Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $61.3100 (3.88%) ($60.5100 - $62.3500) on Fri. Jan. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.84% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $61.3100(3.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IVW(81%)    IWF(81%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.92% (StdDev 3.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $59.59(2.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.52(3.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.39(3.23%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   44.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 3.1% (three month std-dev: 3.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2017	50.43	59.39	59.52	59.59			61.31(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	4	28	0.28	62%	0.36	1.3	3.84%	0	1	53	0
2	Jan_19_2017	50.25	59.28	59.01	59.17			59.02(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-3	10	0.18	60%	0.32	-1	3.82%	0	-0.1	48	0
3	Jan_18_2017	50.09	59.36	58.89	59.53			59.84(4.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	-1	2	0.24	62%	0.36	16.2	3.82%	0	0.3	40	0
4	Jan_17_2017	49.91	59.31	58.89	59.6			57.44(-4.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4	-10000	-3	-8	0.27	60%	0.44	21.5	3.81%	0	-1	41	0
5	Jan_13_2017	49.69	59.48	58.63	59.98			60.34(1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	5	-8	0.27	61%	0.36	35.7	3.74%	0	0.5	50	0

6	Jan_12_2017	49.51	59.36	58.55	59.4			59.22(-2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10000	6	-15	0.33	61%	0.36	29.7	3.77%	0	-0.1	50	0
7	Jan_11_2017	49.33	59.3	58.6	58.78			60.79(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	6	-24	0.21	57%	0.37	31.7	3.76%	0	0.8	54	0
8	Jan_10_2017	49.15	59.07	58.81	58.17			60.22(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	-10000	6	-26	0.25	57%	0.39	34.6	3.85%	0	0.6	49	0
9	Jan_9_2017	48.96	58.93	58.88	57.56			59.32(3.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	4	-30	0.36	57%	0.37	43.2	3.86%	0	0.2	52	0
10	Jan_6_2017	48.78	58.87	58.98	57.12			57.47(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-4	-41	0.32	57%	0.33	61.5	3.84%	0	-0.7	42	0

11	Jan_5_2017	48.62	58.85	59.2	57.61			56.12(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-7	-32	0.24	57%	0.35	72.7	3.84%	0	-1.4	49	0
12	Jan_4_2017	48.45	58.75	59.58	58.37			57.71(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-10	-19	0.24	57%	0.37	78.1	3.83%	0	-0.6	52	0
13	Jan_3_2017	48.27	58.46	59.89	59.55			57.19(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-7	11	0.41	57%	0.52	68.6	3.83%	0	-0.6	56	0
14	Dec_30_2016	48.02	58.12	60.1	60.39			57.1(-4.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-10000	-6	28	0.35	59%	0.38	42.4	3.84%	0	-0.3	52	0
15	Dec_29_2016	47.84	57.7	60.5	61.07			59.92(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	1	48	0.4	63%	0.46	29.1	3.82%	0	0.5	56	0

16	Dec_28_2016	47.62	57.49	60.32	60.99			59.93(-5.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	1	51	0.54	63%	0.44	27.4	3.84%	0	0.6	60	0
17	Dec_27_2016	47.41	57.31	60.14	60.91			63.63(3.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	5	66	0.32	69%	0.74	29.5	3.76%	0	1.6	75	0
18	Dec_23_2016	47.06	56.95	59.38	60.32			61.39(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	4	70	0.09	69%	0.51	31.8	3.79%	0	1.2	77	0
19	Dec_22_2016	46.82	56.72	58.97	59.81			60.49(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	-1	83	0.21	69%	0.54	34.4	3.81%	0	1.1	78	0
20	Dec_21_2016	46.57	56.54	58.71	59.88			59.53(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-10000	3	117	0.16	69%	0.52	44.6	3.81%	0	0.9	80	0

21	Dec_20_2016	46.33	56.39	58.43	59.53			59.53(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	3	116	0.36	69%	0.48	53.1	3.83%	0	0.9	57	0
22	Dec_19_2016	46.11	56.15	57.83	59.2			60.67(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	8	107	0.27	69%	0.5	63.4	3.83%	0	1.4	56	0
23	Dec_16_2016	45.88	55.81	56.91	58.27			58.84(-3.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	3	77	0.28	69%	0.46	68	3.82%	0	0.9	53	0
24	Dec_15_2016	45.67	55.51	56	57.97			60.82(5.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	5	53	0.48	71%	0.48	82.2	3.79%	0	1.7	55	0
25	Dec_14_2016	45.45	55.03	54.69	57.42			57.78(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	18	0.34	69%		90.2	3.82%	0	0.9	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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