Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $34.3900 (1.63%) ($34.1100 - $35.1200) on Wed. May. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.72% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $34.3900(1.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    SMH(81%)    SPY(78%)    XLK(78%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.86% (StdDev 3.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.25(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.94(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.28(0.32%)
To recent high   -15.5%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 3.24% (three month std-dev: 3.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2015	34.29	34.28	33.94	34.25			34.39(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	6	10	0.34	52%	0	-22.8	3.72%	0	0.1	46	0
2	May_12_2015	34.29	34.35	33.84	33.89			33.84(-2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	-10000	3	-16	0.45	55%	-0.06	-25.4	3.73%	0	-0.5	38	0
3	May_11_2015	34.31	34.37	33.85	33.67			34.67(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-8	-10000	-1	-30	0.48	55%	0.03	-28.5	3.76%	0	0.3	47	0
4	May_8_2015	34.3	34.39	33.76	33.72			34.66(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-10	-10000	-2	-32	0.68	58%	0.03	-20	3.93%	0	0.2	50	0
5	May_7_2015	34.29	34.44	33.64	33.82			33.69(3.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	3	-30	0.51	58%	0.03	-6.6	3.95%	0	-0.6	51	0

6	May_6_2015	34.28	34.53	33.78	33.6			32.59(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-2	-39	0.6	58%	0.09	-3.5	3.96%	0	-1.7	42	0
7	May_5_2015	34.25	34.63	34.21	33.76			32.72(-6.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-4	-32	0.79	58%	0.06	0.9	3.97%	0	-1.7	41	0
8	May_4_2015	34.23	34.69	34.5	34			34.92(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	3	-19	0.47	62%	0.09	0.3	3.89%	0	0.2	54	0
9	May_1_2015	34.2	34.62	34.47	33.8			35.16(7.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	5	-25	1.16	63%	0.06	-6.1	3.88%	0	0.5	50	0
10	Apr_30_2015	34.18	34.52	34.35	33.48			32.61(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-8	-47	0.42	58%	0	-6.7	3.8%	0	-1.7	39	0

11	Apr_29_2015	34.18	34.58	34.65	34.01			33.38(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-11	-36	0.47	58%	-0.06	9.6	3.87%	0	-1.1	43	0
12	Apr_28_2015	34.2	34.62	34.91	34.74			33.95(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-5	-9	0.31	58%	-0.03	13.5	3.86%	0	-0.6	51	0
13	Apr_27_2015	34.21	34.68	34.95	35.06			33.9(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-1	-10000	-2	2	0.56	55%	-0.06	6.9	3.87%	0	-0.7	54	0
14	Apr_24_2015	34.23	34.69	35.09	35.23			33.55(-4.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	3	-10000	-1	14	1.21	55%	-0.06	-14.2	3.91%	0	-1.1	53	0
15	Apr_23_2015	34.25	34.6	35.34	35.31			35.28(-4.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-10000	-1	28	0.76	57%	0	-34.3	3.89%	0	0.5	61	0

16	Apr_22_2015	34.25	34.47	35.36	35.35			37.02(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	3	40	0.65	60%	0.12	-50.1	3.84%	0	1.9	66	0
17	Apr_21_2015	34.21	34.48	35.07	35.13			35.54(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	4	37	0.4	58%	0.09	-49.9	3.81%	0	0.8	58	0
18	Apr_20_2015	34.18	34.61	34.89	34.86			34.78(2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-10000	-1	22	0.29	58%	0	-44.3	3.82%	0	0.1	48	0
19	Apr_17_2015	34.18	34.84	34.78	34.95			33.95(-4.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-6	22	0.61	58%	0	-28.3	3.83%	0	-0.4	52	0
20	Apr_16_2015	34.18	35.04	34.71	35.35			35.47(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	-0	43	0.25	60%	0.06	-16.9	3.82%	0	0.2	68	0

21	Apr_15_2015	34.16	35.15	34.5	35.36			35.92(5.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	5	49	0.6	60%	0.03	-11.8	3.83%	0	0.3	62	0
22	Apr_14_2015	34.15	35.2	34.3	35.02			34.2(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	2	24	0.53	58%	0.03	-12.3	3.8%	0	-0.4	41	0
23	Apr_13_2015	34.14	35.37	34.39	34.89			35.23(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	5	8	0.52	58%	0.03	-12.7	3.79%	0	-0.1	40	0
24	Apr_10_2015	34.13	35.43	34.25	34.55			35.92(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	9	-24	0.28	55%	0.06	-18.3	3.85%	0	0.2	39	0
25	Apr_9_2015	34.11	35.41	33.79	33.97			35.53(3.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	7	-67	0.49	55%		-30.3	3.88%	0	0.1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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