Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $27.9200 (-3.09%) ($27.8900 - $28.9300) on Wed. Dec. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.98% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $27.9200(-3.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IVW(81%)    IWF(81%)    SMH(81%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-14%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.99% (StdDev 3.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.1(-0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.55(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.89(0.11%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   40.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 4.23% (three month std-dev: 3.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2015	24.84	27.89	27.55	28.1			27.92(-3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-10000	2	29	0.24	68%	0.12	-1.2	3.98%	0	0	51	0
2	Dec_29_2015	24.81	27.97	27.48	27.97			28.81(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	6	18	0.37	68%	0.04	8.9	4.17%	0	0.7	49	0
3	Dec_28_2015	24.8	27.96	27.2	27.63			27.8(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	7	-8	0.24	63%	0.12	6.7	4.15%	0	-0.1	42	0
4	Dec_24_2015	24.77	27.97	27.08	27.22			28.13(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	5	-38	0.1	63%	0.04	0.7	4.27%	0	0.1	39	0
5	Dec_23_2015	24.76	27.93	27.06	26.92			27.84(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-13	-10000	-0	-52	0.22	63%	0.12	-4	4.27%	0	-0.1	46	0

6	Dec_22_2015	24.73	27.9	27.04	26.93			27.25(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	-0	-60	0.17	60%	0.04	0.2	4.28%	0	-0.5	42	0
7	Dec_21_2015	24.72	27.86	27.18	26.94			27.15(5.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	4	-62	0.25	60%	0	2.5	4.37%	0	-0.5	40	0
8	Dec_18_2015	24.72	27.88	27.41	26.72			25.72(-3.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-3	-68	0.36	57%	-0.08	7	4.33%	0	-1.6	40	0
9	Dec_17_2015	24.74	27.96	27.88	26.89			26.66(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-5	-54	0.39	57%	0	17.6	4.35%	0	-1	47	0
10	Dec_16_2015	24.74	27.98	28.1	27.2			27.89(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	1	-38	0.37	60%	0	27.3	4.33%	0	-0.1	55	0

11	Dec_15_2015	24.74	27.9	28.25	27.17			27.26(4.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-6	-33	0.35	60%	0.08	24.7	4.32%	0	-0.5	53	0
12	Dec_14_2015	24.72	27.83	28.51	27.5			26.06(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-12	-11	0.54	58%	0	23	4.31%	0	-1.3	54	0
13	Dec_11_2015	24.72	27.78	28.8	28.21			26.57(-5.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10000	-13	14	0.5	58%	-0.04	22.8	4.3%	0	-0.8	50	0
14	Dec_10_2015	24.73	27.74	28.97	29			28.23(1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-2	46	0.34	62%	0.04	32.8	4.23%	0	0.3	58	0
15	Dec_9_2015	24.72	27.65	28.9	29.13			27.75(-3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	10	-10000	-5	53	0.45	58%	-0.04	29.2	4.22%	0	0.1	57	0

16	Dec_8_2015	24.73	27.58	28.88	29.47			28.9(-2.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-3	70	0.44	63%	0	30.2	4.25%	0	0.8	67	0
17	Dec_7_2015	24.73	27.51	28.64	29.66			29.62(-2.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10000	3	79	0.25	63%	0.04	34.8	4.51%	0	1.3	73	0
18	Dec_4_2015	24.72	27.44	28.4	29.48			30.49(5.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	29	-10000	8	91	0.43	60%	0.04	38	4.53%	0	2	81	0
19	Dec_3_2015	24.71	27.23	28.04	28.96			28.89(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	5	85	0.46	58%	-0.04	33	4.55%	0	1.2	70	0
20	Dec_2_2015	24.72	27.19	27.84	28.64			29.44(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	7	81	0.62	61%	0	25.6	4.54%	0	1.7	65	0

21	Dec_1_2015	24.72	27.1	27.49	28.2			29.86(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	-10000	12	71	0.56	56%	0.04	19.7	4.6%	0	2.2	67	0
22	Nov_30_2015	24.71	26.97	27.05	27.46			28.74(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	4	37	0.27	56%	0	2.7	4.76%	0	1.6	53	0
23	Nov_27_2015	24.71	26.87	26.64	27.17			27.89(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	3	13	0.12	60%	-0.08	-17.6	4.75%	0	1	45	0
24	Nov_25_2015	24.73	26.79	26.38	27			27.28(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1	-10000	1	2	0.15	63%	-0.12	-31.1	5.19%	0	0.5	54	0
25	Nov_24_2015	24.76	26.85	26.28	26.91			27.21(3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-10000	3	-8	0.4	60%		-22.3	5.22%	0	0.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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