Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SOXL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 12, 2022

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $21.6000 (9.2%) ($19.9800 - $21.7200) on Fri. Aug. 12, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.11% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $21.6000(9.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FIVG(92%)    QQQ(88%)    IWF(85%)    IVW(84%)    SPY(82%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -4.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    VIXM(-16%)    TBT(-13%)    VXX(-5%)    EDOC(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.055% (StdDev 8.11%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 6.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.9(8.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.45(5.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.24(12.27%)
To recent high   -17.6%
To recent low   86.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 10.45% (three month std-dev: 8.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 4.79%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.68%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 12.44%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -6.58%(67%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 19.87%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.02%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2022	21.9	19.24	20.45		19.72	20.63	21.6(9.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	300	5	27	56.83	62%	-0.95	79	8.11%	1.5	1.2	67	-2.2
2	Aug_11_2022	22.11	18.92	20.27	19.9	19.63	19.87	19.78(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	40	0	34	69.65	58%	-0.76	76.8	8.04%	0.5	0.4	61	-1.8
3	Aug_10_2022	22.28	18.66	20.24	20.35	19.86	18.8	19.91(12.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-450	-10	42	68.82	58%	-0.93	77	8.12%	0.7	0.5	55	-1.6
4	Aug_9_2022	22.49	18.35	20.14	20.68	20.46	19.4	17.69(-13.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	0	-390	-17	51	64.81	52%	-0.97	78.3	8.02%	-1.2	-0.2	52	-1.2
5	Aug_8_2022	22.71	18.14	20.08	21.13	21.09	20.92	20.54(-4.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-60	-2	67	59	55%	-0.83	81.2	8.07%	-1.3	0.8	67	-1.8

6	Aug_5_2022	22.9	17.77	19.78	21.02	20.92	21.53	21.56(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	190	7	81	59.92	51%	-0.69	82.5	8.05%	-0.1	1.3	77	-1.3
7	Aug_4_2022	23.06	17.39	19.39	20.68	20.53	21.27	22.07(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	230	15	87	56.08	54%	-0.6	82.6	8.25%	1.3	1.6	77	-1
8	Aug_3_2022	23.2	16.96	19.06	20.14	19.89	20.31	21.55(8.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	110	12	95	57	54%	-0.47	78.5	8.38%	2	1.6	79	-2.8
9	Aug_2_2022	23.31	16.48	18.7	19.57	19.4	19.8	19.92(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	120	13	107	60.24	56%	-0.34	69.4	8.32%	0.6	1.3	79	-1.4
10	Aug_1_2022	23.39	16.08	18.4	18.87	18.96	19.46	20.01(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	200	13	108	60.85	56%	-0.47	55.4	8.42%	1	1.5	80	-2.7

11	Jul_29_2022	23.5	15.66	17.91	18.33	18.2	18.99	19.83(2.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	280	11	106	59.15	53%	-0.55	41.4	8.49%	1.6	1.6	80	-2.8
12	Jul_28_2022	23.63	15.31	17.44	17.9	17.68	18.45	19.37(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	270	7	102	68.58	56%	-0.67	37	8.64%	1.7	1.6	72	-1.3
13	Jul_27_2022	23.79	15.01	16.92	17.84	17.51	17.41	18.73(14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-100	4	104	78.2	56%	-0.54	37.9	8.88%	2.6	1.6	71	-0.7
14	Jul_26_2022	23.92	14.78	16.39	17.74	17.64	16.91	16.43(-5.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	23	-310	-6	111	47.99	51%	-0.58	39.4	8.71%	-1.5	0.8	73	0.3
15	Jul_25_2022	24.06	14.73	16.08	17.84	17.83	17.61	17.3(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-90	3	128	42.98	51%	-0.74	46.7	8.83%	-1.1	1.2	77	1.4

16	Jul_22_2022	24.24	14.63	15.65	17.36	17.64	18.37	17.65(-7.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	340	11	129	65.25	51%	-0.82	47	8.85%	-1.4	1.5	80	0.8
17	Jul_21_2022	24.44	14.44	15.27	16.86	16.95	18.05	19.1(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	470	24	129	79.47	51%	-0.89	35.8	8.84%	1.3	2.4	73	1.1
18	Jul_20_2022	24.66	14.17	14.69	15.86	15.99	16.9	18.2(7.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	44	420	24	103	85.4	51%	-0.76	20.6	8.87%	1.6	2.5	68	0.5
19	Jul_19_2022	24.85	13.97	14.07	14.88	14.99	15.85	16.95(13.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	31	420	20	63	77.41	51%	-1	1.6	8.82%	1.7	2.2	58	0.6
20	Jul_18_2022	25.1	13.79	13.55	14.08	14.12	15.08	14.92(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	480	14	20	82.99	48%	-1.06	-35.1	8.68%	0.3	0.9	45	1.6

21	Jul_15_2022	25.37	13.72	13.21	13.68	13.54	14.14	15.15(7.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	280	11	-13	73.53	48%	-1.01	-71.7	8.71%	1.7	1.2	46	1.8
22	Jul_14_2022	25.63	13.77	12.99	13.43	13.12	13.16	14.07(5.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-50	2	-28	77.4	47%	-0.85	-103	8.72%	2.4	0.3	52	1.7
23	Jul_13_2022	25.85	13.84	12.92	13.36	13.13	12.95	13.29(2.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-150	3	-33	69.6	47%	-1	-116	8.74%	1.2	-0.4	47	1.4
24	Jul_12_2022	26.11	13.95	13.02	13.12	13.27	13.08	12.97(0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-70	4	-41	52.95	47%	-0.53	-137.3	8.78%	-1.3	-0.7	43	1.1
25	Jul_11_2022	26.25	14.22	13.28	12.9	13	13.3	12.91(-7.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	180	5	-37	51.94	47%		-151.5	8.78%	-1.5	-0.9	49	1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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