Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $24714.0000 (6.02%) ($23820.0000 - $24799.8000) on Fri. Dec. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.3% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $24714.0000(6.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(8%)    TLT(6%)    GDXJ(2%)    IGOV(2%)    SHY(2%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -2.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-24%)    QQQ(-24%)    SPY(-23%)    IWO(-23%)    IWF(-23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.15% (StdDev 4.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $23390.87(5.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22986.69(7.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24010.9(2.93%)
To recent high   -39.1%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 5.97% (three month std-dev: 4.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 7.99%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.77%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.92%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.15%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.1%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2015	29004.82	24010.9	22986.69	23390.87	23568.3	23901.98	24714(6.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7699	120	9066	3597	0	45%	-0.21	-30.7	4.3%	0	0.5	50	INF
2	Dec_10_2015	29064.41	24086.85	22877.23	22786.07	23022.86	23450.63	23310(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3873	160	4573	1774	0	41%	-0.28	-37.2	4.23%	0	-0.5	42	INF
3	Dec_9_2015	29145.46	24198.67	22968.83	22715.27	22738.23	23234.62	23754(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8020	160	9453	3720	0	41%	-0.26	-34.4	4.22%	0	-0.3	42	INF
4	Dec_8_2015	29222.48	24289.66	23020.7	22471.67	22475.17	22595.09	22850.34(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4678	40	5526	2134	0	36%	-0.32	-35	4.24%	0	-0.9	33	INF
5	Dec_7_2015	29314.83	24372.52	23263.66	22356	22283.18	22241.85	22326(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1790	-20	-2082	-912	0	36%	-0.35	-39.6	4.51%	0	-1.3	27	INF

6	Dec_4_2015	29417.61	24458.33	23487.94	22521.6	22406.63	22355.25	21690(-5.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-1375	-30	-1592	-724	0	36%	-0.39	-43.7	4.52%	0	-1.9	18	INF
7	Dec_3_2015	29532.94	24668.47	23807.37	22969.2	22696.5	22324.5	22956(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3656	-150	-4276	-1794	0	38%	-0.34	-41.1	4.54%	0	-1.3	29	INF
8	Dec_2_2015	29632.59	24742.25	24007.36	23264.4	23120.25	22458	22536(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8778	-220	-10303	-4201	0	38%	-0.37	-36.5	4.53%	0	-1.7	35	INF
9	Dec_1_2015	29741.77	24851.67	24328.56	23660.4	23657.33	23068.51	22272(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10077	-170	-11835	-4802	0	44%	-0.39	-34.3	4.6%	0	-2.2	32	INF
10	Nov_30_2015	29858.49	24992.44	24735.57	24304.8	24280.2	23782.51	23154(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6288	-150	-7385	-2995	0	44%	-0.36	-22.7	4.78%	0	-1.8	47	INF

11	Nov_27_2015	29964.91	25114.38	25147.95	24588	24683.44	24246.15	23928(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5301	-110	-6231	-2510	0	44%	-0.32	-6.9	4.81%	0	-1.3	55	INF
12	Nov_25_2015	30062.28	25224.99	25413.81	24758.4	24795.69	24777.9	24432(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3366	-0	-3957	-1592	0	44%	-0.31	6.9	4.84%	0	-0.9	46	INF
13	Nov_24_2015	30154.58	25213.09	25541.4	24862.8	24862.37	25120.73	24516(-3.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2159	70	2540	1016	0	44%	-0.31	-5.4	4.88%	0	-0.8	54	INF
14	Nov_23_2015	30248.55	25259.35	25667.54	25105.2	24960.61	24813.48	25494(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	857	-60	1005	413	0	44%	-0.27	-7.7	4.9%	0	0.3	56	INF
15	Nov_20_2015	30329.14	25221.98	25566.54	25261.2	25145.19	24604.01	24570(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7343	-160	-8643	-3443	0	44%	-0.33	-14.1	4.91%	0	-0.7	51	INF

16	Nov_19_2015	30428.44	25178.54	25511.93	25813.8	25718.81	25107.74	24780(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7887	-180	-9285	-3692	0	44%	-0.32	-15.5	4.96%	0	-0.4	49	INF
17	Nov_18_2015	30527.53	25162.16	25609.24	26171.4	26288.69	25686.37	24954(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6331	-150	-7457	-2953	0	44%	-0.32	-17.6	5%	0	-0.2	46	INF
18	Nov_17_2015	30627.06	25261.82	25552.25	26299.8	26458.76	26329.87	25728(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4159	-20	-4903	-1926	0	44%	-0.29	-17.1	5.03%	0	0.4	59	INF
19	Nov_16_2015	30716.13	25328.9	25430.03	26285.4	26345.69	26891.01	26274(-3.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4213	150	4947	2010	0	44%	-0.27	-32.6	5.08%	0	0.8	54	INF
20	Nov_13_2015	30798.39	25358.08	25275.11	25895.41	26014.57	26587.64	27333(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10066	170	11836	4756	0	44%	-0.21	-51.4	5.1%	0	1.6	60	INF

21	Nov_12_2015	30863.78	25330	25056.57	25172.41	25316.44	25800.38	26568(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	5113	150	6012	2416	0	44%	-0.27	-78.6	5.13%	0	1	62	INF
22	Nov_11_2015	30946.39	25349.77	24981.22	24996.01	24886.92	25441.5	25596(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	5428	140	6382	2567	0	44%	-0.34	-84.7	5.14%	0	0.2	56	INF
23	Nov_10_2015	31051.3	25460.57	24821.33	24710.41	24809.3	24832.51	25656(5.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5591	20	6579	2625	0	44%	-0.35	-70.4	5.2%	0	0.1	46	INF
24	Nov_9_2015	31159.2	25729.18	24778.2	24464.41	24503.3	24332.34	24324.06(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4326	-40	-5083	-2054	0	41%	-0.45	-66.3	5.18%	0	-0.7	41	INF
25	Nov_6_2015	31298.7	26021.21	24824.28	24554.4	24624.42	24786.08	23718(-7.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	315	50	379	123	0	41%		-63.9	5.21%	0	-1	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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