Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $144.3900 (-3.24%) ($143.7600 - $150.1200) on Thu. Dec. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.29% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $144.3900(-3.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(82%)    IVW(81%)    SMH(79%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-13%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.645% (StdDev 3.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $144.82(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $139.3(3.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.13(1.59%)
To recent high   -15.7%
To recent low   40.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 8.38% (three month std-dev: 3.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2017	124.29	142.13	139.3	144.82			144.39(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	11	84	0.46	51%	0.43	-35.1	3.29%	0	0.2	53	0
2	Dec_20_2017	123.76	143.11	138.41	142.28			149.22(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	15	56	0.58	49%	0.45	-33.4	3.27%	0	0.5	51	0
3	Dec_19_2017	123.21	143.99	136.61	138.83			146.16(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	13	16	0.54	49%	0.43	-33.7	3.31%	0	0.2	51	0
4	Dec_18_2017	122.68	144.78	135	136			146.81(6.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	10	-46	1.03	51%	0.43	-35.9	3.31%	0	0.1	36	0
5	Dec_15_2017	122.16	145.3	133.27	133.86			137.54(4.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	-10000	4	-106	0.68	50%	0.34	-39	3.25%	0	-0.5	27	0

6	Dec_14_2017	121.74	146.43	133.46	133.1			131.68(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-40	-10000	-4	-149	0.34	48%	0.26	-38.4	3.26%	0	-1	18	0
7	Dec_13_2017	121.43	147.6	134.77	133.1			131.98(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-42	-10000	0	-166	0.28	48%	0.28	-41.1	3.26%	0	-1	24	0
8	Dec_12_2017	121.09	148.95	135.83	133.93			132(-3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-48	-10000	1	-195	0.4	48%	0.29	-43.8	3.26%	0	-1.2	23	0
9	Dec_11_2017	120.74	150.33	138.86	133.67			136.08(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-45	-10000	5	-196	0.37	51%	0.31	-47.6	3.23%	0	-1	31	0
10	Dec_8_2017	120.37	151.44	141.53	132.55			133.75(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-54	-10000	-6	-197	0.66	51%	0.27	-51.3	3.3%	0	-1.3	35	0

11	Dec_7_2017	120.04	152.56	145.09	133.94			135.85(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	-10000	-9	-179	0.66	51%	0.3	-49.8	3.33%	0	-1.3	34	0
12	Dec_6_2017	119.68	154.02	148.11	135.91			131.99(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-10000	-10	-158	0.72	51%	0.28	-42.2	3.31%	0	-1.7	38	0
13	Dec_5_2017	119.34	155.64	151.92	138.13			130.67(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-10000	-28	-140	1.09	49%	0.29	-36	3.31%	0	-2.1	35	0
14	Dec_4_2017	119	157.38	155.44	144.93			130.5(-7.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-44	-10000	-27	-93	1.58	49%	0.27	-16	3.37%	0	-2.6	35	0
15	Dec_1_2017	118.68	158.84	158.54	151.8			140.71(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-31	-10000	-24	-52	1.27	52%	0.4	10.4	3.25%	0	-2.2	41	0

16	Nov_30_2017	118.21	159.39	160.75	157.92			145.7(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-13	-10000	-16	-4	0.99	57%	0.43	43.5	3.2%	0	-1.9	47	0
17	Nov_29_2017	117.7	159.58	161.83	162.15			143.05(-13.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-12	-10000	-20	11	2.43	57%	0.44	70.7	3.24%	0	-2.3	38	0
18	Nov_28_2017	117.18	159.98	163.59	167.57			164.7(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	0	60	0.65	66%	0.66	107.7	2.73%	0	0.7	52	0
19	Nov_27_2017	116.41	159.03	163	167.48			164.85(-3.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	-10000	5	57	0.71	66%	0.69	105.6	2.72%	0	0.8	52	0
20	Nov_24_2017	115.61	158	162.27	166.25			171.3(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	10	52	0.45	69%	1.07	101	2.68%	0	1.7	63	0

21	Nov_22_2017	114.39	156.23	160.53	164.15			166.84(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	12	45	0.45	71%	0.47	78.4	2.65%	0	1.1	67	0
22	Nov_21_2017	113.86	154.58	160.16	161.55			170.16(3.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	11	48	0.66	71%	0.82	69.9	2.67%	0	1.5	71	0
23	Nov_20_2017	112.93	152.96	159.26	159.13			164.27(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	5	46	0.43	70%	0.74	67	2.68%	0	1.1	67	0
24	Nov_17_2017	112.1	151.54	159.04	157.98			158.67(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	1	61	0.42	62%	0.69	64.2	2.66%	0	0.7	66	0
25	Nov_16_2017	111.33	150.31	158.85	157.69			160.8(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	6	74	0.49	62%		62.5	2.86%	0	1	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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