Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $9996.0000 (3.61%) ($9882.0000 - $10446.0000) on Thu. Oct. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.25% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $9996.0000(3.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(3%)    GDXJ(2%)    DIA(1%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -1.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.625% (StdDev 3.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $9400.8(6.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $9212.53(8.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $9542.4(4.75%)
To recent high   -32.6%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 5.26% (three month std-dev: 3.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.77%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.81%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.67%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.23%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 9.13%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.73%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2016	13021.46	9542.4	9212.53	9400.8	9476.99	9873	9996(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7028	320	8278	3277	0	35%	-0.62	-70.5	3.25%	0	0.9	47	0
2	Oct_12_2016	13102.46	9545.65	9136.55	9160.8	9176.99	9516	9648(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7270	260	8573	3361	0	32%	-0.67	-75.9	3.21%	0	0.2	49	0
3	Oct_11_2016	13190.5	9601.45	9131.67	9022.8	8985.7	9080.99	9540(6.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3850	60	4554	1736	0	32%	-0.78	-68.3	3.23%	0	-0.1	46	0
4	Oct_10_2016	13294.21	9678.69	9144.46	8949.6	8900.95	8837.99	8976(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1276	-70	-1470	-694	0	25%	-0.85	-61.1	3.13%	0	-1	31	0
5	Oct_7_2016	13407.91	9774.16	9269.66	8973.6	8966.81	8890.41	8844(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1242	-60	-1433	-670	0	22%	-1	-50.8	3.25%	0	-1.2	32	0

6	Oct_6_2016	13543.95	9910.56	9387.19	8990.4	8999.43	8963.91	8796(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1276	-20	-1472	-687	0	22%	-0.97	-44.2	3.26%	0	-1.5	31	0
7	Oct_5_2016	13676.44	9999.64	9482.45	9100.8	9026.48	9043.2	8958(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1048	-10	-1205	-578	0	27%	-1.03	-42.3	3.26%	0	-1.4	32	0
8	Oct_4_2016	13818.78	10078.21	9572.36	9253.2	9170.08	9034.95	9174(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-974	-130	-1117	-543	0	27%	-0.97	-38.7	3.35%	0	-1.3	27	0
9	Oct_3_2016	13954.27	10135.07	9678.88	9374.4	9335.94	9009.75	9096(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5881	-260	-6889	-2856	0	27%	-1.05	-35.6	3.37%	0	-1.6	23	0
10	Sep_30_2016	14101.95	10193.91	9785.17	9619.2	9615.69	9305.21	8928(-4.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6850	-230	-8032	-3303	0	26%	-1.07	-29.8	3.38%	0	-2.1	27	0

11	Sep_29_2016	14254.15	10260.28	9915.26	9841.2	9924.28	9662.13	9348(-3.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-3926	-160	-4592	-1929	0	25%	-0.94	-26.8	3.4%	0	-1.7	24	0
12	Sep_28_2016	14390.01	10315.14	10002.59	9912	10004.2	9926.17	9720(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3129	-30	-3654	-1552	0	24%	-0.89	-28.2	3.44%	0	-1.2	45	0
13	Sep_27_2016	14519.87	10348.72	10116.55	9932.4	9989.24	10186.43	9780(-5.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	1439	160	1716	606	0	33%	-0.94	-29.1	3.55%	0	-1.2	46	0
14	Sep_26_2016	14658.17	10376.86	10256.04	10027.2	9959.24	10082.24	10320(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3441	70	4064	1571	0	35%	-0.89	-27.6	3.84%	0	-0.1	53	0
15	Sep_23_2016	14789.74	10380.24	10309.67	9988.8	9922.91	9792.06	10038(3.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-573	-110	-661	-307	0	42%	-0.91	-31.9	4.42%	0	-0.7	52	0

16	Sep_22_2016	14925.17	10406.64	10461.66	10012.8	9946.5	9836.25	9702(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2679	-100	-3145	-1281	0	42%	-0.93	-34.3	4.48%	0	-1.6	49	0
17	Sep_21_2016	15065.93	10456.9	10551.05	10107.6	10053	10053.75	9822(-4.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-816	-20	-955	-397	0	42%	-0.86	-35.5	4.48%	0	-1.5	47	0
18	Sep_20_2016	15197.31	10488.91	10623.88	10326	10189.13	10056.75	10254(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1326	-130	-1560	-623	0	40%	-0.78	-31	4.46%	0	-0.6	52	0
19	Sep_19_2016	15317.07	10504.9	10628.57	10523.76	10427.25	10052.25	10128(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4211	-280	-4959	-1968	0	40%	-0.81	-21.5	4.46%	0	-1	51	0
20	Sep_16_2016	15442.4	10528.89	10641.34	10683.36	10714.8	10321.5	10158(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-6475	-250	-7625	-3025	0	40%	-0.7	-19.6	4.48%	0	-1	50	0

21	Sep_15_2016	15551.38	10564.35	10645.93	10982.16	11050.46	10802.25	10176(-6.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-3837	-140	-4526	-1769	0	40%	-0.6	-5.8	4.48%	0	-1	48	0
22	Sep_14_2016	15644.56	10609.39	10671.06	11046.96	11216.21	11108.1	10914(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1026	-20	-1220	-444	0	43%	-0.58	-7.6	4.42%	0	0.8	54	0
23	Sep_13_2016	15736.4	10614.03	10611.68	10953.36	11078.96	11298.68	11242.8(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	968	170	1128	489	0	43%	-0.61	-17.3	4.41%	0	1.6	62	0
24	Sep_12_2016	15833.76	10590.21	10509.27	10747.2	10871.66	11324.33	10926(-6.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	6344	330	7458	3003	0	43%	-0.61	-43.3	4.4%	0	0.9	56	0
25	Sep_9_2016	15930.61	10605.07	10450.5	10591.2	10553.99	10859.25	11652(10.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	5885	190	6922	2775	0	48%		-54.2	4.39%	0	2.6	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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