Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $42.2200 (2.6%) ($41.1700 - $42.5000) on Fri. Aug. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.36% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $42.2200(2.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(81%)    IVW(80%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -2.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.18% (StdDev 4.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.01(2.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.05(5.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.77(8.9%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   82.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 5.18% (three month std-dev: 4.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2016	29.56	38.77	40.05	41.01			42.22(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	6	73	0.33	62%	0.51	95	4.36%	0	1.7	67	0
2	Aug_18_2016	29.41	38.37	39.67	40.47			41.15(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	5	67	0.21	64%	0.48	91.1	4.37%	0	1.3	65	0
3	Aug_17_2016	29.27	38	39.28	40.05			40.26(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	4	56	0.23	64%	0.48	89.5	4.39%	0	1.1	59	0
4	Aug_16_2016	29.13	37.71	38.89	39.69			40.28(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	2	40	0.16	65%	0.52	85.8	4.41%	0	1.1	56	0
5	Aug_15_2016	28.98	37.35	38.46	39.51			41.16(4.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	6	29	0.33	65%	0.42	85.6	4.41%	0	1.6	58	0

6	Aug_12_2016	28.86	36.95	38.1	38.96			39.52(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	2	27	0.27	63%	0.49	83.8	4.4%	0	1.1	70	0
7	Aug_11_2016	28.72	36.57	37.88	38.76			39.02(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	4	35	0.16	63%	0.49	84.5	4.47%	0	1	70	0
8	Aug_10_2016	28.58	36.22	37.78	38.38			38.47(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	5	44	0.35	64%	0.42	86.3	4.47%	0	0.8	71	0
9	Aug_9_2016	28.46	35.87	37.79	37.93			39.38(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	8	51	0.25	64%	0.42	88.8	4.47%	0	1.3	70	0
10	Aug_8_2016	28.34	35.46	37.72	37.24			38.39(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	2	57	0.2	64%	0.43	88.6	4.47%	0	1	72	0

11	Aug_5_2016	28.22	35.04	37.37	37.11			38.55(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	2	61	0.34	64%	0.46	88	4.46%	0	1.2	71	0
12	Aug_4_2016	28.09	34.57	36.95	36.91			37.13(2.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-2	66	0.35	64%	0.43	80.9	4.45%	0	0.8	72	0
13	Aug_3_2016	27.97	34.07	36.64	37.11			36.19(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-6	78	0.28	64%	0.43	76	4.48%	0	0.6	70	0
14	Aug_2_2016	27.85	33.57	36.48	37.62			35.94(-4.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-7	103	0.53	64%	0.43	76.6	4.51%	0	0.6	72	0
15	Aug_1_2016	27.73	33.08	36.21	38.23			37.75(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	39	-10000	7	136	0.2	66%	0.47	85.1	4.46%	0	1.2	80	0

16	Jul_29_2016	27.6	32.55	35.76	37.63			37.55(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	-10000	8	139	0.35	62%	0.51	81.9	4.49%	0	1.2	82	0
17	Jul_28_2016	27.46	32.05	35.2	36.96			38.13(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	11	136	0.34	59%	0.55	73.9	4.61%	0	1.5	87	0
18	Jul_27_2016	27.31	31.46	34.56	36.06			38.74(-0.62%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.7	42	-10000	10	137	0.55	59%	0.59	65.7	4.73%	0	1.9	92	0
19	Jul_26_2016	27.15	30.76	33.78	35.19			38.98(12.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	48	-10000	15	145	1.04	59%	0.56	55.9	4.74%	0	2.2	93	0
20	Jul_25_2016	27	29.96	32.95	33.95			34.74(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	4	145	0.32	55%	0.41	40.3	4.53%	0	1.4	92	0

21	Jul_22_2016	26.89	29.52	32.47	33.64			34.19(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	-10000	6	156	0.36	55%	0.41	36.5	4.54%	0	1.4	79	0
22	Jul_21_2016	26.78	29.34	31.96	33.16			33.66(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	5	153	0.34	55%	0.41	38.1	4.53%	0	1.3	72	0
23	Jul_20_2016	26.67	29.1	31.29	32.79			34.38(4.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	-10000	9	153	0.42	55%	0.41	37.5	4.53%	0	1.7	78	0
24	Jul_19_2016	26.56	28.81	30.44	32.15			32.8(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	5	144	0.21	53%	0.45	35.4	4.51%	0	1.4	79	0
25	Jul_18_2016	26.44	28.6	29.73	31.8			33.19(4.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	-10000	9	154	0.39	53%		34.3	4.54%	0	1.7	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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