Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SOXL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $40.2600 (-0.05%) ($39.6000 - $40.4100) on Wed. Aug. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.39% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $40.2600(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(81%)    IVW(80%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -2.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.195% (StdDev 4.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.05(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.28(2.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38(5.95%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   79.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 5.5% (three month std-dev: 4.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160917

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2016	29.27	38	39.28	40.05			40.26(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	4	56	0.23	64%	0.48	89.5	4.39%	0	1.1	59	0
2	Aug_16_2016	29.13	37.71	38.89	39.69			40.28(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	2	40	0.16	65%	0.52	85.8	4.41%	0	1.1	56	0
3	Aug_15_2016	28.98	37.35	38.46	39.51			41.16(4.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	6	29	0.33	65%	0.42	85.6	4.41%	0	1.6	58	0
4	Aug_12_2016	28.86	36.95	38.1	38.96			39.52(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	2	27	0.27	63%	0.49	83.8	4.4%	0	1.1	70	0
5	Aug_11_2016	28.72	36.57	37.88	38.76			39.02(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	4	35	0.16	63%	0.49	84.5	4.47%	0	1	70	0

6	Aug_10_2016	28.58	36.22	37.78	38.38			38.47(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	5	44	0.35	64%	0.42	86.3	4.47%	0	0.8	71	0
7	Aug_9_2016	28.46	35.87	37.79	37.93			39.38(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	8	51	0.25	64%	0.42	88.8	4.47%	0	1.3	70	0
8	Aug_8_2016	28.34	35.46	37.72	37.24			38.39(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	2	57	0.2	64%	0.43	88.6	4.47%	0	1	72	0
9	Aug_5_2016	28.22	35.04	37.37	37.11			38.55(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	2	61	0.34	64%	0.46	88	4.46%	0	1.2	71	0
10	Aug_4_2016	28.09	34.57	36.95	36.91			37.13(2.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-2	66	0.35	64%	0.43	80.9	4.45%	0	0.8	72	0

11	Aug_3_2016	27.97	34.07	36.64	37.11			36.19(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-6	78	0.28	64%	0.43	76	4.48%	0	0.6	70	0
12	Aug_2_2016	27.85	33.57	36.48	37.62			35.94(-4.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-7	103	0.53	64%	0.43	76.6	4.51%	0	0.6	72	0
13	Aug_1_2016	27.73	33.08	36.21	38.23			37.75(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	39	-10000	7	136	0.2	66%	0.47	85.1	4.46%	0	1.2	80	0
14	Jul_29_2016	27.6	32.55	35.76	37.63			37.55(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	-10000	8	139	0.35	62%	0.51	81.9	4.49%	0	1.2	82	0
15	Jul_28_2016	27.46	32.05	35.2	36.96			38.13(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	11	136	0.34	59%	0.55	73.9	4.61%	0	1.5	87	0

16	Jul_27_2016	27.31	31.46	34.56	36.06			38.74(-0.62%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.7	42	-10000	10	137	0.55	59%	0.59	65.7	4.73%	0	1.9	92	0
17	Jul_26_2016	27.15	30.76	33.78	35.19			38.98(12.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	48	-10000	15	145	1.04	59%	0.56	55.9	4.74%	0	2.2	93	0
18	Jul_25_2016	27	29.96	32.95	33.95			34.74(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	4	145	0.32	55%	0.41	40.3	4.53%	0	1.4	92	0
19	Jul_22_2016	26.89	29.52	32.47	33.64			34.19(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	-10000	6	156	0.36	55%	0.41	36.5	4.54%	0	1.4	79	0
20	Jul_21_2016	26.78	29.34	31.96	33.16			33.66(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	5	153	0.34	55%	0.41	38.1	4.53%	0	1.3	72	0

21	Jul_20_2016	26.67	29.1	31.29	32.79			34.38(4.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	-10000	9	153	0.42	55%	0.41	37.5	4.53%	0	1.7	78	0
22	Jul_19_2016	26.56	28.81	30.44	32.15			32.8(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	5	144	0.21	53%	0.45	35.4	4.51%	0	1.4	79	0
23	Jul_18_2016	26.44	28.6	29.73	31.8			33.19(4.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	-10000	9	154	0.39	53%	0.49	34.3	4.54%	0	1.7	84	0
24	Jul_15_2016	26.31	28.32	29.09	31.13			31.76(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	8	145	0.29	53%	0.42	27.4	4.51%	0	1.4	65	0
25	Jul_14_2016	26.2	28.15	28.68	30.56			31.83(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	15	117	0.4	53%		17.9	4.52%	0	1.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.