Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SOXL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $60.9100 (3.1%) ($59.2100 - $62.4000) on Fri. Nov. 5, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.91% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $60.9100(3.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 5.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 12.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FIVG(93%)    QQQ(89%)    IVW(87%)    IWF(87%)    SPY(84%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-41%)    UUP(-24%)    VXX(-13%)    TBT(-2%)    TLT(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.955% (StdDev 3.91%)
Hourly BBV 1 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.09(10.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.76(20%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.43(31.19%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   64.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 13.48% (three month std-dev: 3.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 40 Average positive next day return: 5.27%(58%) Average negative next day return: -5.64%(43%) Sample size 40 Average positive next three day return: 13.81%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -8%(53%) Sample size 40 Average positive next weekly return: 12.46%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.52%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2021	43.64	46.43	50.76	55.09	55.36	58.93	60.91(3.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	133	470	99	234	19.5	54%	0.48	74.3	3.91%	1	2.3	86	1
2	Nov_4_2021	43.43	45.3	49.01	52.44	52.4	54.98	59.08(10.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	112	340	86	191	20.49	54%	0.46	70.8	3.9%	1.8	2.6	86	1.3
3	Nov_3_2021	43.23	44.31	47.56	50.02	49.77	51.79	53.67(3.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	86	270	61	160	11.4	49%	0.32	69.5	3.73%	1.8	2.1	84	1.3
4	Nov_2_2021	43.09	43.55	46.57	48.1	48.17	49.82	51.82(3.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	79	240	57	145	12.4	49%	0.26	62	3.71%	1.5	2.1	87	1.3
5	Nov_1_2021	42.98	42.87	45.79	46.73	46.55	47.74	49.96(4.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	61	170	35	138	14.52	47%	0.23	51.7	3.69%	1.7	1.9	86	1.2

6	Oct_29_2021	42.88	42.21	45.05	45.75	45.72	46.52	47.65(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	120	28	135	12.44	47%	0.21	33.8	3.66%	1	1.7	77	1.2
7	Oct_28_2021	42.79	41.81	44.47	45.03	45.27	45.36	47(6.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	30	13	125	15.83	50%	0.23	17.7	3.71%	1.2	1.7	71	1.2
8	Oct_27_2021	42.69	41.44	43.88	44.75	44.86	44.93	44.09(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	20	-4	119	13.01	44%	0.14	6.4	3.69%	-1	1	62	1.1
9	Oct_26_2021	42.63	41.23	43.29	44.77	44.89	45.18	44.96(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	50	9	122	11.99	44%	0.14	1.1	3.75%	0.3	1.4	68	1.2
10	Oct_25_2021	42.57	41.06	42.54	44.67	44.56	44.8	45.06(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	30	10	119	9.68	44%	0.12	-1.8	3.75%	0.6	1.4	69	1.4

11	Oct_22_2021	42.52	41.13	41.88	44.23	44.26	44.61	44.05(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	60	15	120	12.63	44%	0.16	-4.3	3.75%	-0.8	0.9	71	1.5
12	Oct_21_2021	42.45	41.28	41.4	43.78	43.54	44.33	45.59(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	110	22	113	9.92	49%	0.17	-9.7	3.74%	2.9	1.3	63	1.8
13	Oct_20_2021	42.38	41.26	40.84	42.88	42.89	43.92	44.2(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	170	39	100	9.81	49%	0.14	-20.4	3.89%	0.5	0.9	60	1.7
14	Oct_19_2021	42.32	41.2	40.3	41.57	41.91	42.76	44.43(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	170	42	69	11.41	49%	0.05	-37.5	3.91%	1.6	1	61	1.9
15	Oct_18_2021	42.3	41.11	39.69	40.09	40.43	41.86	42.86(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	270	29	19	8.45	49%	0.09	-56.3	3.89%	1.7	0.6	50	2.1

16	Oct_15_2021	42.26	41.27	39.09	39.19	39.47	41.07	41.84(1.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	21	310	38	-32	10.94	44%	0.09	-60.2	3.98%	0.9	0.2	36	2
17	Oct_14_2021	42.22	41.59	38.87	38.69	38.74	39	41.05(9.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	50	16	-76	14.71	44%	0.09	-54.2	4.06%	1.5	-0.1	34	1.9
18	Oct_13_2021	42.18	41.94	38.73	38.56	38.7	37.86	37.65(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-140	-18	-117	11.59	39%	0.02	-48.1	3.9%	-0.5	-1.1	29	1.5
19	Oct_12_2021	42.17	42.44	38.98	38.84	39.47	38.49	37.05(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-130	-18	-124	19.75	39%	0.02	-45.3	3.9%	-1.6	-1.3	37	1.4
20	Oct_11_2021	42.16	42.99	39.49	39.16	39.5	39.53	38.38(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	30	-7	-118	9.36	39%	0.09	-43.9	3.9%	-1.2	-1.1	40	1.3

21	Oct_8_2021	42.12	43.41	40.35	38.89	39.3	40.46	39.33(-2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	240	14	-110	10.27	42%	0.12	-46.9	3.94%	-0.4	-1	35	1.9
22	Oct_7_2021	42.07	43.74	41.15	39.04	38.8	39.46	40.39(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	100	20	-109	13.19	42%	0.19	-48.2	3.95%	0.9	-0.9	33	1.4
23	Oct_6_2021	41.99	43.98	41.7	38.97	38.56	38.15	39.06(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-110	-8	-128	16.27	42%	0.21	-52	3.96%	0.6	-1.3	31	0.7
24	Oct_5_2021	41.9	44.38	42.17	39.18	39.22	38.14	38.65(4.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-190	-25	-144	15.13	42%	0.19	-54.3	3.96%	0.6	-1.6	32	0.5
25	Oct_4_2021	41.82	44.83	42.67	39.9	40	38.97	37.02(-7.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-79	-170	-53	-157	20.48	39%		-52.3	3.95%	-1.5	-2.3	27	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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