Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $103.1800 (1.4%) ($100.0100 - $104.9000) on Thu. Sep. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.51% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $103.1800(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(82%)    IVW(81%)    SMH(79%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.755% (StdDev 3.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $100.15(3.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.56(3.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.72(7.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   32.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 5% (three month std-dev: 3.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20171014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2017	92.12	95.72	99.56	100.15			103.18(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	6	64	0.29	55%	0.29	44.2	3.51%	0	1.6	69	0
2	Sep_13_2017	91.85	95.32	98.94	99.14			101.76(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	5	62	0.23	55%	0.25	42.9	3.53%	0	1.4	67	0
3	Sep_12_2017	91.62	94.97	98.04	98.32			101.35(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	5	57	0.3	55%	0.27	40.6	3.53%	0	1.5	68	0
4	Sep_11_2017	91.37	94.61	97.11	97.46			100.01(5.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	12	-10000	-2	55	0.41	55%	0.29	35.8	3.54%	0	1.4	73	0
5	Sep_8_2017	91.11	94.01	96.25	97.73			94.47(-3.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-6	57	0.3	49%	0.22	33.7	3.8%	0	0.1	62	0

6	Sep_7_2017	90.91	93.65	96.11	98.85			98.1(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	1	79	0.2	49%	0.31	33.8	3.83%	0	1.1	71	0
7	Sep_6_2017	90.63	93.44	95.57	98.67			97.65(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	6	75	0.24	49%	0.31	35.9	3.85%	0	1	52	0
8	Sep_5_2017	90.35	93.3	94.95	97.63			97.07(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	6	60	0.51	49%	0.31	30.6	3.85%	0	0.9	52	0
9	Sep_1_2017	90.07	93.23	94.02	96.59			101.36(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	11	42	0.33	51%	0.39	27.9	3.8%	0	2.1	59	0
10	Aug_31_2017	89.72	92.71	92.76	94.54			100.05(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	13	-10000	9	24	0.42	51%	0.37	10.5	3.79%	0	2.1	67	0

11	Aug_30_2017	89.39	92.25	91.54	93.03			97.2(5.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	-10000	5	11	0.46	51%	0.29	-8.9	3.78%	0	1.6	67	0
12	Aug_29_2017	89.13	91.99	91.31	92.12			92.49(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	1	3	0.22	48%	0.21	-30.8	3.73%	0	0.2	48	0
13	Aug_28_2017	88.94	92.09	91.56	91.9			91.84(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	5	-10000	5	3	0.15	48%	0.19	-37.7	3.76%	0	-0.1	46	0
14	Aug_25_2017	88.77	92.15	91.83	90.99			91.13(-1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	2	-10	0.21	48%	0.19	-52.8	3.76%	0	-0.3	44	0
15	Aug_24_2017	88.6	92.35	91.57	90.6			92.51(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	5	-18	0.24	48%	0.21	-60.3	3.76%	0	0.1	52	0

16	Aug_23_2017	88.41	92.51	91.02	89.77			92.62(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-13	-10000	-4	-38	0.27	48%	0.19	-65.5	3.77%	0	0	53	0
17	Aug_22_2017	88.24	92.88	91.16	90.45			91.41(4.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10000	-5	-30	0.32	48%	0.17	-58.2	3.77%	0	-0.4	50	0
18	Aug_21_2017	88.09	93.19	91.52	91.29			87.27(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-9	-23	0.45	46%	0.1	-51.6	3.75%	0	-1.6	42	0
19	Aug_18_2017	88	93.73	92.44	92.81			89.18(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-1	1	-10000	1	1	0.35	49%	0.13	-41.5	3.76%	0	-1.2	47	0
20	Aug_17_2017	87.89	94.22	92.74	92.59			88.37(-7.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-0	-10000	2	-7	0.56	43%	0.13	-41.3	3.82%	0	-1.5	43	0

21	Aug_16_2017	87.78	94.87	93.13	92.24			96.02(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	2	-16	0.31	49%	0.22	-37.1	4.04%	0	0.3	49	0
22	Aug_15_2017	87.59	95.07	92.77	91.94			95.59(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-8	-10000	0	-31	0.26	51%	0.22	-33.2	4.07%	0	0.1	42	0
23	Aug_14_2017	87.4	95.17	92.63	91.92			94.89(7.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-11	-10000	-2	-36	0.45	51%	0.21	-25.3	4.11%	0	-0.1	46	0
24	Aug_11_2017	87.22	95.28	92.43	92.24			88.07(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-4	-43	0.37	47%	0.15	-13.9	4%	0	-1.9	35	0
25	Aug_10_2017	87.09	95.82	93.18	92.97			86.64(-8.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-15	-10000	-5	-43	0.71	50%		6.6	4%	0	-2.6	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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