Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $33.6600 (-2.09%) ($33.2400 - $34.5600) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.53% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $33.6600(-2.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 11.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(81%)    IVW(80%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -2.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.265% (StdDev 4.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.16(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.96(5.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.34(14.72%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   55.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 11.11% (three month std-dev: 4.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2016	26.78	29.34	31.96	33.16			33.66(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	5	153	0.34	55%	0.41	38.1	4.53%	0	1.3	72	0
2	Jul_20_2016	26.67	29.1	31.29	32.79			34.38(4.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	-10000	9	153	0.42	55%	0.41	37.5	4.53%	0	1.7	78	0
3	Jul_19_2016	26.56	28.81	30.44	32.15			32.8(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	5	144	0.21	53%	0.45	35.4	4.51%	0	1.4	79	0
4	Jul_18_2016	26.44	28.6	29.73	31.8			33.19(4.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	-10000	9	154	0.39	53%	0.49	34.3	4.54%	0	1.7	84	0
5	Jul_15_2016	26.31	28.32	29.09	31.13			31.76(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	8	145	0.29	53%	0.42	27.4	4.51%	0	1.4	65	0

6	Jul_14_2016	26.2	28.15	28.68	30.56			31.83(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	15	117	0.4	53%	0.42	17.9	4.52%	0	1.6	50	0
7	Jul_13_2016	26.09	27.98	28.12	29.53			31.15(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	17	77	0.35	56%	0.46	1.9	4.53%	0	1.5	54	0
8	Jul_12_2016	25.97	27.84	27.49	28.44			31.07(4.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	17	28	0.46	56%	0.43	-16.8	4.6%	0	1.6	54	0
9	Jul_11_2016	25.86	27.71	26.69	27.35			29.85(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	-10000	9	-30	0.62	56%	0.43	-35.4	4.58%	0	1.1	52	0
10	Jul_8_2016	25.75	27.67	26.29	26.77			28.9(8.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-12	-10000	3	-57	0.66	56%	0.39	-45.8	4.57%	0	0.6	53	0

11	Jul_7_2016	25.65	27.74	26.47	26.57			26.66(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	-10000	1	-54	0.41	53%	0.27	-44.7	4.45%	0	-0.5	47	0
12	Jul_6_2016	25.58	27.94	26.7	26.52			25.72(0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-11	-10000	3	-54	0.42	53%	0.31	-42.4	4.47%	0	-1.1	45	0
13	Jul_5_2016	25.5	28.19	27.05	26.36			25.61(-5.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-7	-10000	9	-54	0.28	53%	0.35	-41.7	4.48%	0	-1.2	44	0
14	Jul_1_2016	25.41	28.42	27.4	25.86			26.97(-3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	3	-70	0.27	55%	0.47	-48.1	4.42%	0	-0.7	47	0
15	Jun_30_2016	25.29	28.58	27.51	25.7			27.87(5.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-31	-10000	-13	-86	0.39	55%	0.48	-47.5	4.38%	0	-0.3	48	0

16	Jun_29_2016	25.17	28.68	27.59	26.43			26.43(6.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-10000	-10	-77	0.66	53%	0.44	-34.6	4.35%	0	-1.1	39	0
17	Jun_28_2016	25.06	28.86	27.84	26.99			24.93(8.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-15	-74	0.98	50%	0.36	-23.6	4.31%	0	-2	34	0
18	Jun_27_2016	24.97	29.11	28.26	27.88			23.08(-11.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-31	-10000	-20	-64	0.76	47%	0.2	-3.7	4.19%	0	-3.4	25	0
19	Jun_24_2016	24.92	29.44	28.9	29.08			26.2(-16.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-14	-10000	-7	-33	0.77	53%	0.24	39.1	3.95%	0	-2.9	37	0
20	Jun_23_2016	24.86	29.58	29.24	29.46			31.52(7.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	2	-10000	11	-24	0.38	65%	0.53	91.9	3.32%	0	2.2	57	0

21	Jun_22_2016	24.73	29.4	29.14	28.93			29.24(-0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	2	-42	0.23	61%	0.45	108	3.23%	0	-0.2	45	0
22	Jun_21_2016	24.62	29.34	29.27	28.85			29.37(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	2	-41	0.17	61%	0.37	123.8	3.23%	0	0	45	0
23	Jun_20_2016	24.53	29.18	29.4	28.75			29.07(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	0	-38	0.4	61%	0.33	105.2	3.23%	0	-0.1	49	0
24	Jun_17_2016	24.45	29.01	29.49	28.73			28.12(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-5	-36	0.26	58%	0.45	96.6	3.24%	0	-0.6	46	0
25	Jun_16_2016	24.34	28.79	29.71	28.97			28.84(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-9	-20	0.48	58%		81.8	3.23%	0	0	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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