Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $27333.0000 (2.88%) ($26351.3400 - $27619.8000) on Fri. Nov. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.1% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $27333.0000(2.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(8%)    TLT(6%)    GDXJ(2%)    IGOV(2%)    SHY(2%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -2.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-24%)    QQQ(-24%)    SPY(-23%)    IWO(-23%)    IWF(-23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.55% (StdDev 5.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $25895.41(5.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25275.11(8.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25358.08(7.79%)
To recent high   -32.7%
To recent low   16.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 4.96% (three month std-dev: 5.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 4.35%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 8.31%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 11.65%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2015	30798.39	25358.08	25275.11	25895.41	26014.57	26587.64	27333(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10066	170	11836	4756	0	44%	-0.21	-51.4	5.1%	0	1.6	60	INF
2	Nov_12_2015	30863.78	25330	25056.57	25172.41	25316.44	25800.38	26568(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	5113	150	6012	2416	0	44%	-0.27	-78.6	5.13%	0	1	62	INF
3	Nov_11_2015	30946.39	25349.77	24981.22	24996.01	24886.92	25441.5	25596(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	5428	140	6382	2567	0	44%	-0.34	-84.7	5.14%	0	0.2	56	INF
4	Nov_10_2015	31051.3	25460.57	24821.33	24710.41	24809.3	24832.51	25656(5.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5591	20	6579	2625	0	44%	-0.35	-70.4	5.2%	0	0.1	46	INF
5	Nov_9_2015	31159.2	25729.18	24778.2	24464.41	24503.3	24332.34	24324.06(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4326	-40	-5083	-2054	0	41%	-0.45	-66.3	5.18%	0	-0.7	41	INF

6	Nov_6_2015	31298.7	26021.21	24824.28	24554.4	24624.42	24786.08	23718(-7.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	315	50	379	123	0	41%	-0.5	-63.9	5.21%	0	-1	40	INF
7	Nov_5_2015	31456.63	26359.05	24824	24895.2	24744	24674.25	25686(6.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1063	-40	1261	468	0	44%	-0.39	-65.6	5.16%	0	-0.3	45	INF
8	Nov_4_2015	31579.41	26557.62	24681.85	24979.2	24879.38	24462.75	24168(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4873	-130	-5719	-2335	0	40%	-0.51	-72.6	5.12%	0	-1	38	INF
9	Nov_3_2015	31740.53	26865.52	24960.57	24939.6	25270.5	24813.76	24426(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3793	-90	-4447	-1831	0	40%	-0.51	-77.2	5.18%	0	-0.9	36	INF
10	Nov_2_2015	31903.07	27225.59	25235.83	25130.4	25234.13	25296.01	24774(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3888	30	-4555	-1886	0	40%	-0.51	-83.9	5.23%	0	-0.9	28	INF

11	Oct_30_2015	32065.1	27587.25	25461.74	25119.6	25309.43	25727.25	25422(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6016	140	7100	2764	0	40%	-0.48	-88.4	5.29%	0	-0.7	35	INF
12	Oct_29_2015	32219.59	27999.83	25622.97	24723.6	24983.55	25172.25	26106(8.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4756	80	5623	2153	0	40%	-0.45	-84.4	5.34%	0	-0.6	36	INF
13	Oct_28_2015	32365.15	28486.42	25721.97	24366.84	24451.35	24891.6	23970(-5.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	104	140	157	-54	0	34%	-0.63	-83.6	5.19%	0	-1.2	30	INF
14	Oct_27_2015	32569.91	29045.57	26136.29	25000.44	24583.8	24794.85	25380(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4732	10	5600	2128	0	37%	-0.55	-73.6	5.2%	0	-0.9	32	INF
15	Oct_26_2015	32749.65	29734.48	26723.38	25394.04	24918.38	24011.09	24720(5.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6603	-310	-7737	-3199	0	37%	-0.62	-62.9	5.24%	0	-1.1	25	INF

16	Oct_23_2015	32955.54	30503.64	27289.11	25882.44	25665.75	24372.75	23442(-3.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-16263	-380	-19103	-7742	0	32%	-0.75	-56	5.21%	0	-1.5	17	INF
17	Oct_22_2015	33205.9	31217.83	28028.05	26632.44	26559.83	25825.66	24322.2(-10.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-12033	-200	-14128	-5746	0	32%	-0.72	-51.6	5.26%	0	-1.5	16	INF
18	Oct_21_2015	33446	31910.86	28617.18	27229.8	27147	26958.74	27138(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-3868	-60	-4519	-1915	0	37%	-0.52	-46.1	5.08%	0	-1.1	16	INF
19	Oct_20_2015	33621.22	32454.08	28947.88	27426.6	27352.98	27293.99	27348(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3078	-20	-3587	-1552	0	37%	-0.53	-40.7	5.16%	0	-1.2	23	INF
20	Oct_19_2015	33800.46	32952.13	29389.33	28295.4	27899.07	27335.25	27162(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-5508	-180	-6443	-2701	0	37%	-0.57	-32.8	5.23%	0	-1.4	17	INF

21	Oct_16_2015	33995.71	33362.87	29895.55	28959	28892.82	27411.98	27192(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-12282	-370	-14410	-5898	0	37%	-0.6	-29.3	5.3%	0	-1.6	17	INF
22	Oct_15_2015	34201.88	33761.94	30576.58	29655	29685.56	28462.89	27309(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18487	-290	-21711	-8814	0	37%	-0.63	-25.8	5.39%	0	-1.7	28	INF
23	Oct_14_2015	34417.28	34085.51	31475.87	30178.8	30400.57	30373.67	28122(-11.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5247	20	-6136	-2578	0	37%	-0.59	-25.1	5.46%	0	-1.7	29	INF
24	Oct_13_2015	34620.35	34328.4	32198.73	30639.6	30625.49	30908.22	31692(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4323	60	5124	1920	0	44%	-0.28	-26.4	5.18%	0	-0.8	34	INF
25	Oct_12_2015	34717.97	34386.07	32944.33	30668.4	30541.86	30427.47	30480(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1452	-40	-1672	-790	0	44%		-27.2	5.21%	0	-1.2	33	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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