Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $21.1600 (-0.52%) ($21.1600 - $22.2600) on Mon. Feb. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.18% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $21.1600(-0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 12.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(81%)    IVW(80%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -2.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-14%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.59% (StdDev 5.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.58(2.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.01(5.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.85(12.25%)
To recent high   -30.6%
To recent low   37.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 9.71% (three month std-dev: 5.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160329

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_29_2016	23.99	18.85	20.01	20.58			21.16(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	3	146	1.02	44%	-0.08	28.3	5.18%	0	1.3	74	0
2	Feb_26_2016	24.01	18.79	19.55	20.42			21.27(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	-10000	7	139	0.74	44%	-0.12	30	5.19%	0	1.4	64	0
3	Feb_25_2016	24.04	18.62	18.99	20.05			20.95(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	7	101	0.62	44%	-0.12	25.4	5.23%	0	1.4	53	0
4	Feb_24_2016	24.07	18.47	18.48	19.7			20.17(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	3	71	0.98	44%	-0.08	23	5.2%	0	1	54	0
5	Feb_23_2016	24.09	18.4	18.07	19.56			19.36(-4.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	5	52	0.37	44%	-0.17	26.8	5.2%	0	0.6	53	0

6	Feb_22_2016	24.13	18.34	17.78	19.32			20.35(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	16	22	0.57	44%	0	27	5.19%	0	1.3	47	0
7	Feb_19_2016	24.13	18.27	17.5	18.54			19.43(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	-10000	18	-21	0.52	44%	-0.04	11.9	5.15%	0	0.8	45	0
8	Feb_18_2016	24.14	18.2	17.49	17.74			19.17(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	15	-41	0.79	44%	-0.04	-4.3	5.15%	0	0.7	55	0
9	Feb_17_2016	24.15	18.11	17.43	17.06			19.48(7.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-3	-10000	16	-61	1.25	44%	0.04	-25.8	5.16%	0	0.9	55	0
10	Feb_16_2016	24.14	17.98	17.32	16.39			18.18(10.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-16	-10000	9	-90	1.31	42%	0.17	-46.8	5.08%	0	0.1	49	0

11	Feb_12_2016	24.1	17.93	17.54	16.04			16.44(6.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	-7	-99	0.96	37%	-0.12	-59.9	4.88%	0	-1	45	0
12	Feb_11_2016	24.13	18.09	17.93	16.32			15.42(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-21	-90	1.21	34%	-0.17	-58.6	4.81%	0	-1.8	37	0
13	Feb_10_2016	24.17	18.26	18.23	17.21			15.78(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-10000	-15	-57	0.91	34%	-0.21	-62.4	4.8%	0	-1.9	44	0
14	Feb_9_2016	24.22	18.5	18.5	17.83			16.13(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-10000	-12	-29	0.44	34%	-0.21	-67.7	4.84%	0	-1.8	49	0
15	Feb_8_2016	24.27	18.7	18.81	18.36			16.45(-7.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-15	-10000	-19	-2	0.68	34%	-0.21	-81.8	4.84%	0	-1.9	52	0

16	Feb_5_2016	24.32	18.86	19.03	19.23			17.83(-10.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	3	-10000	-11	43	1.13	38%	-0.25	-96.1	4.87%	0	-0.9	58	0
17	Feb_4_2016	24.38	19	19.18	19.77			19.84(4.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	8	70	0.92	41%	-0.12	-107.4	4.77%	0	0.7	51	0
18	Feb_3_2016	24.41	19.14	19.01	19.41			18.91(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	3	54	0.64	39%	-0.2	-108.1	4.72%	0	-0.2	54	0
19	Feb_2_2016	24.46	19.41	18.87	19.28			18.76(-9.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-1	29	0.58	39%	-0.12	-88.6	4.73%	0	-0.3	46	0
20	Feb_1_2016	24.49	19.74	18.72	19.31			20.82(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	12	18	0.54	42%	-0.08	-76.3	4.59%	0	0.5	53	0

21	Jan_29_2016	24.51	20	18.33	18.81			20.51(13.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	6	-20	0.8	39%	-0.08	-81.9	4.6%	0	0.2	53	0
22	Jan_28_2016	24.53	20.32	18.21	18.55			18.07(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-0	-42	0.42	32%	-0.16	-70.9	4.37%	0	-0.8	40	0
23	Jan_27_2016	24.57	20.83	18.25	18.56			18.23(-3.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10000	4	-68	0.61	32%	-0.2	-60.4	4.43%	0	-0.8	34	0
24	Jan_26_2016	24.62	21.29	18.45	18.39			18.9(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	9	-100	0.53	30%	-0.24	-53.4	4.42%	0	-0.6	31	0
25	Jan_25_2016	24.68	21.73	18.54	18.03			18.36(-4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	7	-146	0.51	30%		-51.5	4.45%	0	-0.8	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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