Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $61.3900 (1.49%) ($59.9200 - $61.4400) on Fri. Dec. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.79% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $61.3900(1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IVW(81%)    IWF(81%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.895% (StdDev 3.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.32(1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.38(3.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.95(7.8%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   46.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 6.41% (three month std-dev: 3.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2016	47.06	56.95	59.38	60.32			61.39(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	4	70	0.09	69%	0.51	31.8	3.79%	0	1.2	77	0
2	Dec_22_2016	46.82	56.72	58.97	59.81			60.49(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	-1	83	0.21	69%	0.54	34.4	3.81%	0	1.1	78	0
3	Dec_21_2016	46.57	56.54	58.71	59.88			59.53(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-10000	3	117	0.16	69%	0.52	44.6	3.81%	0	0.9	80	0
4	Dec_20_2016	46.33	56.39	58.43	59.53			59.53(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	3	116	0.36	69%	0.48	53.1	3.83%	0	0.9	57	0
5	Dec_19_2016	46.11	56.15	57.83	59.2			60.67(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	8	107	0.27	69%	0.5	63.4	3.83%	0	1.4	56	0

6	Dec_16_2016	45.88	55.81	56.91	58.27			58.84(-3.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	3	77	0.28	69%	0.46	68	3.82%	0	0.9	53	0
7	Dec_15_2016	45.67	55.51	56	57.97			60.82(5.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	5	53	0.48	71%	0.48	82.2	3.79%	0	1.7	55	0
8	Dec_14_2016	45.45	55.03	54.69	57.42			57.78(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	18	0.34	69%	0.42	90.2	3.82%	0	0.9	51	0
9	Dec_13_2016	45.26	54.64	54.43	57.18			57.91(3.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	9	13	0.41	69%	0.53	90	3.83%	0	1	52	0
10	Dec_12_2016	45.02	54.11	54.24	56.24			56.02(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	9	3	0.26	71%	0.49	76	3.84%	0	0.6	54	0

11	Dec_9_2016	44.8	53.72	54.3	55.26			57.32(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	-10000	15	-3	0.36	64%	0.54	70.8	3.88%	0	1	58	0
12	Dec_8_2016	44.56	53.03	54.25	53.66			58.05(2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	-10000	20	-13	0.47	64%	0.52	50.3	4.14%	0	1.2	61	0
13	Dec_7_2016	44.33	52.43	54.1	51.54			56.6(6.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-8	-10000	2	-38	0.43	64%	0.54	37.7	4.13%	0	1	63	0
14	Dec_6_2016	44.09	51.93	54.09	51.37			53.23(4.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	-10000	-7	-28	0.3	62%	0.48	38.8	4.08%	0	0.3	62	0
15	Dec_5_2016	43.88	51.6	54.26	52.07			51.11(3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-10000	-11	-0	0.41	61%	0.43	43.1	4.06%	0	-0.1	64	0

16	Dec_2_2016	43.69	51.22	54.61	53.26			49.31(3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-15	33	0.41	61%	0.41	44.9	4.07%	0	-0.4	59	0
17	Dec_1_2016	43.51	50.97	55.06	54.9			47.47(-14.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	9	-10000	-17	87	0.73	61%	0.37	50.4	4.04%	0	-0.7	67	0
18	Nov_30_2016	43.35	50.83	55.58	56.87			55.71(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	39	-10000	-3	165	0.12	71%	0.58	58	3.55%	0	0.9	74	0
19	Nov_29_2016	43.1	50.27	55.03	57.14			56.73(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	-10000	4	190	0.13	71%	0.63	58	3.54%	0	1.2	74	0
20	Nov_28_2016	42.83	49.7	54.11	56.77			57.06(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	-10000	6	194	0.15	71%	0.68	57.2	3.54%	0	1.4	75	0

21	Nov_25_2016	42.54	49.08	53.2	56.19			57.54(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	59	-10000	9	209	0.09	71%	1.14	57.6	3.54%	0	1.7	81	0
22	Nov_23_2016	42.06	48.46	51.78	55.29			57.3(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	59	-10000	12	200	0.26	71%	0.74	59.4	3.53%	0	1.9	77	0
23	Nov_22_2016	41.75	47.88	50.62	54.11			57.07(4.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	60	-10000	16	192	0.38	71%	0.38	61.4	3.54%	0	2.3	76	0
24	Nov_21_2016	41.59	47.31	49.52	52.62			54.87(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	-10000	18	176	0.28	69%	0.68	62.8	3.51%	0	2.2	71	0
25	Nov_18_2016	41.31	46.87	48.62	51.04			54.15(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	48	-10000	15	146	0.21	69%		62.8	3.52%	0	2.4	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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