	3309.6(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-735	-50	-829	-452	0	42%	-0.63	-71.9	3.09%	0	-1.3	33	0
12	Jun_1_2017	4770.19	3826.42	3563.45	3451.2	3443.93	3401.88	3410.4(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-477	-90	-527	-326	0	40%	-0.57	-65.3	3.11%	0	-1.2	33	0
13	May_31_2017	4797.44	3878.03	3628.97	3486.72	3475.99	3415	3418.8(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1431	-130	-1653	-764	0	40%	-0.58	-62.1	3.14%	0	-1.3	33	0
14	May_30_2017	4825.29	3931.99	3652.23	3534	3529.77	3485.98	3416.4(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1142	-90	-1307	-645	0	42%	-0.92	-57.1	3.14%	0	-1.4	28	0
15	May_26_2017	4869.94	3980.41	3691.57	3574.56	3580.79	3536.99	3480(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-787	-80	-885	-491	0	43%	-0.64	-57	3.21%	0	-1.4	27	0

16	May_25_2017	4901.41	4031.82	3740.82	3626.16	3613.63	3573.56	3530.4(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1134	-90	-1293	-658	0	43%	-0.59	-59.1	3.24%	0	-1.5	29	0
17	May_24_2017	4930.65	4071.05	3788.97	3693.12	3666.98	3624.6	3588(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1154	-100	-1315	-669	0	43%	-0.59	-61.2	3.26%	0	-1.5	29	0
18	May_23_2017	4959.86	4115.8	3835.72	3795.12	3759.6	3653.7	3655.2(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1304	-230	-1494	-733	0	45%	-0.27	-62.3	3.26%	0	-1.5	31	0
19	May_22_2017	4973.31	4152.72	3900.63	3788.64	3829.31	3709.35	3619.2(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2110	-190	-2441	-1118	0	45%	-0.59	-73.7	3.33%	0	-1.8	29	0
20	May_19_2017	5002.68	4198.21	3983.27	3823.44	3839.36	3865.5	3738(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1332	60	-1529	-742	0	44%	-0.5	-80.8	3.32%	0	-1.6	36	0

21	May_18_2017	5027.79	4246.42	4049.91	3870.48	3868.09	3949.27	3865.2(-5.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	1665	150	1995	674	0	44%	-0.47	-87.7	3.33%	0	-1.3	35	0
22	May_17_2017	5051.72	4285.65	4108.21	3899.76	3872.89	3813.23	4098(13.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	56	-130	99	-74	0.01	46%	-0.35	-89.4	3.28%	0	-0.6	47	0
23	May_16_2017	5069.66	4322.25	4140.98	3891.36	3906.15	3786.9	3622.8(-4.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3209	-200	-3735	-1632	0	38%	-0.3	-84.3	2.79%	0	-2.2	27	0
24	May_15_2017	5084.73	4389.82	4232.34	4032.72	4008.45	3932.55	3793.2(-4.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2624	-150	-3059	-1320	0	40%	-0.46	-75.7	2.75%	0	-2	35	0
25	May_12_2017	5108.34	4451.57	4293.89	4167.12	4131.98	4025.4	3973.2(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2042	-210	-2382	-1023	0	42%		-66.8	2.67%	0	-1.8	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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