Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $10926.0000 (-6.23%) ($10890.6000 - $12036.0000) on Mon. Sep. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.4% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $10926.0000(-6.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(7%)    VIXM(7%)    TLT(6%)    XHB(3%)    GDXJ(2%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -2.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.2% (StdDev 4.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -8.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $10747.2(1.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10509.27(3.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10590.21(3.17%)
To recent high   -46.9%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 3.56% (three month std-dev: 4.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.88%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 7.44%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.92%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161012

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_12_2016	15833.76	10590.21	10509.27	10747.2	10871.66	11324.33	10926(-6.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	6344	330	7458	3003	0	43%	-0.61	-43.3	4.4%	0	0.9	56	0
2	Sep_9_2016	15930.61	10605.07	10450.5	10591.2	10553.99	10859.25	11652(10.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	5885	190	6922	2775	0	48%	-0.57	-54.2	4.39%	0	2.6	67	0
3	Sep_8_2016	16021.22	10586.9	10323.75	10279.2	10276.87	10419	10500(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2187	100	2579	1010	0	42%	-0.61	-85.8	4.15%	0	-0.2	39	0
4	Sep_7_2016	16119.92	10639.11	10333.41	10248	10204.11	10248.74	10446(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1041	20	1233	464	0	42%	-0.65	-84.7	4.15%	0	-0.4	33	0
5	Sep_6_2016	16225.47	10683.95	10325.13	10222.8	10223.65	10134.74	10212(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-396	-60	-454	-222	0	42%	-0.85	-92.5	4.14%	0	-1	25	0

6	Sep_2_2016	16363.82	10755.8	10358.61	10233.6	10245.03	10159.49	10146(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1845	-60	-2157	-907	0	42%	-0.58	-85.8	4.11%	0	-1.2	33	0
7	Sep_1_2016	16459.27	10829.73	10401.86	10280.4	10285.16	10312.57	10092(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-475	20	-544	-269	0	42%	-0.55	-80.3	4.11%	0	-1.3	25	0
8	Aug_31_2016	16550.42	10928.98	10478.06	10370.4	10329.04	10330.58	10344(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	384	-10	467	134	0	42%	-0.62	-68.4	4.11%	0	-0.9	25	0
9	Aug_30_2016	16653.03	11030.6	10548.24	10431.6	10386	10257.75	10320(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1145	-100	-1331	-588	0	42%	-0.61	-56.3	4.11%	0	-1	23	0
10	Aug_29_2016	16754.79	11137.14	10623.28	10443.6	10452	10327.5	10266(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2181	-80	-2549	-1078	0	42%	-0.61	-51.6	4.14%	0	-1.3	29	0

11	Aug_26_2016	16856.97	11222.67	10685.54	10501.2	10492.13	10514.25	10380(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-936	10	-1082	-497	0	42%	-0.61	-58.9	4.14%	0	-1.3	27	0
12	Aug_25_2016	16960.91	11304.65	10779.05	10539.6	10537.42	10576.5	10542(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	902	30	1080	366	0	42%	-0.55	-69.3	4.14%	0	-1.2	30	0
13	Aug_24_2016	17054.12	11372.3	10871.1	10603.2	10565.54	10470	10650(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-993	-70	-1148	-529	0	39%	-0.57	-82.1	4.14%	0	-1.2	26	0
14	Aug_23_2016	17152.48	11426.33	10965.6	10690.8	10676.17	10498.34	10380(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-2788	-120	-3259	-1376	0	39%	-0.56	-94.2	4.19%	0	-1.8	17	0
15	Aug_22_2016	17249.82	11495.99	11070.37	10833.6	10859.26	10661.09	10554(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-2625	-120	-3066	-1302	0	39%	-0.52	-96.8	4.2%	0	-1.5	18	0

16	Aug_19_2016	17340.3	11623.24	11184.9	10896	10966.59	10854	10572(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2490	-50	-2908	-1236	0	36%	-0.54	-90.8	4.32%	0	-1.5	32	0
17	Aug_18_2016	17434.61	11761.67	11295.05	11049.6	11045.34	11057.44	10860(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-846	10	-975	-458	0	35%	-0.5	-85.6	4.33%	0	-1.2	34	0
18	Aug_17_2016	17523.09	11896.06	11418.51	11178	11148.99	11079.19	11088(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-151	-50	-161	-122	0	35%	-0.52	-84.2	4.36%	0	-1	40	0
19	Aug_16_2016	17615.09	12006.1	11550.01	11288.4	11248.28	11033.25	11094(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2577	-140	-3019	-1251	0	34%	-0.57	-81	4.37%	0	-1.1	44	0
20	Aug_15_2016	17715.39	12146.59	11688.73	11348.4	11378.4	11218.8	10866(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3028	-90	-3553	-1452	0	34%	-0.39	-80.3	4.38%	0	-1.4	40	0

21	Aug_12_2016	17785.29	12294.69	11805.3	11514	11488.65	11463.3	11340(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1032	-20	-1204	-515	0	36%	-0.55	-78.5	4.36%	0	-1	29	0
22	Aug_11_2016	17883.8	12447.52	11874.91	11574	11538.75	11538	11502(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-154	-10	-168	-111	0	36%	-0.54	-79.1	4.43%	0	-0.9	28	0
23	Aug_10_2016	17980.1	12592.8	11915.37	11697.6	11602.88	11514.01	11640(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1300	-80	-1513	-659	0	35%	-0.48	-82.5	4.44%	0	-0.9	28	0
24	Aug_9_2016	18066.86	12746.53	11924.37	11862	11783.44	11539.51	11394(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3097	-160	-3626	-1511	0	35%	-0.49	-87.1	4.43%	0	-1.2	29	0
25	Aug_8_2016	18155.33	12916.29	11961.02	12086.4	12063.94	11691.75	11694(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4271	-220	-5004	-2072	0	35%		-89	4.43%	0	-1	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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