Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $25.6100 (-5.04%) ($25.1100 - $26.4200) on Tue. Jul. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.48% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $25.6100(-5.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(81%)    IVW(80%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -2.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.24% (StdDev 4.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $12.57(-50.92%)
Resistance Level   $28.19
5 Day Moving Average   $26.36(-2.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.05(-5.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.19(-9.15%)
To recent high   -18.8%
To recent low   18.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 7.56% (three month std-dev: 4.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2016	25.5	28.19	27.05	26.36			25.61(-5.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-7	-10000	9	-54	0.28	53%	0.35	-41.7	4.48%	0	-1.2	44	0
2	Jul_1_2016	25.41	28.42	27.4	25.86			26.97(-3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	3	-70	0.27	55%	0.47	-48.1	4.42%	0	-0.7	47	0
3	Jun_30_2016	25.29	28.58	27.51	25.7			27.87(5.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-31	-10000	-13	-86	0.39	55%	0.48	-47.5	4.38%	0	-0.3	48	0
4	Jun_29_2016	25.17	28.68	27.59	26.43			26.43(6.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-10000	-10	-77	0.66	53%	0.44	-34.6	4.35%	0	-1.1	39	0
5	Jun_28_2016	25.06	28.86	27.84	26.99			24.93(8.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-15	-74	0.98	50%	0.36	-23.6	4.31%	0	-2	34	0

6	Jun_27_2016	24.97	29.11	28.26	27.88			23.08(-11.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-31	-10000	-20	-64	0.76	47%	0.2	-3.7	4.19%	0	-3.4	25	0
7	Jun_24_2016	24.92	29.44	28.9	29.08			26.2(-16.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-14	-10000	-7	-33	0.77	53%	0.24	39.1	3.95%	0	-2.9	37	0
8	Jun_23_2016	24.86	29.58	29.24	29.46			31.52(7.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	2	-10000	11	-24	0.38	65%	0.53	91.9	3.32%	0	2.2	57	0
9	Jun_22_2016	24.73	29.4	29.14	28.93			29.24(-0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	2	-42	0.23	61%	0.45	108	3.23%	0	-0.2	45	0
10	Jun_21_2016	24.62	29.34	29.27	28.85			29.37(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	2	-41	0.17	61%	0.37	123.8	3.23%	0	0	45	0

11	Jun_20_2016	24.53	29.18	29.4	28.75			29.07(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	0	-38	0.4	61%	0.33	105.2	3.23%	0	-0.1	49	0
12	Jun_17_2016	24.45	29.01	29.49	28.73			28.12(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-5	-36	0.26	58%	0.45	96.6	3.24%	0	-0.6	46	0
13	Jun_16_2016	24.34	28.79	29.71	28.97			28.84(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-9	-20	0.48	58%	0.45	81.8	3.23%	0	0	58	0
14	Jun_15_2016	24.23	28.55	29.83	29.38			28.87(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-10000	-8	4	0.24	58%	0.41	78.6	3.25%	0	0.1	61	0
15	Jun_14_2016	24.13	28.26	29.95	29.76			28.86(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-8	30	0.41	58%	0.42	72.6	3.25%	0	0.2	65	0

16	Jun_13_2016	24.03	27.99	30.02	30.16			28.94(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-4	69	0.33	58%	0.42	73.4	3.25%	0	0.3	76	0
17	Jun_10_2016	23.93	27.66	30.05	30.36			29.34(-5.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-4	98	0.38	62%	0.5	69.2	3.32%	0	0.5	81	0
18	Jun_9_2016	23.81	27.29	29.98	30.54			30.89(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-10000	4	147	0.37	67%	0.59	66.3	3.25%	0	1.1	97	0
19	Jun_8_2016	23.67	26.89	29.72	30.34			30.77(-0.26%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	46	-10000	3	173	0.29	60%	0.59	66.4	3.26%	0	1.2	91	0
20	Jun_7_2016	23.53	26.5	29.41	30.18			30.85(2.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	-10000	6	202	0.37	60%	0.3	66.9	3.38%	0	1.3	93	0

21	Jun_6_2016	23.46	26.07	28.92	29.89			29.97(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	58	-10000	4	219	0.3	60%	0.6	63.7	3.37%	0	1.2	87	0
22	Jun_3_2016	23.32	25.68	28.47	29.69			30.2(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	66	-10000	7	244	0.32	60%	0.43	62.3	3.38%	0	1.4	90	0
23	Jun_2_2016	23.22	25.27	27.8	29.34			29.92(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	-10000	7	251	0.25	60%	0.52	56.8	3.38%	0	1.5	90	0
24	Jun_1_2016	23.1	24.87	27.17	28.99			29.94(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	70	-10000	9	253	0.31	65%	0.43	47.2	3.39%	0	1.8	78	0
25	May_31_2016	23	24.49	26.44	28.53			29.43(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	71	-10000	15	240	0.33	60%		40.3	3.43%	0	1.9	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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