Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $44.1600 (2.63%) ($42.4300 - $44.1600) on Thu. Sep. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.15% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $44.1600(2.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(81%)    IVW(80%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -2.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.075% (StdDev 4.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.3(1.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.85(3.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.33(6.85%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   91.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 4.74% (three month std-dev: 4.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2016	31.03	41.33	42.85	43.3			44.16(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	4	50	0.4	56%	0.52	84	4.15%	0	1.4	75	0
2	Aug_31_2016	30.87	40.98	42.54	42.94			43.03(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	3	51	0.2	56%	0.55	72.2	4.15%	0	1	74	0
3	Aug_30_2016	30.7	40.65	42.28	42.7			43(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	0	52	0.32	56%	0.56	59.5	4.15%	0	1	76	0
4	Aug_29_2016	30.53	40.31	42.02	42.69			43.38(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	2	57	0.34	56%	0.59	54.1	4.17%	0	1.4	70	0
5	Aug_26_2016	30.35	40.02	41.79	42.47			42.94(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	2	63	0.21	56%	0.56	60.1	4.18%	0	1.4	72	0

6	Aug_25_2016	30.18	39.74	41.46	42.33			42.35(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	3	66	0.23	56%	0.5	69.4	4.18%	0	1.3	70	0
7	Aug_24_2016	30.03	39.52	41.13	42.09			41.84(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	4	69	0.31	59%	0.54	80.8	4.18%	0	1.2	73	0
8	Aug_23_2016	29.87	39.36	40.81	41.77			42.95(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	23	-10000	6	73	0.31	59%	0.54	91.2	4.23%	0	1.9	82	0
9	Aug_22_2016	29.71	39.14	40.44	41.24			42.27(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	21	-10000	3	74	0.23	59%	0.51	97.8	4.23%	0	1.6	82	0
10	Aug_19_2016	29.56	38.77	40.05	41.01			42.22(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	6	73	0.33	62%	0.51	95	4.36%	0	1.7	67	0

11	Aug_18_2016	29.41	38.37	39.67	40.47			41.15(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	5	67	0.21	64%	0.48	91.1	4.37%	0	1.3	65	0
12	Aug_17_2016	29.27	38	39.28	40.05			40.26(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	4	56	0.23	64%	0.48	89.5	4.39%	0	1.1	59	0
13	Aug_16_2016	29.13	37.71	38.89	39.69			40.28(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	2	40	0.16	65%	0.52	85.8	4.41%	0	1.1	56	0
14	Aug_15_2016	28.98	37.35	38.46	39.51			41.16(4.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	6	29	0.33	65%	0.42	85.6	4.41%	0	1.6	58	0
15	Aug_12_2016	28.86	36.95	38.1	38.96			39.52(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	2	27	0.27	63%	0.49	83.8	4.4%	0	1.1	70	0

16	Aug_11_2016	28.72	36.57	37.88	38.76			39.02(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	4	35	0.16	63%	0.49	84.5	4.47%	0	1	70	0
17	Aug_10_2016	28.58	36.22	37.78	38.38			38.47(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	5	44	0.35	64%	0.42	86.3	4.47%	0	0.8	71	0
18	Aug_9_2016	28.46	35.87	37.79	37.93			39.38(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	8	51	0.25	64%	0.42	88.8	4.47%	0	1.3	70	0
19	Aug_8_2016	28.34	35.46	37.72	37.24			38.39(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	2	57	0.2	64%	0.43	88.6	4.47%	0	1	72	0
20	Aug_5_2016	28.22	35.04	37.37	37.11			38.55(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	2	61	0.34	64%	0.46	88	4.46%	0	1.2	71	0

21	Aug_4_2016	28.09	34.57	36.95	36.91			37.13(2.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-2	66	0.35	64%	0.43	80.9	4.45%	0	0.8	72	0
22	Aug_3_2016	27.97	34.07	36.64	37.11			36.19(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-6	78	0.28	64%	0.43	76	4.48%	0	0.6	70	0
23	Aug_2_2016	27.85	33.57	36.48	37.62			35.94(-4.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-7	103	0.53	64%	0.43	76.6	4.51%	0	0.6	72	0
24	Aug_1_2016	27.73	33.08	36.21	38.23			37.75(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	39	-10000	7	136	0.2	66%	0.47	85.1	4.46%	0	1.2	80	0
25	Jul_29_2016	27.6	32.55	35.76	37.63			37.55(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	-10000	8	139	0.35	62%		81.9	4.49%	0	1.2	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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