Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SOXL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $37.9500 (2.18%) ($35.6800 - $38.5100) on Wed. Mar. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.54% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $37.9500(2.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(82%)    SMH(81%)    SPY(78%)    XLK(78%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.77% (StdDev 3.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $37(2.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.89(2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.29(1.77%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   32.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 3.19% (three month std-dev: 3.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2015	33.93	37.29	36.89	37			37.95(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	7	-29	0.54	57%	0.15	28.8	3.54%	0	0.6	51	0
2	Mar_17_2015	33.88	37.19	36.9	36.54			37.14(-2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	6	-36	0.41	60%	0.15	28.2	3.6%	0	-0	52	0
3	Mar_16_2015	33.83	37.16	37	36.18			37.94(4.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-10	-10000	2	-44	0.42	60%	0.15	42.3	3.67%	0	0.6	52	0
4	Mar_13_2015	33.78	37.06	37.23	36.08			36.34(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-32	0.4	58%	0.12	58.2	3.63%	0	-0.6	53	0
5	Mar_12_2015	33.74	37.02	37.36	36.25			35.61(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-8	-28	0.35	55%	0.09	73.3	3.66%	0	-1.1	47	0

6	Mar_11_2015	33.71	36.95	37.6	36.78			35.65(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-8	-10	0.39	55%	0.09	85.3	3.72%	0	-0.9	50	0
7	Mar_10_2015	33.68	36.86	37.77	37.31			35.35(-5.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	-10000	-8	7	0.73	53%	0.06	94.6	3.72%	0	-0.9	51	0
8	Mar_9_2015	33.66	36.64	38.04	37.9			37.47(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	-9	27	0.25	55%	0.18	83.9	3.72%	0	0.4	57	0
9	Mar_6_2015	33.6	36.36	38.04	38.55			37.15(-3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-1	47	0.43	53%	0.15	88.7	3.73%	0	0.3	57	0
10	Mar_5_2015	33.55	36.1	37.94	38.63			38.3(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	1	58	0.34	55%	0.24	87.1	3.74%	0	0.8	65	0

11	Mar_4_2015	33.47	35.75	37.76	38.53			38.27(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	3	69	0.51	55%	0.21	82.8	3.76%	0	0.9	71	0
12	Mar_3_2015	33.4	35.37	37.54	38.3			38.33(-5.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	2	76	0.76	57%	0.24	76.4	3.76%	0	1	72	0
13	Mar_2_2015	33.32	34.91	37.34	38.17			40.68(8.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	36	-10000	13	106	0.71	61%	0.39	64.9	3.75%	0	1.9	88	0
14	Feb_27_2015	33.19	34.31	36.85	37.28			37.56(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	2	106	0.28	57%	0.21	51.7	3.61%	0	1.1	77	0
15	Feb_26_2015	33.12	33.96	36.62	37.17			37.83(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	4	122	0.41	57%	0.24	47.8	3.64%	0	1.3	75	0

16	Feb_25_2015	33.04	33.59	36.21	36.87			37.08(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	3	129	0.38	57%	0.21	43.6	3.67%	0	1.2	76	0
17	Feb_24_2015	32.97	33.27	35.85	36.65			37.71(4.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	-10000	4	140	0.56	57%	0.24	42.8	3.69%	0	1.5	79	0
18	Feb_23_2015	32.89	33.01	35.14	36.38			36.24(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10000	1	143	0.33	56%	0.18	48.2	3.69%	0	1.2	81	0
19	Feb_20_2015	32.83	32.8	34.66	36.33			36.98(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10000	5	161	0.41	56%	0.24	56.3	3.71%	0	1.6	85	0
20	Feb_19_2015	32.75	32.57	34.13	35.99			36.33(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-10000	8	162	0.34	56%	0.18	63.1	3.74%	0	1.6	70	0

21	Feb_18_2015	32.69	32.34	33.59	35.45			36(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	8	152	0.38	56%	0.18	65.3	3.77%	0	1.6	70	0
22	Feb_17_2015	32.63	32.08	33.04	34.91			36.36(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	-10000	19	142	0.39	56%	0.25	62.6	3.8%	0	2.1	68	0
23	Feb_13_2015	32.55	31.76	32.3	33.68			36(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	-10000	15	88	0.6	56%	0.18	42.8	3.84%	0	2.3	58	0
24	Feb_12_2015	32.49	31.4	31.56	32.73			35.25(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	19	-10000	11	43	0.59	56%	0.19	20.4	3.87%	0	2.4	57	0
25	Feb_11_2015	32.43	31.12	31.05	32.03			33.63(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	9	13	0.62	54%		7.8	3.85%	0	1.8	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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