Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $28.8600 (-0.28%) ($28.0700 - $29.0900) on Tue. Jun. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.25% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $28.8600(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(81%)    IVW(80%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.625% (StdDev 3.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.76(-3.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.95(-3.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.26(2.12%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   33.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 9.13% (three month std-dev: 3.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2016	24.13	28.26	29.95	29.76			28.86(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-8	30	0.41	58%	0.42	72.6	3.25%	0	0.2	65	0
2	Jun_13_2016	24.03	27.99	30.02	30.16			28.94(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-4	69	0.33	58%	0.42	73.4	3.25%	0	0.3	76	0
3	Jun_10_2016	23.93	27.66	30.05	30.36			29.34(-5.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-4	98	0.38	62%	0.5	69.2	3.32%	0	0.5	81	0
4	Jun_9_2016	23.81	27.29	29.98	30.54			30.89(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-10000	4	147	0.37	67%	0.59	66.3	3.25%	0	1.1	97	0
5	Jun_8_2016	23.67	26.89	29.72	30.34			30.77(-0.26%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	46	-10000	3	173	0.29	60%	0.59	66.4	3.26%	0	1.2	91	0

6	Jun_7_2016	23.53	26.5	29.41	30.18			30.85(2.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	-10000	6	202	0.37	60%	0.3	66.9	3.38%	0	1.3	93	0
7	Jun_6_2016	23.46	26.07	28.92	29.89			29.97(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	58	-10000	4	219	0.3	60%	0.6	63.7	3.37%	0	1.2	87	0
8	Jun_3_2016	23.32	25.68	28.47	29.69			30.2(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	66	-10000	7	244	0.32	60%	0.43	62.3	3.38%	0	1.4	90	0
9	Jun_2_2016	23.22	25.27	27.8	29.34			29.92(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	-10000	7	251	0.25	60%	0.52	56.8	3.38%	0	1.5	90	0
10	Jun_1_2016	23.1	24.87	27.17	28.99			29.94(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	70	-10000	9	253	0.31	65%	0.43	47.2	3.39%	0	1.8	78	0

11	May_31_2016	23	24.49	26.44	28.53			29.43(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	71	-10000	15	240	0.33	60%	0.57	40.3	3.43%	0	1.9	76	0
12	May_27_2016	22.87	24.18	25.78	27.81			28.96(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	67	-10000	16	218	0.24	65%	0.35	33.1	3.52%	0	2.1	77	0
13	May_26_2016	22.79	23.87	25.07	27.06			28.44(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	66	-10000	23	193	0.29	65%	0.26	20.7	3.54%	0	2.2	76	0
14	May_25_2016	22.73	23.67	24.38	26			28.16(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	-10000	21	147	0.71	65%	0.13	4.7	3.55%	0	2.3	75	0
15	May_24_2016	22.7	23.58	23.82	25.08			27.67(7.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	48	-10000	24	118	0.66	65%	0.09	-6.6	3.57%	0	2.3	75	0

16	May_23_2016	22.68	23.48	23.31	24.04			25.8(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	-10000	14	75	0.43	61%	0.13	-22.6	3.5%	0	1.5	64	0
17	May_20_2016	22.65	23.44	22.94	23.46			25.25(9.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	16	41	0.61	61%	-0.04	-35.3	3.57%	0	1.1	56	0
18	May_19_2016	22.66	23.45	22.62	22.79			23.1(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	8	5	0.36	55%	-0.22	-47.1	3.41%	0	-0.2	49	0
19	May_18_2016	22.71	23.58	22.53	22.5			23.56(4.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	4	-29	0.7	55%	-0.26	-53.2	3.4%	0	-0	40	0
20	May_17_2016	22.77	23.7	22.38	22.36			22.47(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-75	0.31	57%	-0.22	-58.4	3.37%	0	-0.7	27	0

21	May_16_2016	22.82	23.85	22.41	22.47			22.92(4.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-10000	3	-90	0.56	63%	0	-57.2	3.46%	0	-0.5	34	0
22	May_13_2016	22.82	24.02	22.47	22.34			21.9(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-2	-105	0.4	60%	-0.31	-57.4	3.65%	0	-1.1	35	0
23	May_12_2016	22.89	24.25	22.6	22.42			21.64(-5.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-3	-118	0.56	64%	-0.26	-55.5	3.68%	0	-1.4	32	0
24	May_11_2016	22.95	24.53	22.93	22.54			22.85(-0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	-10000	4	-116	0.5	69%	-0.22	-50.8	3.68%	0	-0.9	36	0
25	May_10_2016	23	24.77	23.34	22.39			23.06(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-29	-10000	1	-117	0.33	69%		-52.6	3.69%	0	-0.9	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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