Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $25.7800 (2.18%) ($24.9000 - $25.9300) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.25% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $25.7800(2.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(81%)    IVW(80%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -2.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.625% (StdDev 5.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.05(2.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.37(5.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.89(12.63%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   67.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 9% (three month std-dev: 5.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	23.67	22.89	24.37	25.05			25.78(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	22	-10000	7	68	0.69	46%	-0.13	94.6	5.25%	0	1.4	77	0
2	Mar_16_2016	23.7	22.56	24.12	24.61			25.23(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	6	68	0.83	46%	-0.08	99	5.27%	0	1.3	77	0
3	Mar_15_2016	23.72	22.28	23.92	24.21			24.55(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	6	74	0.73	47%	-0.17	99.3	5.27%	0	1.1	78	0
4	Mar_14_2016	23.76	21.97	23.76	23.85			24.69(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	1	80	0.68	47%	-0.21	100.7	5.3%	0	1.3	81	0
5	Mar_11_2016	23.81	21.56	23.42	23.78			24.98(5.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	3	86	0.68	45%	-0.17	88.8	5.31%	0	1.5	73	0

6	Mar_10_2016	23.85	21.1	23.05	23.61			23.58(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	24	-10000	1	93	0.7	43%	-0.08	71	5.3%	0	1	73	0
7	Mar_9_2016	23.87	20.72	22.8	23.56			23.27(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	-0	103	0.73	43%	-0.13	60.5	5.3%	0	1	74	0
8	Mar_8_2016	23.9	20.37	22.51	23.57			22.71(-6.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-10000	-1	111	0.87	43%	-0.17	54.4	5.32%	0	0.9	69	0
9	Mar_7_2016	23.94	20.06	22.2	23.61			24.37(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	11	129	0.88	45%	-0.04	46.5	5.26%	0	1.6	84	0
10	Mar_4_2016	23.95	19.72	21.79	22.97			24.1(3.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	-10000	10	134	1.15	47%	-0.08	37.3	5.26%	0	1.7	87	0

11	Mar_3_2016	23.97	19.48	21.31	22.4			23.36(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	-10000	8	142	0.62	47%	-0.08	37.4	5.3%	0	1.6	88	0
12	Mar_2_2016	23.99	19.24	20.89	21.92			23.31(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	11	152	0.57	47%	0.04	35.7	5.3%	0	1.8	84	0
13	Mar_1_2016	23.98	18.99	20.49	21.29			22.92(8.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	49	-10000	13	156	0.83	47%	-0.04	30.4	5.3%	0	2	80	0
14	Feb_29_2016	23.99	18.85	20.01	20.58			21.16(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	3	146	1.02	44%	-0.08	28.3	5.18%	0	1.3	74	0
15	Feb_26_2016	24.01	18.79	19.55	20.42			21.27(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	-10000	7	139	0.74	44%	-0.12	30	5.19%	0	1.4	64	0

16	Feb_25_2016	24.04	18.62	18.99	20.05			20.95(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	7	101	0.62	44%	-0.12	25.4	5.23%	0	1.4	53	0
17	Feb_24_2016	24.07	18.47	18.48	19.7			20.17(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	3	71	0.98	44%	-0.08	23	5.2%	0	1	54	0
18	Feb_23_2016	24.09	18.4	18.07	19.56			19.36(-4.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	5	52	0.37	44%	-0.17	26.8	5.2%	0	0.6	53	0
19	Feb_22_2016	24.13	18.34	17.78	19.32			20.35(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	16	22	0.57	44%	0	27	5.19%	0	1.3	47	0
20	Feb_19_2016	24.13	18.27	17.5	18.54			19.43(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	-10000	18	-21	0.52	44%	-0.04	11.9	5.15%	0	0.8	45	0

21	Feb_18_2016	24.14	18.2	17.49	17.74			19.17(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	15	-41	0.79	44%	-0.04	-4.3	5.15%	0	0.7	55	0
22	Feb_17_2016	24.15	18.11	17.43	17.06			19.48(7.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-3	-10000	16	-61	1.25	44%	0.04	-25.8	5.16%	0	0.9	55	0
23	Feb_16_2016	24.14	17.98	17.32	16.39			18.18(10.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-16	-10000	9	-90	1.31	42%	0.17	-46.8	5.08%	0	0.1	49	0
24	Feb_12_2016	24.1	17.93	17.54	16.04			16.44(6.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	-7	-99	0.96	37%	-0.12	-59.9	4.88%	0	-1	45	0
25	Feb_11_2016	24.13	18.09	17.93	16.32			15.42(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-21	-90	1.21	34%		-58.6	4.81%	0	-1.8	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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