Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $25686.0000 (3.12%) ($24606.0000 - $25740.0000) on Tue. Jan. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.93% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $25686.0000(3.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(8%)    TLT(6%)    GDXJ(2%)    SHY(2%)    UUP(2%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -1.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-24%)    QQQ(-24%)    SPY(-23%)    IWO(-23%)    IWF(-23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.965% (StdDev 3.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $24066.6(6.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23805.54(7.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23874.51(7.59%)
To recent high   -20.3%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 3.67% (three month std-dev: 3.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.59%(29%) Average negative next day return: -3.2%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 0.84%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -7.71%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.66%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.45%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2016	28154.69	23874.51	23805.54	24066.6	24271.65	25241.63	25686(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	11866	310	13963	5575	0	42%	-0.1	43.1	3.93%	0	2.1	51	INF
2	Jan_4_2016	28183.06	23675.51	23732.74	23596.2	23642.77	24522.29	24909(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	15970	270	18795	7495	0	42%	-0.13	17.1	3.96%	0	1.5	50	INF
3	Dec_31_2015	28221.13	23574.32	23668.43	23223.6	23197.21	23301.67	24102(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6629	30	7808	3093	0	39%	-0.17	-2.6	4%	0	0.6	55	INF
4	Dec_30_2015	28269.6	23498.29	23601.72	23064	23054	22763.25	23160(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4624	-90	-5429	-2209	0	32%	-0.21	-16.8	3.99%	0	-0.4	49	INF
5	Dec_29_2015	28330.42	23462.14	23691.09	23196	23226.5	23092.76	22476(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4432	-40	-5206	-2109	0	32%	-0.25	-27.4	4.18%	0	-1	51	INF

6	Dec_28_2015	28400.96	23503.14	23962.31	23485.2	23531	23344.76	23334(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1632	-50	-1919	-769	0	37%	-0.22	-26.6	4.17%	0	-0.2	58	INF
7	Dec_24_2015	28462.75	23531.28	24101.14	23887.2	23770.87	23360.24	23046(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6417	-140	-7558	-2995	0	37%	-0.23	-19	4.27%	0	-0.5	60	INF
8	Dec_23_2015	28529.62	23598.37	24148.77	24174	24250.87	23717.24	23304(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4934	-140	-5816	-2286	0	37%	-0.23	-13.1	4.27%	0	-0.3	53	INF
9	Dec_22_2015	28594.94	23655.58	24208.07	24205.2	24304.88	24181.5	23820(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5764	-20	-6795	-2669	0	41%	-0.21	-17.7	4.28%	0	0.2	58	INF
10	Dec_21_2015	28655.39	23728.44	24129.1	24248.4	24269.25	24784.5	23922(-5.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3750	150	4396	1812	0	41%	-0.21	-18.7	4.38%	0	0.2	59	INF

11	Dec_18_2015	28716.07	23755.19	23989.31	24500.4	24220.5	24428.25	25344(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6700	30	7865	3206	0	43%	-0.15	-23.7	4.33%	0	1.5	60	INF
12	Dec_17_2015	28759.86	23712.34	23629.32	24374.4	24209.36	23754	24480(4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3351	-150	-3955	-1537	0	43%	-0.2	-35.5	4.36%	0	0.7	52	INF
13	Dec_16_2015	28816.18	23725.17	23472.21	24140.4	24353.48	24012.75	23460(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5980	-70	-7044	-2787	0	43%	-0.25	-43.9	4.33%	0	-0.3	45	INF
14	Dec_15_2015	28887.59	23829.83	23388.24	24199.2	24283.35	24664.73	24036(-4.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	963	120	1126	473	0	43%	-0.23	-39.5	4.33%	0	0.2	47	INF
15	Dec_14_2015	28953.16	23928.02	23213.89	23962.07	24072.41	24694.2	25182(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10804	190	12711	5081	0	45%	-0.18	-34.7	4.31%	0	1	46	INF

16	Dec_11_2015	29004.82	24010.9	22986.69	23390.87	23568.3	23901.98	24714(6.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7699	120	9066	3597	0	45%	-0.21	-30.7	4.3%	0	0.5	50	INF
17	Dec_10_2015	29064.41	24086.85	22877.23	22786.07	23022.86	23450.63	23310(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3873	160	4573	1774	0	41%	-0.28	-37.2	4.23%	0	-0.5	42	INF
18	Dec_9_2015	29145.46	24198.67	22968.83	22715.27	22738.23	23234.62	23754(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8020	160	9453	3720	0	41%	-0.26	-34.4	4.22%	0	-0.3	42	INF
19	Dec_8_2015	29222.48	24289.66	23020.7	22471.67	22475.17	22595.09	22850.34(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4678	40	5526	2134	0	36%	-0.32	-35	4.24%	0	-0.9	33	INF
20	Dec_7_2015	29314.83	24372.52	23263.66	22356	22283.18	22241.85	22326(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1790	-20	-2082	-912	0	36%	-0.35	-39.6	4.51%	0	-1.3	27	INF

21	Dec_4_2015	29417.61	24458.33	23487.94	22521.6	22406.63	22355.25	21690(-5.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-1375	-30	-1592	-724	0	36%	-0.39	-43.7	4.52%	0	-1.9	18	INF
22	Dec_3_2015	29532.94	24668.47	23807.37	22969.2	22696.5	22324.5	22956(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3656	-150	-4276	-1794	0	38%	-0.34	-41.1	4.54%	0	-1.3	29	INF
23	Dec_2_2015	29632.59	24742.25	24007.36	23264.4	23120.25	22458	22536(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8778	-220	-10303	-4201	0	38%	-0.37	-36.5	4.53%	0	-1.7	35	INF
24	Dec_1_2015	29741.77	24851.67	24328.56	23660.4	23657.33	23068.51	22272(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10077	-170	-11835	-4802	0	44%	-0.39	-34.3	4.6%	0	-2.2	32	INF
25	Nov_30_2015	29858.49	24992.44	24735.57	24304.8	24280.2	23782.51	23154(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6288	-150	-7385	-2995	0	44%		-22.7	4.78%	0	-1.8	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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