Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SOXL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 9, 2021

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $46.1500 (-1.03%) ($45.5400 - $47.2700) on Mon. Aug. 9, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.52% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $46.1500(-1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FIVG(93%)    QQQ(89%)    IWF(87%)    IVW(86%)    SPY(84%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -2.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-24%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-2%)    TLT(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.26% (StdDev 4.52%)
Hourly BBV -1 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.71(-1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.82(2.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.59(8.36%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   64.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 7.49% (three month std-dev: 4.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 2.25%(63%) Average negative next day return: -2.46%(37%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 3.04%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -4.68%(58%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 4.74%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.84%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2021	39.34	42.59	44.82	46.71	46.88	46.52	46.15(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-40	-2	95	5.94	60%	0.28	43.8	4.52%	-1	1.1	73	1.7
2	Aug_6_2021	39.23	42.42	44.37	46.52	46.56	47.02	46.63(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	70	4	111	6.18	60%	0.33	44	4.54%	-1.3	1.4	77	1.6
3	Aug_5_2021	39.1	42.16	43.86	46.07	46.3	47.23	47.17(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	160	26	130	8.56	60%	0.23	40.5	4.54%	0.1	1.7	79	1.1
4	Aug_4_2021	39.01	41.77	43.2	45.33	45.26	46.11	47.61(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	130	29	125	13.74	60%	0.28	28.3	4.54%	1.3	2.1	68	0.9
5	Aug_3_2021	38.9	41.42	42.58	44.04	44.1	45.36	45.97(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	200	33	104	10.78	60%	0.28	10.5	4.57%	0.6	1.9	57	0.9

6	Aug_2_2021	38.79	41.24	41.82	42.65	42.88	44.4	45.21(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	260	35	67	16.97	60%	0.31	-7.2	4.6%	0.9	1.8	55	-0.3
7	Jul_30_2021	38.67	41.11	40.99	41.9	41.34	42.85	44.39(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	220	26	32	13.53	60%	0.26	-11.9	4.63%	1.2	1.6	51	0.5
8	Jul_29_2021	38.57	40.99	40.22	41.33	40.8	41.36	43.45(5.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	60	24	7	15.23	60%	0.34	-17.4	4.75%	1.2	1.2	53	0.7
9	Jul_28_2021	38.44	41.01	39.79	40.79	40.47	39.83	41.18(5.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-130	-6	-16	12.94	56%	0.23	-12.5	4.71%	1	0.1	55	0.5
10	Jul_27_2021	38.35	41.17	39.84	40.92	40.59	40.24	39.03(-5.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-80	-9	-13	17.73	52%	0.31	2	4.7%	-1	-1	46	0.3

11	Jul_26_2021	38.23	41.4	40.18	40.79	40.82	41.12	41.45(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	12	50	18	-6	7.67	58%	0.21	11.6	4.65%	1.3	0	46	0.4
12	Jul_23_2021	38.15	41.36	40.18	39.86	39.93	40.95	41.55(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	180	23	-20	8.72	58%	0.32	6.9	4.69%	1.2	0.1	46	-0.2
13	Jul_22_2021	38.03	41.34	40.32	38.91	38.64	40.52	40.74(-2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	320	24	-38	8.05	58%	0.16	-3.5	4.74%	0.5	-0.3	46	-0
14	Jul_21_2021	37.97	41.27	40.22	38.64	38.05	38.92	41.85(9.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	110	21	-56	12.56	58%	0.08	-6.9	4.81%	1.5	0.3	44	0.7
15	Jul_20_2021	37.94	41.12	40.13	38.7	38.09	36.77	38.34(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-290	-22	-82	12.45	48%	-13.89	-8.8	4.78%	1.5	-1.2	33	-0.5

16	Jul_19_2021	44.06	41.14	40.6	39.56	39.46	37.19	36.84(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-56	-410	-47	-81	17.37	48%	-11.19	-4.4	4.79%	-1	-1.8	32	-2.8
17	Jul_16_2021	49.61	41.21	41.27	40.86	41.15	39.42	36.76(-6.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-43	-270	-40	-51	14.23	48%	-9.44	6.9	4.88%	-1.6	-1.9	44	0.3
18	Jul_15_2021	54.78	41.42	41.89	41.86	42.2	41.73	39.42(-6.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-50	-13	-21	14.9	58%	-10.31	24.1	4.81%	-1.6	-1	48	1
19	Jul_14_2021	61.08	41.43	42.41	41.93	42.3	42.88	42.16(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	120	10	3	15.34	72%	-8.52	28.5	4.78%	-0.7	0.3	62	1.6
20	Jul_13_2021	66.77	41.33	42.64	41.75	41.32	42.68	42.62(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	200	10	17	9.27	72%	-8	30.2	4.8%	0.6	0.6	64	1.2

21	Jul_12_2021	72.58	41.25	42.73	41.75	41.25	41.73	43.33(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	40	18	37	9	72%	-8.3	36.9	4.8%	1.4	1	68	1.2
22	Jul_9_2021	79.15	41.05	42.48	41.83	41.35	39.96	41.77(5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-270	-14	34	9.77	72%	-7.16	37.5	4.79%	1.1	0.3	67	1.1
23	Jul_8_2021	85.25	40.92	42.48	41.99	41.95	40.78	39.78(-3.54%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-20	-200	-37	31	14.71	66%	-6.91	43.9	4.75%	-1.3	-0.5	51	-0.1
24	Jul_7_2021	91.58	40.84	42.43	42.94	43	42.74	41.24(-4.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-40	-14	59	10.57	66%	-6.83	51.8	4.75%	-1.3	0.2	58	1
25	Jul_6_2021	98.29	40.69	42.21	43.62	43.47	43.13	43.04(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-70	-4	74	9.98	66%		59.3	4.72%	0	1	60	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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